🚨 Don't SAY I didn't WARN YOU: HUGE FED Meeting Tomorrow as OIL Price ELEVATED and War Escalates!!

Moneyvest www.youtube.com

Brief Summary

This YouTube video by Moneyvest, hosted by Karth, discusses key market updates and the upcoming FOMC meeting. It covers topics such as interest rate expectations, the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices, and technical analysis of various stocks. The video also touches on opportunities in options trading during sideways market conditions and promotes the Moneyvest platform and community.

  • The FOMC meeting is expected to hold interest rates steady, with potential rate cuts not anticipated until late 2024 or early 2025.
  • Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Iran, are influencing oil prices and market volatility.
  • Technical analysis suggests many stocks are trading sideways, presenting opportunities for options trading.

Intro and FOMC Meeting Preview

Karth introduces the importance of the upcoming FOMC meeting, scheduled for March 18th, which includes Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, the interest rate decision, and the summary of economic projections. This summary will provide insights into interest rates, inflation, economic growth, and unemployment, with the Federal Reserve outlining interest rate projections for the coming years.

Geopolitical Updates and Oil Prices

The video addresses geopolitical tensions, including the resignation of counterterrorism director Joe Kent, who opposes the ongoing war and claims Iran poses no imminent threat. These tensions are impacting oil prices, which have topped $103 a barrel due to reluctance from US allies to escort tankers in the Strait. Despite this, oil prices closed at just over $94 per barrel, with volatility decreasing.

Interest Rate Expectations and Market Outlook

The market is pricing in no change to interest rates at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with futures suggesting policy makers won't consider easing until at least September or October. The Federal Reserve's previous summary of economic projections indicated only one rate cut was expected in 2026. The market is now aligning with the Federal Reserve's expectations of only one rate cut in 2026, subject to changes in oil prices and the overall economy.

Moneyvest Platform and Market Snapshot

Karth promotes the Moneyvest platform, highlighting its features, tools, and community benefits, including trade alerts and access to experienced members. The market snapshot shows a flat market with mixed performance across different sectors. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ are up, while the Dow Jones remains flat.

Options Trading Opportunities

The current market conditions, characterized by sideways trading and consolidation, are ideal for learning and profiting from options trading. The S&P 500 and individual stocks like Tesla are trading within ranges, allowing for premium generation through options strategies. Moneyvest offers an options course with comprehensive content, from basics to advanced strategies.

Market Indicators and Technical Analysis

The Moneyvest index indicates uncertainty in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, with volatility trading in the low 20s. Seasonality suggests March is typically a red month. The video also reviews market concentration and data-driven signals, including market breadth and RSI indicators. Year-to-date performance shows the S&P 500 and NASDAQ down by 1.8%.

Technical Analysis of Key Stocks

Karth provides technical analysis for several key stocks, including:

  • S&P 500: Resistance at 7,000 points, support at 6,550.
  • NASDAQ: Trading in a downtrending channel, support near 22,000, resistance up to 24,000.
  • Apple: Consolidating sideways, resistance at 254-265, support at 244-245.
  • Amazon: Making moves higher, support at 212, resistance up to 220s.
  • SoFi: Support at 17.30, resistance at 19.80-20.
  • Meta Platforms: Consolidating sideways, support at 589-590, resistance overhead.
  • Tesla: Lower highs and lower lows, support at 380, resistance at 410-411.
  • Nvidia: Trading in a range, support at 170, resistance at 200.
  • AMD: Support at 189, resistance at 220.
  • Broadcom: Support at 338, resistance at 359-360.
  • Netflix: Support at 93-94, with another support level at 82, resistance at 100.
  • Google: Resistance at 310-320, support at 295-300.
  • Microsoft: Consolidating sideways, support at 387-388, resistance at 410-412.
  • Palantir: Showing a potential bull flag, resistance at 169-170.

Concluding Remarks and FOMC Meeting Reminder

Karth concludes by summarizing the market's sideways consolidation and the escalating geopolitical conflicts. He reminds viewers about the upcoming FOMC meeting and encourages them to tune in for live coverage. He also promotes the Moneyvest community and its benefits, including a 40% annual discount.

Summarize any YouTube video in seconds

Get summaries like this one for any video, in your language, with the free Summ app.

Download on the App Store
Get it on Google Play

Transcript

Full transcript of “🚨 Don't SAY I didn't WARN YOU: HUGE FED Meeting Tomorrow as OIL Price ELEVATED and War Escalates!!”. Click a timestamp to open the video at that moment. Need another video? Use the YouTube transcript generator.

0:06 What's up everyone? It's Karth with Money Vest and let's get ready for a very very important day tomorrow as we do have the FOMC meeting with Chairman Jerome Powell's speech as well as the interest rate decision and most importantly the summary of economic projections that's also going to be coming out. So tomorrow is going to be March 18th. You see that asterk that simply means that the meeting is going to be accompanied with the summary of economic projections giving us insight into interest rates, inflation, economic growth and unemployment as well. And essentially the Federal Reserve penciling down their interest rate projections for 2026, 2027, 2028 and also the longer run target as well. couple very important updates as the

0:53 counterterrorism um director Joe Kent resigns over war and he says that Iran pose no imminent threat and he says I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war um and again we just will never know really where the truth really lies right because there's just going to be contradictory information coming out at all times but he says I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war uh Kent a promot voter far-right conspiracy theories uh whom the Senate narrowly confirmed from the director role last July accused the president of being deceived by Israel into supporting the war. Iran posed no im imminent threat to our nation and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby. So that's the that's the big update

1:41 there in terms of the ongoing conflict. Iran continues to target the UAE energy infrastructure as they also did attack uh tanker ships coming out and in and out of the of the emirate of Fgera that's a little bit more on the east side and as oil prices top over $103 as US allies reluctant to escort tankers in the straight of uh continues to put a lot of pressure on this commodity although we did close at just over $94 per barrel so we did get up to as much as 95 96 I mean yesterday we were trading up to over $98 a barrel and right now we are sitting at just over $94 uh dollar per barrel here as average for the last 7 days sitting at 93 and average for the last uh 50 days. So 50 days we're sitting at almost $69 a

2:28 barrel here as volatility also did come down and got crushed to 222. So down almost 5% here on the day. But the big question is going to be the Fed issuing its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday. And the market right now is very much pricing in for no change. So markets are pricing in near zero chance that interest rate setting FOMC will be cutting at this meeting or any other in the near future. Futures pricing suggesting policy makers won't consider easing until at least September, more likely October. I think last time I checked it was also pushed all the way till December. And even then, just a single cut this year is what the Federal Reserve is expected to do. One more thing I want to point out to you is if you go over to 2025, if you go over to

3:13 the last summary of economic projections, this was on December 10th. If you go over to this PDF, and we'll come down in 2026, they were expecting interest rates to be sitting at around 3.4%. So that was only expected to see one rate cut. So Federal Reserve themselves told us one rate cut. The market is now pricing in for rate cut. We have not been uh in in agreement with each other for a long time. And I think that's where we are now. The market's kind of uh in agreement with the Federal Reserve that there's only going to be a rate cut of one in 2026. Of course, subject to change depending on where oil prices go, depending on where the overall economy also goes. So, make sure that you are ready for this meeting. again tomorrow, Wednesday, March 18th, at 2:00 p.m.

4:00 Eastern. I will be live around 1:30 p.m. Eastern to essentially prep you guys for this big big meeting as well as the economic projections and of course a press conference that starts at 2:30 p.m. Eastern as well. Before we get any further, make sure that you drop a like and subscribe to the channel. Again, links going to be down below if you're interested in joining with that 40% annual discount available until the end of this month. engage with all the members on our discord from all over the world, global members as well as talk about investing, trading, technical, fundamental analysis. Get access to all the trade alerts on Discord, not just from me, but also from all the other more experienced, knowledgeable members as well. And of course, you get access to the Moneyvest platform with all the new tools and features that we're constantly adding. So, this right here is what the Money Vest uh market snapshot looks like as we are seeing a

4:48 little bit of red in semiconductors, some green. Overall, the market's being very very flat and not giving us a very clear sign of direction. As as always, S&P 500 is up over 25 basis points. The NASDAQ was up over half a percent. Uh NASDAQ composite up over half a percent as well. The Dow Jones basically flat. Russell 2000 pushing up 67 basis points. And this is also the market in my opinion one of the best markets to actually learn options trading as well because as the markets are trading sideways and they're not really going anywhere. there. So, if you come over to the S&P 500, you'll notice that we are essentially just trading back and forth here, sideways. There's no direction. And that's true for a lot of individual stocks as well. I mean, take a look at Tesla, for example. It's literally just trading inside this downtrending channel. I mean, look at these candles,

5:33 right? They're so tightly uh tucked together as there is no clear direction. There's not a lot of gap ups or gap downs. And I mean, the range for Tesla has been quite low. Oh, I mean we only have a 10 11% range within which Tesla's been trading now since September of last year. So it's been 6 months 7 months that Tesla has been trading at these levels. And if you go further back, we're at the same level as we were from back in January of 2025. So it's been well over a year and 3 months that Tesla has been trading at these levels. So this in my opinion is one of the best times to actually start learning options as markets trade sideways in a range consolidating and we can generate a ton of premium trading options as well. So we do have this options course tiers the middle tier that has over 21 plus videos. This is the course curriculum for the entire options trading catalog.

6:20 You will literally learn from the basics options basics 101 introduction to options all the way to advanced strategies including 44 point checklist that you can download as a PDF spreadsheets iron condors butterflies straddle strangles everything is going to be taught uh in that in that tier. So again consider it. Any questions email me at adminoneyvest.com. So coming back over to the platform, the money vest index ended up at around I think just a little bit at three. So just under three is where we are right now. So uncertainty for the S&P and NASDAQ is right now sitting I think also at three. Crazy. Both of them are sitting at exactly the same levels. Both the S&P and NASDAQ are sitting at three. Volatility dashboard coming down trading in the low 20s. We are probably going to be in the 70th percentile. So 73

7:07 percentile is where we are. So again, the higher the VIX goes, the better the opportunities, better the riskreward. And as the VIX is high, it is time to buy. Something that we always have to remember. Um, seasonalitywise, we are looking at March still red. So we'll see if the markets can recover this month, but we're still down 2.3% for the month of March. Still a lot better than what we witnessed last year when the markets were down over 5.7%. Um, and then of course looking at the uh market concentration, we had about $148 billion worth of inflows on the day. And this is also the dashboard that I don't really go over as much, but has a lot of data driven signals and of course quantified numbers on this dashboard

7:52 showing us the market overview, the market breath, RSI indicator, the streaks, consecutive days, consecutive days or percentage above SMA, and of course the market's performance as well. Year to date, we got the S&P 500 down 1.8%. NASDAQ is down 1.86% as well. So, coming back over to the technicals, S&P 500 is looking at this resistance again. Support level is going to stay put all the way down to 6550. So, this is clearly going to be a very, very important level of support. And of course, the resistance that we continue to get rejected at and are not able to break out of is going to be 7,000 points for the S&P. Coming over to the NASDAQ and NASDAQ also trading inside this downtrending channel. So lower highs and lower lows continue and we got a very

8:38 strong support down here close to 22,000 points and we got a resistance all the way up to as much as 23,000 to as much as 236 to 24,000 for um for the NASDAQ. So that is the lower high and lower low pattern. Coming over to Apple and Apple here also pulling back a little bit again consolidating sideways. resistance is going to stay put at 254 255. So in and around those levels here all the way up to as much as 265 and the very strong support down to as low as 244 245 for Apple. So this is going to be that level of support resistance right now sitting put at 254 all the way to 265 for Apple. Coming over to Amazon and Amazon here also starting to make some moves higher 1.6% 6% support level is going to stay

9:24 put roughly around here at close to 212. That is the new support and a resistance all the way up to as much as 220s for Amazon. So did get some uh insider buying. I think Anthony notto picked up more shares of SoFi. Volume was pretty high and then um we're seeing a support level for SoFi roughly at 1730. It did drop down to 1650 very briefly and this is going to stay put as a very strong area of support. I think accumulation is going to start for SoFi very soon here as we're seeing a little bit of that already but not a lot but volume has been picking up and I have been buying it on a lot of members in our discord have been picking up SoFi shares and so support levels is going to stay at 1730 with a resistance all the way up to 1980 to as much as $20 for SoFi. Coming over

10:12 to um Meta Platforms and Meta here down 70 basis points getting rejected at this resistance right about there. Support level is going to stay roughly at 589 close to 590 and it continues to consolidate sideways in that trading zone for Meta Platforms. Tesla on the other hand we already went over lower highs and lower lows. Support level is going to stay at 380 for Tesla with a resistance all the way up to 410 to 411 for Tesla. Coming over to Nvidia and Nvidia also pulling back down about 70 basis points once again just pretty much trading in that range consolidating sideways. This is the entire pattern within which Nvidia is trading and support level is going to stay up at 170 with a resistance up to 200. Advanced micro devices also support level 189

10:58 resistance all the way up here around 220 for AMD. And this is the entire chart and pattern within which it's been trading consolidating sideways. Uh coming over to Broadcom. So Broadcom also pulling back a little bit here. Support level is going to stay put at $37. Uh that is going to be that area of support. Resistance all the way up to as much as $359 360 for Broadcom. So that is the level of resistance and support level is going to stay up at $38 for Broadcom as well. Coming over to uh Netflix and Netflix on the day was down about 88 basis points. Still validating that support a little bit at 93 $94 all the way down to 82 bucks. So, that is going to be another support level to watch in case we get a breakdown below this level and a resistance that it's struggling to break out of is going to stay put at close to $100. My shares got

11:46 sold at 85 bucks because I had the call strike at 85 plus the premium that I received. So, happy for it. But if it does drop back down in the 80s, I will be looking at either selling CSPs or picking up more stock uh to once again sell some covered calls on Netflix. Coming over to Google and Microsoft. Google showing signs of some momentum coming up to that resistance again around 310 to $312 per share. So 310 to 320 actually. So that is going to be that area of resistance for Google which it's struggling to break out of at least right now and a support level that's going to stay about$ 295 to a little bit under $300 for for Google. Coming over to Microsoft and Microsoft also consolidating sideways and this right here is the overall uh downtrending channel. uh support level is going to stay put roughly around 387 388 with a

12:32 resistance all the way up to $410 $412 for Microsoft. And finally, we come over to Palunteer and Palanteer also seems to be making a little bit of a bull flag as well with this entire move higher consolidating sideways if we do get a breakout which I would not be surprised to see that on some good volume resistance all the way up to 169 to 170 for Palanteer. So, hope you all enjoyed this video and a complete update on this crazy market that continues to consolidate sideways, doesn't give us any direction as the war and the conflict continues to escalate in the wrong direction. Uh, and of course moving in the wrong direction as oil prices stay elevated. Federal Reserve is going to be scheduled for tomorrow. So, make sure that you do tune in at around 1:30 p.m. Eastern to uh to to look to

13:19 basically understand what the Federal Reserve is planning to do and of course the summary of economic projections as well. link is going to be down below if you're interested in joining our Money Vest community with that 40% annual discount available until the end of this month. And as always, happy investing.

Share

More video summaries