0:00 Hello everyone, a month ago I analyzed in detail why Hassan Rouhani is doomed for sure and I firmly bought more when it was falling Everything has come true these days Hassan Rouhani and the top officials of Iran were all taken down The gold ETF GDX surged to an all-time high The defense ETF PPA SHLD also performed well I took profits on most positions yesterday Gold and gold mining ETFs Feeling great! I'm ready to start laying out a better board after the war. Next, I'll tell you all about it. If you like what I'm doing, for friends who stick with me for wealth-building ideas, please take a moment to subscribe and like. Important reminder: This video is my personal investment notes, not investment advice. The stocks and ETFs I've chosen. All come through deep thinking and logical reasoning. I hope you watch my video to the end, and then conduct in-depth research based on your own situation. Now quickly review the war situation,
0:46 which is very important for our next investment direction. February 28th weekend, Hassan Rouhani and almost all top Iranian officials were killed in the epic wrath of the US-Israel joint forces. Afterwards, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard entered a frenzy of doomsday mode where mid-level officers followed the default plan and started indiscriminately launching missiles causing chaos. As a result, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and others almost all Gulf countries were attacked by Iran. Britain, France, and Germany have declared war. And Saudi Arabia is ready to beat up Iran Saudi Arabia is Sunni In fact, they are archenemies with Iran So to make money from this war We must focus on a key variable which is when the war will end This timing is crucial Why? Because if the war ends early
1:31 like in two or three weeks, then gold oil, defense, and other sectors will quickly decline But if the war continues for two or three months, or even half a year, then this issue will become quite complicated. The military-industrial energy sector may continue to soar, but other sectors will be particularly hard hit. Because of the persistently high oil prices, inflation will be ignited. There is no hope for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, all growth stocks and tech stocks will plummet significantly. So when will this war approximately end? Just decided directly When do we re-enter asset allocation Trump said it's basically 4 weeks Secretary of State Pompeo and Defense Secretary Esper mentioned in the press conference The strategic goal of the United States is to destroy all of Iran's ballistic missiles and weapons production capability including naval forces and facilities As for whether to overthrow the Iranian regime They consider it a byproduct The key is still the Iranian people
2:17 Now Iran says The Strait of Hormuz has been completely closed While the US claims the Iranian navy has been wiped out Everyone don't need to worry But the current oil tankers Are actually outside the Strait of Hormuz Dare not enter The main reason is Now the world's major insurance companies don't let them pass you could do it yourself in the past but if something happens the insurance company won't cover it and just now the news Middle Eastern oil tankers heading to Asia have oil prices of $450,000 per day so the South Korean stock market, which focuses on high-tech manufacturing The market dropped by 6% in the morning. Japan fell by 3%. This indicates a high level of panic in the market. They don't know when the war will end. How long will it continue? How long can the Hormuz Strait be closed? However, based on some other news speculations, it is also possible that this war will end in 4 to 6 weeks. Mainly involving the UK, France, Germany, and Saudi Arabia,
3:04 as well as the Gulf countries. The US is now using war AI in combat. Once Iran's missile launch vehicle fires a missile, the US satellite AI will track their trajectory. F35 B2 bombers will then directly eliminate them. The AI industry chain, which I will mention later, is an important investment target. Everyone, pay attention. AI can help the US military eliminate terrorists, but it can also be used by bad actors. Used to steal our phone's information and privacy Nowadays, buying US stocks is as easy as a few taps on your phone. But honestly, having all your investment account passwords stored on your phone is actually quite risky. Whenever I'm out or traveling, I always turn on Surfshark VPN first to protect my personal data and privacy. Surfshark VPN creates a dedicated encrypted tunnel for you, hiding your browsing activity and IP address. Neither internet service providers nor hackers can spy on your online activity. When you're commuting or traveling,
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4:34 Download Surfshark VPN and keep your investments and online privacy safe! Great, thank you all for your support Mobile security is a must for everyone So when will the war end now It's a very big uncertainty If the war continues to escalate In addition, Iran's territory is too large Unable to timely eliminate the missile launch vehicles hidden in the mountains This ultimately leads to the closure of the Hormuz Strait for several weeks or even more than a month, which would result in a global increase in oil prices. This would be followed by a rise in prices in the United States, shattering expectations of an interest rate cut. The US dollar index rises, while gold falls. So, everyone, pay attention: Gold prices may also fall now, as a short-term hedge. But in the long run, once the US dollar raises interest rates, it won't be hedged anymore. So in the worst case scenario, trending upwards, which may continue for a few weeks until the end of the war, followed by a spike and then a drop.
5:21 trending upwards, which may continue for a few weeks until the end of the war, followed by a spike and then a drop. So if you join now the risk may be higher Regarding gold, I am optimistic in the long run, but this time the war pushed the gold ETF, GDX, to its peak early, and the gold ETF, GLD, has already risen significantly. The war premium in the market has been exhausted. So on Monday, I sold a portion, holding cash and watching the situation. When the stocks plummet, buy various very cheap stocks that have plummeted. This is the most exciting part. Now, the most crucial thing is, if we don't know now when the war will end, how should we invest? Let me show you a chart. This is the Pearl Harbor Bay battle after World War II, following the Iraq War and the Afghanistan War. The trend of the US S&P
6:08 These charts illustrate The US stock market after the war They all rise And they rise more fiercely than before This is the post-war reconstruction period Since 1950 Major geopolitical conflicts of the S&P 500 In the following 12 months The average increase is 9% This is because after each war ends, the world enters a new cycle of restructuring infrastructure and supply chains. The conclusion is, whenever a war ends, the United States and Iran will eventually reach an agreement. Once the agreement is reached, the US stock market will take off. For those new friends who haven't entered the market before, your opportunity has arrived. And the masters who have already entered are now waiting for the right time to sweep goods. My strategy is to divide the funds into 3-5 parts. Take one step at a time.
6:54 Look at the extent of the market's decline. Buy slowly. When others are in fear, you don't buy. Wait until everyone is not afraid, then you will miss your chance. It must be a violent rebound. I speculate myself This war probably won't last long Because Iran now has no navy No air force And these missile launchers Are already under surveillance by the US war AI satellite Being destroyed one by one Once Iran loses most of its missile launch capability The Strait of Hormuz will be open Then the rebound of the US stock market will be even more intense And this rebound, It will overlay two super trends, One is post-war reconstruction, The other set, Is the AI infrastructure I mentioned before, Grid upgrades, Key minerals, oil, natural gas, The restructuring of this energy supply chain, So, The logical chain of thought I'm considering is like this. The war ends and the risk aversion subsides.
7:40 Funds will flow out of these oil defense sectors. Gold will also flow out. Then flow back into AI chips, AI infrastructure, and electric power sectors. Copper mining, public utility infrastructure, and so on. These sectors are all supported by real fundamentals. They are all profitable. And they are consistently profitable. Not speculative trading. Okay, the logic is clear now. Our investment direction after this war can be divided into two categories. Stable type and aggressive type. For those who are older or have lower risk tolerance, stable type players can invest in ETFs. Mainly investing in industries that AI cannot change and industries urgently needed for the development of AI infrastructure in the United States. The first one is the public utility ETF XLU. This is a collection of power companies. No matter who fights, who builds data centers,
8:26 this electricity will be used. And in the next three years, the United States will experience a severe shortage of electricity. Public utilities perform well in a period of declining interest rates and in a hedging environment. The performance is good. The dividend is around 2.8-3% every year. The second one is the infrastructure ETF PAVE. This covers companies related to infrastructure construction in the United States, including bridges, highways, grid upgrades, water conservancy construction, and so on. Both parties in the United States have consensus on infrastructure investment. Whoever becomes president will promote it. The third one to consider is the copper mining ETF, such as COPX. J.P. Morgan predicts Global refined copper deficit of 330,000 tons in 2026 The main demand for copper comes from AI data centers Triple overlay of electric vehicle, power grid, and infrastructure Many people have left me messages Saying they want to create An investment portfolio that can be left unattended Don't forget the core of this portfolio
9:12 It's SPY VOO Index funds like QQQ are essential choices You can also add AI to it. Semiconductor index SMH Recently, the big drop is all opportunities. After configuring the ETF, you should also allocate some individual stocks. Individual stocks have the largest fluctuations, but the returns will also be higher. AI is a major direction, and this time the war has already taken Anthropics' Claude. XAI has turned into military-industrial stocks So this rebound PLTR is very impressive Rose 6% in a single day Breakthrough with high volume But stocks that rise sharply like this will also fall sharply My style is more conservative I like to make money slowly Continuously making money So I choose the more stable direction This is the infrastructure direction of AI NVIDIA has recently dropped nearly 10% But there are no issues with the financial report And the current valuation of NVIDIA is even cheaper than before
9:58 So I will buy again in batches The same logic applies to Google To increase positions in the energy sector, the leader is GEV There is also oil and natural gas The leader in power infrastructure construction A company called PWR provides comprehensive services When they build infrastructure, they need to use copper wire. Copper wire means buying Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO). Now AI construction has another hot sector. That is photovoltaic modules. Some small and medium-sized stocks double in just a few weeks. It's very scary. I prefer stability. I like medium and large companies. So I have my eye on a stock. It's Corning Incorporated (GLW). You all know Corning, right? It supplies screens to Apple and Samsung. It's also one of the world's largest fiber optic manufacturers. With a history of 170 years. The moat is very deep. Manufactured in the United States. If Corning pulls back, I will continue to buy.
10:44 My logic is that the market is not afraid of war, What the market fears is uncertainty. Once the direction of the war is clear the market will start pricing in post-war recovery Hopefully this moment will come soon End the war quickly Of course, I must give everyone a risk warning I didn't say today or tomorrow You buy all at once Because no one knows when the war will end How much will the entire stock market fall I don't know either The future is a kind of quantum physics a superposition state that no one can see clearly But as I said before the direction will not change After the war SPY, S&P 500, QQQ they will all rise significantly and a drop is an opportunity The key is to have cash flow Keep having spare money to continuously buy low So never go all in
11:31 Lastly, what I want to say is Truly smart people will research the directions I talked about on their own and wait for the best timing to slowly buy in instead of coming in to criticize like some netizens I said a month ago that Hassan Rouhani would be finished Need to allocate to gold Need to allocate to defense stocks How many people were there in the comment section spraying me at that time? Now, isn't it all being refuted? I welcome rational and logical debates. This way, we can learn from each other. We can complement each other, right? But I don't welcome illogical mutual spraying. Moreover, when I talk about these things, you are not willing to listen. You usually chat with a financial advisor once. The fees are in the hundreds or thousands of dollars. Subscribing to investment bank research reports for a year costs over 2000 dollars. I'm now giving everyone a free lecture Still free of charge So your subscription and likes are my greatest support I also greatly appreciate Surfshark VPN I'm using it now to protect the data security of my phone and laptop
12:17 especially for devices used for investment The discount link is in the pinned comment One cup of coffee per month To protect your own safety Alright, thank you everyone See you next time
