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0:03 Hello friends, today is 27th July 2025, a new trading week is going to start from tomorrow, 28th July Monday, so in this video we will talk about many important latest updates related to the stock market, I will share with you many important latest updates along with the global market situation, FSDS data and the most important part, tomorrow's market analysis, so I would request all of you to please watch the video till the end without skipping and especially in the last three-four minutes of this video, when we will analyze the market, we will try to understand which way the market can go tomorrow, do not miss that at all. Ok so let's first check out what our market analyst said today. Friends, today this topic was covered by an analyst from LKP Securities. Now, because on the last day Nifty broke many important support levels and closed on a downside. The most vital among them was
0:50 24,900, above which it had received support many times before. Due to breaking of that level, now see, the analyst has said that the support level is 24700, if 24700 is also broken then 24500, if 24700 is broken then 24500 and on the upside the near term resistance mentioned is 25000, by the way friends, if I ask all of you that sir what do you think, tomorrow i.e. on Monday, which way will the market go, up, down, right, left, whatever is your opinion, please share it by commenting in the comment box, well the same topic was covered by Money Control. Another analyst expressed his opinion and point of view about the market. See Technical View Bearish Belt Hold Pattern Signals Weakness.
1:35 So like the first analyst, the second analyst has also signaled a little weakness. It also said that Nifty will fall towards breaking of 24,700 s moving average. So, if the last day's closing was just above 24,800, it is broken then it can also fall till 24,700. Also, see, a range has been mentioned like 24,500 to 25,500, a range of about 1000 points and on near term basis, a smaller range has been mentioned like 24,600 to 25,200. So this topic will be explained well in the last three-four mid-terms of this video. Keep watching till the end. But before that, friends, a lot of important economic data was out for the next week or last day. There are many latest
2:21 updates related to the tariff trade deal which I will share with you now. So try doing it patiently, step by step. Well, last day i.e. on Friday, a very important economic data of India, that is, the Forex reserves data of India is falling for back to back three weeks, friends. According to last week's update, there has been a drop of 1.18 billion. Today the total forex reserve that India had was Rs 695.49 billion. Let's see what happens next. But yes, after seeing this data there is no need to worry too much. Because look at the Forex reserves, it keeps increasing and decreasing. And especially you can understand that in such a critical situation, especially to keep the Indian currency, Indian Rupee stable, some amount has to be utilized
3:07 by the Central Bank and according to me that is what has happened because you can understand that since last two-three weeks there has been a slight decline in the Indian currency evaluation. If it was not utilized, it would have fallen even more. Ok? Well remember friends, some important data will be out next week. Like when will India's manufacturing PMI data be out? You can look at it a little bit. It will be out 1st August. It will be out on 1st August, the forecast is 59.2 let's see what happens. I will give you the update on the same day. Well, another important data will be out next week. First prediction data of US GDP data. Look, this time the forecast is 2.4%, I hope it will be around this. Because the last quarter was very bad. - was 0.5%. Meaning, the GDP had
3:52 reached the contraction phase. So you will get to know this data on 30 July 2025. So that means on Wednesday Very Very Important Death July because first of all see the US GDP will be red out. Along with that friends remember I will tell you roughly. The outcome of the FMC meeting will also be there on that day. Ok? So this time the FMC meeting is also very vital. It is also vital because this time a lot of pressure has been put on the red cut. Jarmm Payal Sahib, you must know that last week there was a meeting also between Donald and Poyal Sahib, let's see what happens on 30th of July. Well next friends we will talk about a comment made about the market by a market analyst Ajay Baga. So he said don't short this market. OK better does this post tariff resolution. Yes. Look, I would like to agree 100% with what he is saying
4:41 that look, the fall that is happening today, I especially want to tell all those investors who have just started investing in 2025, all this is a part of the market. I have been watching it for years. What would you say specifically about the lockdown ? At that time you had no clarity as to what would happen next or not. The unlocking process may or may not start at any time. Isn't it? So, whatever situation you are facing today, look at it positively. How? Because as of today suppose there is a decline in some X and Z shares. There is no individual role of the companies behind it. Isn't it? So whatever is happening is happening because of geopolitics. Whatever global issues are there, take advantage of them and invest slowly and with discipline, keeping a long-term view or long-term vision in mind.
5:26 Ok? Okay next friends we will talk about another important update. This is today's update. Return has published this. China's industrial profits fall further in June. Further in June, this means that last month also there was a decline in China's industrial profit. And friends, I will try to remind you again. What did I tell you before this ? Look, China or the US, US, okay it is the largest economy but no matter how big China tries to show itself, their economy is struggling a lot from within, remember that, and the prime example of this is in front of you, friends, China's industrial profit has fallen once again, I want to give you one more proof, those who still do not believe, friends, this is today's report, one in three, US smartphone import,
6:14 now made in India, China sleeve shrink, you are understanding the meaning, right? See what is the base of China's economy? You need to understand this. Manufacturing is the base of China's economy. China has taken the contract of manufacturing goods all over the world. Even today it is in the leading position. There is no company around him either. Meaning sorry there is no country. Also around China. But still the manufacturing or manufacturers of China are slowly shifting. Which side? Towards India. Especially in the electronic manufacturing service sector, huge changes took place. There has been a huge change in the last one and a half to two years and I am showing you its prime example. Friends, out of all the smartphones being used in the US, only one in three is a Made in India smartphone and China's market share is slowly shrinking from there.
6:59 What could be a better update than this? What could be better than this? Isn't it? Ok next, see, there is one more update, this time domestic update, Government signed MoU agreement signed worth 5000 crore 500 crore to develop Megawatt green power, ok, very good, one more friends, I had already given tonight's update in the last video, those who did not see it, please have a look at it, TCS to cut 2% of workforce affecting 12000 employees, 12000 employees emerge, skill gap and tech shift, so TCS has suddenly taken the decision that why don't we cut 2% workforce to reduce our expenses, or we can say that the company has started a type of lay-off process, which was already going on in the US for the last few years,
7:47 friends, now Indian companies have also started doing it, TCS has taken this decision today. Let's see what impact it has tomorrow. This is the update as of this evening. The CEO of TCS has come and said that we have to take this bold decision based on the present situation. Ok. Ok friends, next time please see the important update. I had already shared this update in the first video of the day today. Those who have not seen it, please take a look at it. US trade deal in advanced stage of talks. This is the statement of India's Union Minister Piyush Goyal. Along with this he also said that India is trying to make trade deals or you can say FTA (free trade agreement) not only with the US but also with many other countries. Like Oman, EU, European Union, US is there obviously.
8:32 Apart from this, New Zealand, Chile and Peru are there. Now trying to sign FTA with all these countries, that means Free Trade Agreement, and this can somewhere boost up the business of India's industry and Indian companies in the near future or in the long term future, okay let's see what happens next, next see another important update, what is the update, Donald Trump mentioned India-Pakistan conflict, again Donald Trump has mentioned India-Pakistan conflict again while taking credit for Cambodia, Thailand cease fire, this guy, I mean my uncle, one is hungry for praise and the other is hungry for tariff. What is your opinion friends, tell us by commenting whatever your opinion is. Well next this is the update that I'm going to share with you guys.
9:18 This is the latest update as of this evening. Trade Deal Keeper. Look, this is the official update from the US Government. See what is the update? US rules out extension of August 1st tariff deadline. So, meaning 31st July is the last deadline. You will not get any extension after August 1. Meaning, whatever, whatever has to be done, do it within four days today, see where this news has come from, first see it. The United States will not offer any extension to its August 1st tariff deadline. So that means 31st of July is the last day. Commerce Secretary in Huat Lutnick said, that is, the US government official said, confirmed on Sunday, as of today, according
10:05 to AFP, which was the media which covered it first, this rules out any possibility of second extension from the initial July 9, the deadline which was on July 9 has been extended further till July 31, so there is no chance of it. Ok? Said by President Trump. Let's see what happens next. So next week is going to be very important. Well along with that, look, this is the latest update from tonight. Look, this is tonight's update as of 9:51. What is the update? China, US to extend tariff pause at Sweden talks by another 90 days. Brother, these people are different, they are in a story in their own way. Meaning, on one hand, you can see the duplicity of these people. On one hand, the US has already said this, the government official, which I just showed you, that there will be
10:51 no further extension after August 1st. On the other hand, US and China have signed an agreement here. Look at the talks that took place through China and US to extend tariff pause at Sweden, the talks that took place here in Sweden between the US and Chinese government officials or the Bol delegation, Talk Within 90 Days. So, it means that the US had imposed 30% tariff on China. You might remember that China had also imposed a tariff of 20% on the US. This was the conclusion in the end. So he will extend it for another 90 days, friends. Meaning it will not apply. But for the rest of the countries it will be implemented from August 1st. So friends, what is your opinion about this? Please tell us by commenting. So these are two updates, this is tonight's update just now. Ok? Well that's your six update on Terrific Tradel.
11:36 Well, remember tomorrow, 28th July, results of many big and small company banks will be out. Please take a note of it quickly. Like adani green result will be out tomorrow. Apart from this, Apple's result will be out. Apple Hospital is good apart from this ATGL Adan Total Gas Ltd result will be out. Bell result will be out tomorrow. The result of Bel Bel, a big company of defense sector will be out. Well, tomorrow more Five Star results will be out. JK paper result will be out. KE Limited result will be out. Lakshmi Chemical or Lakshmi Organic is a big company, results will be out. Well, tomorrow the result of another defense sector company, Bajga Dog will be out. M Sum M Sum result will be out. Apart from this, good NTPC Green result will be out.
12:24 Railtel result will be out tomorrow. Remember it or note it down on paper. Ok? Well Torren Farma result will be out tomorrow. So these are some companies, good and energy and the results of energy will also be out tomorrow on 28th July. So friends, tomorrow the results of some companies will be out and I will request all of you, if you have not yet subscribed to the channel, please do so quickly. Tomorrow as soon as the update comes from all these companies, I will immediately give you an update through the video. Alright and when we move ahead, the next update is related to the market like last night on Friday night the closing in DJS was very good, ok, NDA closed hitting its all time high, so around the same level, now what is the problem that the US market may be high but the economy of the US has become very hollow. Especially since this tariff has been going on. Well the
13:09 US 10 year bond yield dropped further by around 1/2%. Also let's go inside the brain crude okay. There has been some correction last day. The valuation of Indian currency is also continuously dropping. Or Indian companies like Wipro Limited closed down by 0.34% in arrears. Infosys' arrears version also closed down by 1.75%. HDFC Bank 's ADR version also closed 0.21% down and ICICI Bank's ADR version also closed 0.44% down. Okay, where was the position of Nifty last day gift ? Just take a look at the closing time. ₹ 24,000 at 842 points. Remember a little better Friday when I was recording the 10:30 video. I am remembering something then I showed you 24,000 it was around 800.
13:55 Isn't it? So I have recovered a little bit since then. But still the Indian market is not very high as compared to where it closed last day. Closing was given at the same level where closing was. Ok? Meaning gift Nifty's position and last day, if the environment remains like this then which FI will come to India to buy, right? You will only see sell off by FI. But it is also true that if the trade deal goes in India's favor, then again a huge inflow can come from FI. Ok? So you can see that last day, FI sold shares worth Rs 10,979 crore and DI bought shares worth Rs 2138 crore. Well, look at the rest, there is really no new update from the Middle East. The same shelling is going on around the world and the TA 35 Israeli top index today closed down 0.83%. Ok. So friends, I have
14:40 shared with you all the important updates. Now let me take you to the market analysis part. Taken last 3 month candlestick chart pattern of Nifty 50. Now, whatever I am going to tell you, listen very carefully, observe every point, every number carefully, okay and before that friends I would request all of you that if you liked the video till now, found it informative, then please like the video and friends, please keep subscribing to the channel to get such informative videos everyday, well watch in between because the market was closed for two full days Saturday and Sunday, so tomorrow if possible early morning, then track the futures of DJS and futures of NSDCC once before the Indian market opens so that you get a little estimate about the sentiment of the global market, as to which side it is. Ok? Well, look at the other side, you might know about some important sectors, I had
15:26 shared them with you last day. Axis Bank result was out. Axis Bank means Axis Bank is the stock with top 10 weightage in the top 10 of NFT 50, so due to Axis Bank, you will see its impact on Bank Nifty tomorrow. So, one means Axis Bank individually and apart from that Bank Nifty sector wise. Ok? Keep an eye. Along with this, the IT sector is very important because whatever matter is going on right now is happening with the US only. So if something good or bad happens there, where will the impact be seen in ITES and already today we have seen that TCS has given the direction of laying off 12,000 employees. Ok? Okay, let 's talk about chart pattern analysis. Look, this is the one day chart pattern. Last day means last day means Friday, really the closing was very bad. It was very disappointing because even though there was a decline on Thursday. There were some
16:13 weaknesses but still what happened on Thursday? This red colored line that you are seeing, the red colored line means the 50 days EMA did not at least cross it. Somehow I managed to hold on to this. Ok? But the thing is that Last Day has not even reached close to this line. Please try to understand what I am saying. Look at last day, the 50 days EMA line is here and the intraday high prices are here, meaning there is a huge gap inside, are you able to understand this, this is the problem, due to which, right now the resistance, I would say, is only at 25,000. There is no need to look further above. Just reclaim and hold Rs. 25,000 only. There are very many. There is a lot. That too
17:01 will be quite tough. Well, now the question arises that where will the sir go down, meaning if it falls further down then how far can it go? So friends, here I will show you the 4 hour chart pattern. Look at this 4-hour chart pattern, meaning each candle, sorry, each candle represents four hours. Ok? So before this, if you look back a bit and see, support was received here once and here for some time. Which level is this? Let me zoom out a little bit and show you. Look at this. This adds up to your Rs 24,750. The second one became 24,500. Ok? To note. Look at this. This this this one, I will write it down for you once. So if there is a fall below, suppose there is a bigger fall then 24 750 is the first support level S1, S1 means support
17:46 and S2 becomes the support, the second support becomes resistance above 24500, I have told you, these are the two support levels below 25000, let's see what happens tomorrow, well, if we talk about Bank Nifty, last day's closing of Bank Nifty was also actually very bad because Bank Nifty was somehow staying on the 20 days or above the blue colored line, you can see here, I am showing you by full zoom, somehow it was staying on this line. But last day it broke this line and reached a very low level and now only one indicator is left. Still I would say that if we compare with Nifty 50, the closing position of Bank Nifty was still better. Because Nifty 50 had already broken the 20 days mark long ago. Last day broke the 50 days. But at least Bank Nifty did not break 50 days. Gave closing on that only. Ok? So this is the most important support level for Bank Nifty tomorrow. The 50 days EMA is slightly
18:32 hidden here. I will give it to you in writing. Its number is 56 350 at this level. Ok? This is the support of yesterday's Bank Nifty and if it falls further down then support can be found directly at the important level or psychological level of 56,000. And on the upside, the only level right now is 57,000. Ok? So friends, I have explained Nifty 50, Bank Nifty very well to you based on chart patterns or indicators. Rest, if you have any doubt or confusion, tell us by commenting. Well before winding up the video, what I always tell you is that you can understand how risky the market is and especially next week is extremely risky, there are so many events, tariff deadline, FMC meeting, so and so date will be out, so don't make the mistake, friends, don't do all these things like FNO trading, put call, buy sell hold,
19:18 intraday even by mistake, especially if you do n't have any knowledge or experience regarding this, then it's fine, normally watch the video, learn and know, if there is any problem then I am there for you guys, tell me by commenting. So always keep subscribing to the channel. Ok ? So see you in the next video. Let me wind up the video. Take care.