अगले 24 घंटे में TARIFF बढ़ेगा 🔴 TOMORROW SHARE MARKET ANALYSIS LATEST NEWS | STOCK MARKET INDIA

Brief Summary

This video provides a comprehensive analysis of the stock market, focusing on the potential impact of global economic data, geopolitical tensions, and upcoming RBI policy decisions. It also identifies key support and resistance levels for Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty, offering insights for traders and investors.

  • Market sentiment is weak, Nifty 50 closed with a slight decline.
  • Economic data from India, US, and China shows positive service PMI numbers.
  • Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and India over trade with Russia, are escalating.
  • RBI's MPC meeting outcome is crucial, with expectations of unchanged repo rates.
  • Key support and resistance levels for Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty are identified for Wednesday's trading session.

Market Analyst Opinions and Market Sentiment

The presenter discusses market analysts' opinions on the current market situation. An analyst from LKP Securities provides a short-term range for Nifty 50, between 24400 and 24850. Another analyst from Money Control suggests that if Nifty 50 breaks below the 100-day EMA, a sell-off could intensify, with bearish momentum in Bank Nifty targeting June lows. The presenter encourages viewers to share their own predictions for Wednesday's market movement in the comment section.

Economic Data and Market Updates

The presenter reviews recent economic data from India, the US, and China, noting positive service PMI data for all three countries. India's Service PMI reached an 11-month high. The US and China also reported strong figures, exceeding forecasts. Market analyst Vandana Hari suggests the market isn't taking the Trump threat seriously, while Pashupati Advani highlights cement, steel, infrastructure, and pharma as sectors likely to perform well.

Geopolitical Updates and RBI Policy Meeting

The President of the Philippines visited India, leading to strategic partnerships in agriculture, technology, and defense. The presenter notes the upcoming outcome of the RBI's MPC meeting, with forecasts suggesting unchanged repo rates due to strained US-India relations. The MPC meeting outcome will be released at 10:00 AM, followed by a press conference with the RBI Governor, providing insights into India's GDP and CPI forecasts. The presenter will provide updates on Instagram and in the first video of the day.

US Investment in India and Stock-Specific News

The US has overtaken Singapore as the country with the largest India equity holding, indicating continued investment from US fund houses despite market corrections. The presenter views this as a profit-earning strategy and advises patience. Specific stock updates include Happys mine approving executive appointments, Tech Mahindra announcing a special window for physical share transfers, and Sam MLX reporting a 42% year-on-year increase in production.

Tariff Threats and Geopolitical Tensions

NSA Ajit Doval visited Russia amid fresh tariff threats from Trump over India's oil purchases from Russia. The Indian government has responded by pointing out that European countries also purchase oil and natural gas from Russia, and the US imports uranium. Russia has supported India's right to choose trade partners without threats. Trump is considering raising pharma tariffs to 250%, targeting Indian companies with a significant market share in the US. He also stated that the 25% tariff on India is not enough and will be increased in the next 24 hours, claiming India has not been a good trading partner.

Nikki Haley's Suggestion and Company Results

Former US Ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, suggested that the US should focus on China instead of India regarding oil purchases from Russia, advising against harming relations with a strong ally like India. The presenter lists companies with upcoming results, including Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Holdings, Bharat Farz, BHEL, Blue Star, and others, and promises to provide updates on the channel.

Global Market Overview and Gift Nifty

The US market is currently volatile, while the NSDC composite is slightly down. Brain crude prices have fallen, which is beneficial for specific sectors. The Indian currency's valuation remains stable. Wipro and Infosys's arrear versions are showing negative trends, impacting IT and Pharma sectors. Gift Nifty is moving around 24650, similar to today's closing. FIS showed minimal sales, while DII made significant purchases. There are no new updates from the Middle East, and TA 35 has seen a significant correction.

Market Analysis and Key Levels

The presenter analyzes Nifty 50 using a 3-month candlestick chart, noting a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. For tomorrow, 24500 is identified as a crucial support level. If this level breaks, the next support is at 24350. The immediate resistance on the upside is 24750. Bank Nifty's closing was poor, with a potential bearish crossover. Key levels for Bank Nifty are 56000 on the upside and 55000 on the downside. The outcome of the RBI's MPC meeting is also crucial for Bank Nifty. The presenter advises viewers to stay connected for updates and warns about the risks of FNO trading and intraday activities without proper knowledge.

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Transcript

Full transcript of “अगले 24 घंटे में TARIFF बढ़ेगा 🔴 TOMORROW SHARE MARKET ANALYSIS LATEST NEWS | STOCK MARKET INDIA”. Click a timestamp to open the video at that moment. Need another video? Use the YouTube transcript generator.

0:03 Hello friends, today is 5th August 2025. The market sentiment may have been a bit weak today, but today's closing was not that bad where Nifty 50 closed at 24649 points with a slight decline of about 0.30%. Now the question arises that what will happen tomorrow, we will know in this video, along with that I will share many important latest updates related to the stock market with you, along with that the condition of the global market, FSDS data and the most important part of yesterday's market analysis. So I would request all of you to please watch the video till the end without skipping it and especially in the last 3-4 minutes of this video when we will analyze the market, we will try to understand how the market can move tomorrow i.e. Wednesday, which is a very important day.

0:52 So friends, first of all we will talk about what our market analyst said today? let's watch. So today this topic was covered by an analyst from LKP Securities. Now look, today the market has definitely corrected a bit but it still has not fallen very low. So see, this time, i.e. as of today, he has not mentioned any resistance or support point. Simply mentioned the range on a short term basis. Range mentioned from 24400 to 24850 means 24850 on the upside and 24400 on the downside. By the way friends, if I ask all of you, sir, tell me what do you think the market will go tomorrow, Wednesday, will it fall downwards or will it bounce back upwards,

1:37 what will be your opinion, whatever your opinion is, please share it by commenting in the comment box, well the same topic was covered, see, from Money Control, another analyst gave his opinion about the market, his point of view, see, technical view news fall below 100 days EMA means 100 days exponential moving average can extend Nifty sell off Bank Nifty bears since targeting June low, this is correct, so according to them, if Nifty 50 breaks the 100 days EMA and goes down, then a lot of sell off can increase and along with that, a lot of bearish momentum was seen in Bank Nifty today, so according to them also broad range and short Mentioned the range. For the short range he mentioned is from 24,500 to 24,800 300

2:24 points range and for the broader range he mentioned is from 24,000 to 25,000 points range. For now friends, we will explain this topic thoroughly in the last three-four minutes of this video. will cover it. Keep watching this video till the end. But friends, today many updates came in the evening. Especially another atom bomb has been dropped on India regarding tariff. Let us see what the issue is and before that, today a lot of economic data also came out, so first of all, whatever economic data updates are related to the market, we will cover that, after that we will move on to geopolitics, ok so see, today a very important economic data of India, the Service PMI data came out, which I have covered in the first video of the day, if you have not seen it, please see a little, in short, the previous month was 60.4,

3:10 here you can see 60.4, this is the data of the previous month, this time the forecast had come that there might be a slight drop to 59.8, but the actual data was very good. Meaning, not only did it beat the forecast, it also increased on a month-on-month basis. Reached 60.5. Along with that, friends, I want to keep you informed. This data was the best in the last 11 months. Now not only India's PMI data is out but US's service PMI data is also out. And even US's service PMI number was very good this time. In the previous month it was 52.9, the forecast was 55.2 but the actual data is very good 55.7. So this is your US data. Apart from that, today friends, the same service

3:56 PMI data of China also came out. The previous month was 50.6, the forecast was 50.4 but the actual data of China was very good. 52.6 means there was an increase on month on month basis also. Also beat the forecast. And these three countries, whether we talk about China or the US, all three are big nations. There is great economy and the service PM of all three was out today and it was very good. Well after that, see, there is a market analyst here madam whose name is Vandana Hari. So look, a statement has come from their side regarding the market. Basically the market is not taking the Trump threat seriously. I would say that is true to a large extent. Glad India is standing its ground. Well, after this, I agree. What is your opinion, please tell us by commenting. Well friends, look at another market

4:43 analyst, his name is Pashupati Adani, sorry Advani Pashupati Advani, he said about some specific sectors that cement, steel, infrastructure and pharma companies will continue to do well. Let's see what happens. At present IT Pharma is struggling and he mentioned Pharma only. But I think Pharma can struggle further. Keep watching. Well after that, see, recently, you might know that I also shared with you this news that the President of Philippines, Mr. Macros has come on a visit to India on behalf of the Philippines. Have made many strategic partnerships. Signed agreements with India. Look at them, there is agriculture, technology, defence is a major sector. Ok? So see here, according to sources,

5:30 BrahMos naval drill and a strategic pack, PM Modi peaches defence as the bed rock of India, Philippines, deep mutual time, okay, so friends, tomorrow it will be good to keep an eye on all these areas, apart from this, now see, this tariff trade delay will continue, now all this aside, remember tomorrow is the outcome of the RBI's MPC meeting, okay, so here another report has come that RBI like to play it like a test match, repo rate cut unlikely in the August policy meeting. So look, as per the forecast coming from most of the brokerage firms or experts, May also remain unchanged tomorrow because you can understand that the relation between the US and India has deteriorated to a great extent.

6:17 Keeping this in mind, I also have a plan to make changes in the MPC meeting tomorrow. Ok? So let's see at what time the payout will happen. I will tell you in writing once. Remember, tomorrow morning at exactly 10:00 AM, the outcome of the MPC meeting, Monetary Policy Committee meeting will be out. Exactly after 15-20 minutes, in the press conference, there will be a speech by the RBI Governor, in which you will actually get to know about the forecast. Meaning, everything regarding India's GDP forecast or CPI data forecast for the next few quarters and months will become clear to you. Ok? So, as soon as the outcome comes at 10:00 am or all the updates of the press conference come, friends, I will give them to you on the Instagram story. Remember I will give it to you in Instagram story. And

7:03 if any of you are on Instagram, please follow me. You will find the link to my Instagram handle in the description box below this video. I keep giving updates there from time to time. Whenever I get some update. Ok ? So tomorrow I will give you its update first there. Don't worry. I will explain it through video also, in the first video of the day tomorrow. Ok? Ok friends let's move ahead. You should see another important report. USA Overtakes Singapore to Regain Top Spot Among Countries with Largest India Equity Holding. Do you understand what this means ? This correction is happening intermittently in the market. Whether we talk about February-March or the recent drop in the months of July. Friends, from the US side, that is, the big fund houses and fund companies of the US are investing in India

7:49 and in the US, the US has even left behind the fund companies of Singapore on this issue and you people are getting worried, you guys this is basically a strategy, you should try to understand this thing, okay this is basically a strategy to earn profit, so that is why I repeatedly tell you people that look have patience, have patience, I am not saying it like this. Well, there is some update on some individual shares as well. Have a look. Happys mine both approve we appointment of key executive. So keep an eye on it tomorrow. Well from Tech Mahindra Tech Mahindra announces special window for physical share transfer. Keep an eye on Tech Mahindra. Well Sam, MLX business update came today. We got to see a very good jump in production. On year on year basis. There was a growth of about 42%.

8:34 Ok friends now see, we will move ahead a little on tariff and geopolitics but before that I want to tell all of you one serious thing that whatever topics we will discuss here, do not drag it into political issues because here the issue is not within BJP, Congress, TMC, CPM, the issue here is within the US and India, so here please I would like to tell all of you to keep the country first and keep politics aside and keep moving ahead with this thought in mind. Ok. So the first report that has come out here is that NSA Ajit Dobal, India's National Security Advisor Dobal Sahib visited Russia today while Trump fires fresh tariff threat to India for Russia oil

9:19 buys. Let's see what is the outcome. But he hasn't arrived yet. I am planning to go today. Okay, come after that. Friends, I will try to remind you a little about what happened from last night till this morning. First of all, we saw that yesterday evening, Donald Trump said that if India does not reduce trade with Russia or stop oil purchases, then the 25% plus penalty tariff imposed on India will be substantially increased. This was said. After that we saw that the Indian Government also showed the mirror to India and said, brother, look, this targeting of India by you people is basically unjustified and why it is unjustified because India is

10:05 not the only country that purchases oil from Russia at a discount. Every country in the European Union purchases natural gas. And this US itself imports uranium which is used to make nuclear bombs from Russia, so if according to them India is funding this war, then India is not the only one responsible, you people are also responsible, they showed the mirror directly, now what happened after that, Donald Trump and US got hurt, it was like salt on the wound, there was a burning sensation, after that see, another update came within this that Russia actually backing up and supporting India also said,

10:51 see, confirm countries to choose trade partners, you cannot threaten countries like this to choose their trade partners, this is illegal, Russia has actually given very good support to India recently, well after that see, this is tonight's update, how do you know, it is night's update, see, you are seeing all these latest updates here today, friends, I worked this evening. See the update at 6:30, Pharma tariffs will go as high as 250% by Trump, you must know how much he had said before this, 200%, just now Don Trump, it was like adding salt to the wound, India directly showed him the mirror, saying brother look, this is your picture on the mirror,

11:36 250%, now because here you can understand that the 250% tariff was actually indirectly targeted at India because actually in all the pharma markets in the US, almost the maximum market share is with the Indian companies, so who will suffer the loss, it will be the Indian companies, a tariff of 250% was imposed, after that come to the second news, friends, today see this is the evening news at 6:25, here you can see what the news is, 25% not enough, we knew this very well, this is not enough, so the Indian government thought that by preparing for this, it has taken all the steps in advance. From Trump to Macris Tariff on India in the next 24 hours. So friends, remember in the next 24 hours that this is actually an official statement from Donald Trump that

12:25 25% tariff on India is not enough. It will be increased within the next 24 hours. As it was said last day that the tariff on India will be substantially increased. And today I said it clearly that it will increase in the next 24 hours. Along with that, you can see another update from Donald Trump. Donald Trump told India that India has not been a good trading partner. When Donald Trump came to power, you might know that at that time he had said that India is a very strong trading partner of the US. Today, their mindset has changed again. We liked this thing very much. Why we liked it, you will get to know later because look,

13:12 even if a little tariff increase is better than making one wrong deal, I would say that is much better, many times better. The neighboring countries, Pakistan, Bangladesh, the one that is dancing, brother, the US has taken away their market access, it is better than that. So friends, see, any update can come in 24 hours, remember it can be 25%, it can be 50, it can be 35, it can be 100 as well. So whenever there is an update related to this, remember whenever it happens tonight, or tomorrow morning, I will immediately post it to you on my Instagram, remember in my Instagram story. Ok? So you will find the link below. Keep following and I will give it in the video also. So make sure to subscribe to the channel as well. I would request this to all of you because news can come at any time. I have given 24 hours

13:59 time here. It comes, I will give it to you. I will give you the ination. Ok? After that, look here I would say that this is actually a good suggestion given to Trump. First you see what is the news? This is news from Nikki Haley. Nikki Haley madam, who is she, I will tell you later. First you see what statement has been given by them. On his behalf, I would actually say that he is a very well-wisher for Donald Trump. Meaning, actually their statement is in favor of the US. First you see, he said that India should not be buying oil from Russia but China. And this is absolutely true. If you look at the data, India is not buying the most oil. Most of the oil has been purchased from Russia at discounted prices. According to recent data, China is in second position after India. Now

14:46 after that see an advisory and the number one buyer of Russian and Iranian oil got a 90 day telepos. So what happened after that was that for China it was telepased for 90 days. Recently an update came and I shared it with you. You would remember that the agreement between the US and China was paused for 90 days, so now a 90-day pause has been put on China, don't give China a pass. Now look at the last line, he has properly mentioned do n't give China a pass and burn our relationship with a strong LE like India, meaning, by doing all these things, do not give a pass to China and do not spoil your relationship with a strong LE like India, with the US. I would say this is a very good statement and a very good suggestion. And who is this Nikki Haley? Here you can see that the former US Ambassador to the

15:35 United Nations has given a suggestion to the US government. Let's see what happens by the way. Friends, you have seen, heard and understood my thoughts on all these issues very well. What is your opinion? I would say to all of you that please tell me whatever you have to say, what do you think and please don't drag politics into this. Tell me about what is going on in normal India and the US, keeping the country ahead. So please I expect your opinion. Everyone will give their opinion. Well, let's move ahead. See, today results of many companies have come out and remember tomorrow, that is on 6th August, I mean tomorrow, I think results of most of the companies will be out. You can just look at the names quickly. So some are part of Nifty 50, like Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Holdings,

16:20 their results will be out. Well, remember tomorrow, I am showing you. Am. If possible, you have a pen and paper with you so please note it down. Ok? Bharat Farz result will be out. BHEL result will be out. Look here Blue Star Blue Star result will be out. Well apart from that I'll tell you by scrolling slowly. Otherwise it will be quite late. Data Matic result will be out. DV slab result will be out. Well and the GNFC result will be out. Well Hero Motcop is a nifty stock. Its result will be out. HTCO result will be out tomorrow. Remember HTC's result will be out. Ok. IRCON result will be out. The result of railway company IRCON will be out. Well the link result will be out. Keep watching. PFC Power Finance company will also pay dividend tomorrow.

17:07 Ok? PFC result will be out. pidlite Industries result will be out. Prince Pipe result will be out. PVR IX result will be out. Results of many companies will be out tomorrow. Don't worry, whenever the result will be out, I will give you updates one by one from time to time on this channel. Ok? Don't miss it. Trend Limited result will be out. Nifty is part of and VIP industry result will be out. So friends, for now the results of all these companies will be out tomorrow on the 6th and I would request all of you to please keep subscribing to the channel because you can understand that the market is very important right now. So as soon as any update related to this comes, I will give it to you immediately. Even if I get any update on geopolitics, I will give it to you immediately. Ok? So make sure to subscribe. Ok let's move ahead. At present the US market is a bit

17:54 volatile. Look right now, local time in the US, at 1:01pm. Look, right now it is running almost flat. But it got corrected a bit some time ago. I had reached a little lower. Ok. Well let's talk about road composite. The nsdc composite is still slightly down. Down 0.48%. Well, the US bond deal has dropped a bit in the 10 year bond deal. It's a good thing. Well, the price of brain crude has also fallen a bit, which is a good thing for some specific sectors. I would say that there has not been any major change in the valuation of the Indian currency yesterday and today. It is around the same level as it was yesterday and it was expected to fall. Well if we talk about Wipro Limited arrear version then it is around 0.79% positive, Infosysed arrear version is also down by 0.94%, actually see, IT and Pharma will be impacted, you know it well. The lower version of HDFC Bank was also

18:42 down by 0.60%. ICICI Bank's earlier version also down by 0.96%. Okay, let's move ahead. Now let 's talk about the position of Gift Nifty. Friends, look, I am recording the video. Right now the time is local 10:32, just a minute, look here, the time is getting adjusted below, the number is getting adjusted above, just a minute, 24000 brother, it is moving in the range of 650, means where it closed today, yes, the same 24646 points, means where it closed today, almost at the same level, so ultimately the thing is that GIFT Nifty is a little down right now, why is it down because this is August futures and August has just started, so there is a lot of time for this future to expire, almost three weeks, so assume that if the premium is roughly around 100 points, then it is almost that much down.

19:27 Ok? However, very less sales were seen by FIS today. Meaning, if we take out the data of BSC, NSC and MSI, together FIS made sales worth just Rs 22 crore today. Remember, this is a sale of FIS. And DI also made a lot of purchases today. DI purchased shares worth Rs 3800 40 crore today. Ok? So these were the activities of FSDS today. Well, look at the rest, there is no new update from the Middle East today. Whatever is going on there is continuing and there has been a serious correction in TA 35 today. T35 closing today down almost 1.5%. Ok. So friends, I shared with you all the updates related to geopolitics related to the market. Now let me take you to the market analysis part. Done on last 3 month

20:14 candlestick chart of Nifty 50. Now listen very carefully to what I am going to tell you. Observe carefully. Because every single point, every single number is very important for tomorrow. But before that friends, I would request all of you that if you have not subscribed to the channel, please do so quickly because I will keep giving you updates and if you like the video, please encourage it by liking the video. See, people often forget, which is why I repeat the meaning again and again. Ok do one thing tomorrow early in the morning track the future of Djons or NSD. The second thing is to remember some specific sectors, one is your banking sector, second is your pharma sector, 250% tariff, nobody knows what will happen after that, third is your

21:01 IT sector, what do they call it, and fourth is the metal sector, remember, all these four are important friends, and as you see, you must know, we had just shared that in 24 hours, some update will definitely come, how much will it be increased for India again, so if the update comes, I will definitely share it with you, so if any of you are on Instagram, keep following me, you will find the link of Instagram in the description box below, okay, come on, this is your one day chart pattern, okay, so as I showed you a formation yesterday, according to the formation, you can see that Nifty 50 is recently moving to a lower high, what does lower high and lower low mean, see, here you can clearly see that the

21:48 high is gradually shifting downwards. Here you can see wherever I am circling. Ok ? See also Same Low is slowly shifting downwards. The support level where support was available is reaching down back to back. So for tomorrow I would say, based on today's closing, remember 24500 for tomorrow, 24500 is the most important level, the very very crucial level for tomorrow, 24500, it is important to hold this. Meaning it is necessary to hold it 150 points below where it closed today. It is important because even before this we had seen that we got support here again and again. Whether we talk about the month of May or June, we received support again and again. So if we get the support, it's great. If support is not found, let's assume it breaks below tomorrow

22:36 and goes down by around 150 points, meaning around 350. So, that means there are two support levels here, I told you, one is your 24,000 500 and the other one is your 24,000 350. This is an exception. Meaning the chance of this happening is quite low and it can happen. But the most important is this number one 24,500. Ok? Well where is the resistance on the upside? Look, if we talk about resistance, for that I want to show you the 4-hour chart pattern. Here you can see two indicators in the 4 hour chart pattern. Correct? One line is of blue colour and the other is of red colour. The red color line is quite high right now. But if you look at the blue colored line, that is the 20 days EMA exponential moving average, it is slowly shifting downwards now. So tomorrow it will reach almost this level. At this level, I mean here you can see

23:21 that I think 24,750, so the immediate resistance on the upside is 24,750. Ok? And I have told you about the support, ok come to Bank Nifty. See, the closing of Bank Nifty was actually very bad today. Like we already saw Nifty 50 day before yesterday, means on Monday, not day before yesterday, sorry yesterday on Monday, Nifty 50 has already given a reverse crossover, that means a bad crossover which you can call bearish crossover and Bank Nifty almost here the same crossover is ready to give reverse crossover. So it will most probably happen tomorrow. If this happens there may be further drop in Bank Nifty. In such a situation, the most important level for Bank Nifty on the upper side is obviously 56,000 and on the lower side 55,000; this

24:09 range of 1000 points is the most important for Bank Nifty tomorrow. But along with that I would also like to tell you to remember tomorrow from the RBI side as it is a bank issue, so the outcome of the MPC meeting from the RBI side is also very important. If there is a rise in favor of banks then there can be a rise in Bank Nifty and Bank Nifty rise means you can understand that it will support the market to a great extent. Ok so friends, I will give you all the updates related to this from time to time, whether it is on the channel or on Instagram, so stay connected with me and do not miss a single update. Well before winding up this video remember what I often tell you the market is very risky. I think I don't need to tell you today how risky it is. So don't make a mistake. Don't get into the hassle of FNO trading, intraday, put, call, buy, sell,

24:54 hold. No matter what anyone says, stay away. Especially if you do not have any knowledge and experience about this then normally watch the video, learn and know. If there is any problem then I will give you updates from time to time. For now friends, let me wind up this video. See you in the next video. Take care. B bye. Jai Hind.

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