Full transcript of “FOMC TOMORROW! GET READY! Bull Or BEAR RALLY? - apple Tesla nvda google msft sp500 qqq nasdaq nas100”. Click a timestamp to open the video at that moment. Need another video? Use the YouTube transcript generator.
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0:51 [music] >> [music] >> So, as we're about to go into the Fed meeting on Wednesday, and then we actually have some other reports coming out around Fed meeting. I just want to make sure you know that. Don't, you know, just set those aside and not watch them. But, yeah, this is something I do want to talk about, and I usually talk about it on my channel here and there, and I usually talk about how it's like the slingshot move. Usually you'll see some of the indexes move really high and you'll see a really a low index which is the triple Q's this time. You'll see a low index and when those really big indexes that make a really big push, they'll slingshot down and they'll push an index past the 200 moving average or the next moving average, whichever it
1:37 is. Um, a good example is when we were back here. I was talking about it uh for about a couple of days actually when we had a really hard push up on the indexes and everybody was losing their mind and you saw the indexes just give out really hard and they bounce and then we get back down here and we bounce and you see the indexes break and that was mostly the S&P 500 rejecting and it pushed the NAS past its 50 100 the 10 the 20. Now this is one thing I do want you to actually watch out for tomorrow. If we decide to actually push for some crazy reason in the market, you are going to have a couple levels that you need to pay attention to and that is going to be the 50 and the 100 moving average on that like the NAS and I think the SP500 too. Let's actually check it out really quick because I I want you to see the full dynamic of this. Um yeah, the SP500 could push to the 50 or the 100 moving average, the green or the yellow line. And then also on I think the NAS 100 I
2:24 think it no it's still being held down. So there's actually two indexes actually. That's even better for the bears honestly. But here's the thing. So, we're at the top of this channel right here. We've been going on since, you know, midFebruary. And that's one thing I want you to notice. We're at the top of the channel. So, that means there's going to be a lot of resistance right here, especially if we decide to push up more. But here's the thing, guys. Say if the NAS decides to usually push up because sometimes I actually, not sometimes, I've seen it happen a lot where it'll push up really, really hard, especially in the last bare market, it'll push up really, really hard and then just give out. And that's mostly due to it's going to be facing a lot of resistances. Um, the NAS and uh was it the SP500? I totally forgot. Yeah, the SP500 and uh the NAS, the regular NAS are going to face a lot of resistances at this level. So, what I'm saying is this is could this could be the breaking
3:09 point for the indexes where they actually break the 200 simple moving average and you're going to start your bare market. Not a full-blown bare market. The stock markets crash, but you're going to see a lot of levels on the mega 7 actually get cracked. And actually, fun fact, AVGO, I'm pretty sure, unless if it made its gains back today. Let's actually No, it was down one. Yeah, 1.1%. So, um it's still it's breaking its 200 moving average. So that's going to be about four mega7 break our 200. So the more mega7 stocks that do break their 200 moving average or are heading down to it, you're going to see this index crack. But the biggest thing is tomorrow, say if we do push up on the index on the regular NAS, you see this really big, you know, it's breaking out of the channel, it's breaking out of the channel. You'll, you know, you'll see that and then all of a sudden when PAL comes out, sometimes not even after some some days it could be with PAL. I've seen days where it happens the day
3:55 after PAL's speech or the Fed uh decision, but you'll see a really hard push up at a close right here and then overnight you'll see a hard rejection and it'll go down and you'll see everything crack. It's it's glorious. It's a really cool trading day to actually trade and actually understand this. But I just wanted to share some experience with you so you understand, you know, if we do push up, it is not Trust me, bears are going to take control very very quick because they you guys are facing a lot of resistance. A lot of resistance. I can't even talk right now. Um, but yeah, just be very careful because there's a lot of walls you guys have to crack in order to go up even more. So, that's what I'm talking about is if you do see a rally tomorrow, don't freak out. It's mostly just a fake pump and you're probably going to see, you know, a crack. Now, let's actually zoom out really quick because I want to show you this. Now, on the NAS, the NAS
4:42 100, um, the triple Q's, everything like that. Um, let's actually zoom in on a smaller time frame. You can notice how they're at the top of their channel. And this is what I want to point out is if we actually do get this rejection, say if we do push up really hard and it starts to reject. Well, if you notice today the triple Q's and the NAS 100, they didn't even push. And that's what I want to point out is if this NAS and the SP500 does reject from a high and these don't really do anything. These are going to start rejecting from 603. And from 590 to 603, that's only around 500 negative 550 in NAS in the regular NAS. And that's not hard to do. Honestly, that's really not hard to break that 200 moving average. And if that happens, you're going to start seeing a really big sell-off in the market. We haven't even broken the 200 moving average yet. And I can tell you from experience, it is not going to be good for you bulls.
5:28 You're not going to be able to buy the dip every single time because we're going to go into a different market. And what do I mean by that? Right? Because you know, a lot of bulls are probably watching this saying, "Well, that shows a support level." Well, Jamie, let's back test this, right? Because let's actually look at the Mega 7 stocks. Now, if we actually look at this on a TA wise, the triple Q or uh Google A and C, let's let me just say that again. Google A and C around, you know, let's see what that would be 16 17% of the NAS 100, 9% of the SP500, 10% of the triple Q's, you know, 7% of SPY has pumped. Here, let me show you because I I know it's kind of hard to grasp this, you know, because it's just so hard to see. If you are a new trader, this is 400 in the triple Q's. What am I? What is my thing doing?
6:16 This is 400 in the triple Q's right here in Google. This is 635 in Google. This is A and C. This is around 15% just alone in the stock market. Just two stocks that has not had a simple rejection. Now, what I do want to point out is if you actually look at this, let's pull up the simple moving averages really quick. These are going to be your support levels. It is on the verge of cracking and if this does from here to here is around $15 to $20 just alone in the triple Q's that is a lot guys you're talking about a lot of market cap about to come out of the you know the entire market if these two just stocks drop but why would they drop right well if you don't know when you have around 35 to 40% of the market favoring a side like
7:01 bears or bulls that's how the market will usually lean so just these two stocks alone you have around 15% of the market but what is NVDA doing right let's look at NVA. And by the way, if that does drop, you are looking at 257 on Google. Now, if you do look at NVDA, it's just been consolidating for a long time now. How big is NVA? Holy smokes, guys. Around 15% of the NAS 100, and around 8% of the SP500, 10% of the triple Q's, and 8% of SPY. It is on the verge of cracking. Also, it is below, I think, actually, let's zoom in and see. It is below the 10 moving average. It is below the 20, the 50, the 100. It is about to head to its 200 moving average. Now, if you are a decent trader, you know, from 177 to 182 is nothing. That is literally nothing in NVA. That's like a 1%. Well, that would be around 2% or
7:46 something, two or three. But either way, what I'm saying is NVDA is about to crack off. So, Apple, let's look at Apple really quick. Well, Apple's already broke all its moving averages and started heading down to its 200 simple moving average, which is 284. So, you're probably going to see that if we do drop in the market this next week or this week. So, if you are playing Apple, this is the one that's the level you really need to pay attention to. not financial advice, but yeah, this it's already broken its simple moving averages. It's about to give out. And honestly, what I really want to see is if the triple Q's actually does break the 200 simple moving average, the real question is, do we actually break and keep on going on Apple? There's a high chance it just keeps on going. And don't tell me, don't even don't even start saying Apple can't drop that hard. Apple can drop hard. Apple can drop hard. Apple can drop really hard. Apple can
8:32 drop insanely hard. It is not hard for Apple to give out. When it gives out, it gives out and it slaps the entire market. Now, let's look at Tesla, right? So, you got, you know, three stocks, four stocks on the verge of breaking the 200 simple moving average. And then you got Tesla also. Tesla has a support level, next support level, let's actually update this so you can see. Um, the next support level for Tesla is going to be around 354. And if that breaks the 200 simple moving average of around 393, it will start heading down to around 350. That is another stock that is favoring the bears. Let's look at Microsoft. I don't even know if we need to talk about Microsoft. I mean, it's already done for honestly. Um, it is below the 10 and 20 moving average. There's really nothing holding this up and you can see it on the you can see it on the bigger time frame. It is about to which is wild. Like this is actually super rare. If you are a trader, you you need to watch
9:18 this. This is actually super rare. You don't really see this in the mega 7. It is about to break its 5-year channel or I guess you can say six-year channel now. But that's what I'm saying is what is going to happen to Microsoft if we actually do drop down to 550 or not if when we do drop down to 555 in the triple Q's. Dude, Microsoft is about to get absolutely just slapped and there's no support levels below this. Now, let's look at Amazon really quick. It is already starting its 2026 recession trend. You can see it right here. This is the 2023 bull rally that it started in and it ended right here and it cracked supports. You can also see it below all of the simple moving averages. Let's actually pull it up. I actually got above today on the 10 to 20, but either way, you can see it breaking the simple moving averages. It's kind of easy to see if the triple Q's drops down to say even 598 is going to be below
10:06 these. And there's no supports for this also. Um, let's look at AVGO because that, you know, I was just talking about this at the beginning of the day or beginning of the video. It just broke its 200 moving average. And AVGO is pretty big, not going to lie. Uh honestly, I'm surprised it got this big, but you know, with the help of NVA, uh I wouldn't have questioned it. Um but yeah, pay attention to this. It is breaking its big channel also that it's been going in, which is kind of wild. Also, what is the stock market about to do? That's what I really want to know. Honestly, I already do know, but um if you don't if you can't see this, guys, like I just you should stop trading. That's what I'm saying. Um let's look at Meta really quick because I know Meta is going to be a big one to talk about right now, too. Um, Meta is on the verge of breaking this support that it's been going in. And I actually been talking about the support and we actually did
10:52 hit it. So, great job if you caught that on the channel, but it's about to break its support also. Let's look at AMD. Even though it's not that big, you know, there is some AMD players in here. Um, if you actually pull up the simple moving averages, let's pull them up. About to break its 200 moving average or simple moving average. Holy smokes, guys. That's what I want to talk about is from like if you look at this guys 590 and the triple Q's is not going to be hard to break. It's really not. All we've been doing is literally trading sideways in the market for um let's see when was it? September in 2025. All the way sideways. So, if you're a bull, give it up. I mean, if the market was going to go higher, it was going to go higher by now. This this consolidation is actually kind of crazy. I've never traded long consolidation like this in probably my entire trading career besides like 2012. But yeah, that's what
11:39 I want to talk about is just be very careful. Now, does this mean go into shorts? That's for you to decide. But in general, does this mean that you need to automatically pull out your life savings and short the market and be a Michael Bry or Barry or whatever his name is? Um, that's for you to decide. Um, I'm not here to tell you. I'm here to show you. That's that's my entire whole idea of this channel is just to show you the direction of the market and then you can pick your own support levels off of SMA and decide where you think it's going to go. But in general, let's actually look at it in this kind of aspect because I think this is what's really going to get through your heads. Um, let's pull up let's overlap Google. Let's overlap um let's overlap Apple. Let's overlap um even I mean Bitcoin's not out of the picture now. Um let's overlap.
12:24 Let's see where be some good ones. Let's do NVDA. Um let's take off Bitcoin because I didn't really want that on there. Let's move this. Take off this Bitcoin. Everything moves together, guys. Everything. So all your mega7 stocks if they start breaking that 200 simple moving average and your indexes start breaking their 200 simple moving averages that simple 200 moving average is not just a support. It is actually your 2023 or your pretty much your Here I'll show you. Let's pull this up. Let's pull this up. Let's pull this up. Let's pull this up. Your 200 simple moving average. This orange line is what shows you that you're in a bull market and it also shows you when you're in a bare market. It also shows you when you're in a bull market, but it also shows you if you're about to go into a bare market.
13:09 And that's what I really want to show you.
