परिस्थिति पहले से बेहतर 🔥 TOMORROW SHARE MARKET ANALYSIS LATEST NEWS | STOCK MARKET INDIA

Brief Summary

This YouTube video provides a comprehensive analysis of the stock market as of August 3, 2025, and forecasts potential market movements for the upcoming trading week. It includes insights from market analysts, economic data updates, and geopolitical factors influencing the market. The video also offers trading strategies and advice for viewers.

  • Market analyst expectations and potential Nifty 50 movements.
  • Updates on India's Forex reserves and manufacturing PMI data.
  • Analysis of global events and their impact on the Indian economy.
  • Key levels for Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty, along with trading recommendations.

Market Analyst Predictions and Potential Market Movements

The video begins with a discussion of market analyst predictions for the upcoming trading day. Analysts from LKP Securities noted the previous day's market decline across various sectors, including IT, banking, financial services, and metals. Support levels were identified at 24,600, which was broken, and further support was expected around 24,400 to 24,450. Another analyst from Money Control suggested that if Nifty 50 breaks the June low of 24,473 points, it could fall to approximately 24,000. The presenter emphasizes the importance of monitoring the 24,500 level and explains that breaking the June low could lead to a further decline to between 24,200 and 24,180, potentially reaching 24,000.

Indian Economic Data and Fitch Ratings Report

The video transitions to discussing India's economic data, highlighting that India's Forex reserves increased by $2.7 billion, totaling $698.19 billion. However, it is noted that this figure might decrease due to the recent drop in the valuation of the Indian currency against the US dollar. The manufacturing PMI data was also positive, with an increase from the previous month's forecast of 58.4 to 59.1. The presenter mentions that the service PMI data will be released on August 5th, with a forecast of 59.8. A report from Fitch Ratings suggests limited direct impact from US tariffs on India's economy, although the GDP forecast was slightly reduced from 6.4% to 6.3%.

RBI's MPC Meeting and Climate Tech Investment

The video discusses the upcoming MPC meeting and its potential outcomes. The meeting, scheduled for August 4th to 6th, is crucial due to previous rate cuts affecting the banking sector's financial margins. Reports from SBI suggest a possible 25 bps rate cut, while other experts believe rates will remain unchanged. The presenter expresses a preference for maintaining the current rates, citing stable economic data and concerns about further impacting bank margins. Additionally, the video highlights India's emergence as a major hub for climate capital's clean tech investment and the growth of iPhone exports from India, which reached $6 billion in quarter one.

Policy Changes, Trade, and Geopolitical Updates

Nitin Gadkari's proposed mining policy changes are discussed, aimed at easing business operations by providing clearances within three months to expedite extraction processes. The video also covers geopolitical updates, including statements from US officials accusing India of indirectly financing Russia's war in Ukraine through oil purchases. The presenter clarifies India's stance, emphasizing that national interest is the country's top priority. The video addresses concerns about a potential cold war situation between the US and Russia, triggered by the movement of US nuclear submarines closer to Russia. It is clarified that these are nuclear-powered submarines, not necessarily nuclear-weapon-equipped, to alleviate fears of immediate conflict.

Earnings Announcements and US Market Correction

The video lists companies with upcoming earnings announcements on August 4th, including DLF, Everest Industries, and Tata Invest. It then discusses the recent correction in the US market, attributing it to three main reasons: issues between India and the US, weak US quarter two results, and poor US job data. The presenter focuses on the job data, noting significant layoffs in 2025 and the removal of the BALS chief by Donald Trump due to dissatisfaction with the reported numbers. This action led to a $1 trillion wipeout from the US market.

Market Analysis and Trading Strategies

The video analyzes the positions of XDX Nifty, noting it closed 105 points higher, indicating a relatively stable closing. It advises viewers to track Dow Jones and NASDAQ futures for early market sentiment. Key sectors to watch include banking, IT, and metals. The presenter shares Instagram handle for real-time updates. A one-day chart pattern analysis reveals a weakening market, with a potential reverse crossover of the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. Key support and resistance levels for Nifty 50 are identified at 24,500 and 24,750, respectively. For Bank Nifty, the critical support level is 55,500, with a resistance level at 56,000. The presenter advises caution against risky trading practices like F&O trading without sufficient knowledge and experience, emphasizing the market's volatility.

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Transcript

Full transcript of “परिस्थिति पहले से बेहतर 🔥 TOMORROW SHARE MARKET ANALYSIS LATEST NEWS | STOCK MARKET INDIA”. Click a timestamp to open the video at that moment. Need another video? Use the YouTube transcript generator.

0:03 Hello friends. So today is 3rd August 2025. A new trading week is going to start tomorrow 4th August Monday. So in this video, I will share with you many important latest updates related to the stock market. Along with that, the condition of global market was also seen according to last day's closing. Along with that FSDS data and most recent part total market analysis. So I would request all of you to please watch the video till the end without skipping it and especially the last 3-4 minutes of this video when we will analyze the market and try to understand which way the market might go tomorrow, so do not miss that at all. Okay, so let us first check out what our market analyst said today, on the basis of last day's closing, which way might the market move tomorrow i.e. on Monday, friends, today this topic was covered by

0:49 an analyst from LKP Securities, now just think how bad the market condition was last day, there was a decline in the market, there was a bigger decline in the portfolio, I think there was a decline in other major sectors. IT sector fell, banking sector fell, financial services sector fell, metal sector fell. So, on the basis of last day closing, he first mentioned that before this, i.e. on Thursday, where it got support at 24,600, it has now broken that and come down to the range of 24,500. If there is further weakness in the market then support can be found at around 24,400 to 24,450. In these cases, let's say if it breaks this level and comes down then there is a chance of it going down to a great extent, friends. He mentioned clear cut. By the way, if I ask you this question, Sir, please tell me what is your opinion? So what will be your answer? Whatever you think, please tell us

1:35 through comments. Well, same topic covered from Money Control. Another analyst shared his views on the market. Presented the point of view. See Technical View Correction Continues for Fifth Trade Week which was seen in the last weeks. Beer Can Drake Nifty To 24,000. Oh dear me. If it should possibly fall below June. June low means which level was touched in the month of June? Same range of Rs 24,500. And if we talk about the exact figure, it is 24,473 points. So according to them, that is, according to other analysts, if the low of 24,473 points of the month of June is broken then Nifty 50 can reach the range of approximately 24,000. And along with that, a range has also been mentioned, one is Rs 24,500, this is the most vital for tomorrow. Apart from this, if the same June low breaks Rs

2:22 24,200, here you can see that it is in very small letters. Let me show you with a little underlining. He said it will be from 24,200 to 24,180 and if there are more weaknesses then it can reach up to 24,000. For now friends, we will explain this topic thoroughly in the last three-four minutes of this video. I will try to understand. Keep watching this video till the end. But before that friends, I will share with you a lot of important economic data and latest report updates. So watch the video patiently step by step, keep listening and keep understanding. First of all, look at the two important economic data of India which were out on Friday. One of them was the data of India's Forex reserves, that is, foreign exchange reserves, which this time increased by 2.7 billion and the total foreign currency that India currently has is 698.19 billion. Well, that's very good but it

3:08 may decrease in the next week when the update comes because what we have seen recently is that the valuation of Indian currency against the US dollar has dropped to a great extent. Is n't that what happened in the past few weeks? So see, what happens sometimes is that if it does not slip too much then the Central Bank utilizes some amount to keep it stable, that is, to keep the currency stable, this is clearly visible. Well, see next, last day India's manufacturing PM data was out, which was very good. The forecast for the previous month was 58.4 and 59.2 was seen around that, 59.1, meaning there has been a significant increase as compared to the previous month. According to the forecast, there was a slight decrease of only 0.1. So this was out on your Friday. I have already given you the update. Well, remember that the day after tomorrow i.e. on Tuesday,

3:54 India's second PMI i.e. service PMI data will be out. It was a little better in the previous month, 60.4, this time see, the forecast has come for 59, please check it once and tell me how much it will be. Yes 59.8, so friends, you will know this data on 5th August. That means I will give you the update the day after tomorrow on Tuesday. Don't worry. Just stay connected with this channel on this channel. Okay, let's move ahead. Look, this report has come from your Fitch. On behalf of Fitch Ratings, it is a global rating agency company that often rates companies on the basis of their performance or rates the economy of a country, etc., as to how much percentage, i.e., by how much percentage its GDP can grow. So here, Future Ratings has first said that there is limited direct impact from US tariffs. So clearly he said that due to US tariff there will be

4:40 very limited impact on India's economy. What I had told you many times before that look, you people do not need to worry too much, whatever is happening, remember it is happening for good, it is happening for the welfare of all, yes the market can struggle a little bit, you should bear that much, but friends, in the long term there will not be any major problem, along with that, there has been a slight drop in the GDP forecast, a little, meaning very little, I will show you this once, earlier the estimate which was actually made was 6.4%, this time according to the new estimate it is 6.3%, now look, some time back there was another brokerage form that was 6.5%, now look, I had told you before also and I am saying it today also that all these things are situational. If everything goes in India's favor, then the rating of 6.3, 6.5 which is coming from the rating company brokerage company will

5:25 increase it after a few days. It will increase automatically. Don't worry, it can be 7-8% also. There is a possibility. Ok? There is no big deal like this. Well, one more important thing friends, look at the tariff trade aside. On the other hand, the outcome of India's MPC meeting will come out. Remember, once I quickly tell you the date. Remember, the MPC meeting will start from tomorrow i.e. 4th August, 5th August and 6th August, which means it is a three day meeting. The outcome of the RBI's MPC meeting will be out on 6th August, Wednesday and this time see, the outcome of the MPC meeting is very important. Even before this, I had explained it again and again to you that why because of the rate cut of 100 basis points in three back to back MPC meetings, one thing is that, because of that, a lot of benefit has been received in the initial stage. But a little impact was seen in the banking sector.

6:11 Especially the financial margin of big banks or mid-size banks has dropped slightly. Shrinked a little. This time you see the performance of the bank is not that good. Because of that, profit is being sold. So see, different reports have come from different brokerage firms. SBI report says RBI will announce 25 bps rate card in August to boost credit growth ahead of Diwali. Ok? So as per SBI report there can be 25 bps rate card. After this look at another report here, as per which 90% of experts believe RBI to maintain status on rates remains unchanged. So, here some other things will be kept unchanged this time according to the experts. Another look, it was published here that as per Edge, experts said that in next policy meeting, RBI already

6:57 front loaded rate card, which we already got to see. So, look, many experts believe that something will change this time. Many experts believe that there could be a red card this time. But according to my opinion it should be changed this time. The change should happen because you can understand that the economic data of India is going well. Inflation has fallen considerably. It has reached around two and a half. The GDP growth rate has also become slightly better than before. PMI data is also in a completely stable position. It's going well. So right now there is no problem in economy i.e. court data. The problem is that we are seeing some margin issues in the banking system. And further if there is a rapid rate cut on near term basis or mid term basis then banks may struggle a bit. Which is not a good thing at all. Remember this. Ok? So, in my opinion, if this time it is reversed and the rate is cut in the last MPC meeting before the end of this year

7:43 in November or December, it will be very beneficial. According to me, whatever decision will be taken, it will be for the good, you will know about it on Wednesday. Don't worry, I will give you the update. Well, look at another report, India Emerges as a Major Hub for Climate Capital's Clean Tech Investment Search. This is a great thing, friends. Especially the green energy sector will get a big boost up. Well look at another report which I already gave you an update on in the third video of the day today. Those who have not seen it, please take a look. iPhone exports from India hit 6 billion in quarter one, the report is out today. Apple leads search amid US close thread. Ok? So this clearly shows that friends, the EMA sector in India is growing at a very fast pace and this is the reason that while other sectors are struggling so much, if

8:29 you look at quarter one, quarter two, that is last year or quarter three, quarter four, they are struggling so much but still the EMS sector is in shine mode. Ok so this is a very emerging sector. It is a very fast growth sector. Ok let's move ahead. Well here, some changes were made in the policies by Nitin Gadkari Sahib, who is the Indian Union Minister. I have already given you this update also. You can see it quickly. Proposed mining policy to provide ease of doing business to industry stakeholders. So, a lot of changes have been made in the policies here, friends. I have made it quite easy so that friends, I can start working quickly. So their exact statement was that look, the mining policy is being framed by the Centre and ease of doing business and as all clearances will be given in 3 months. Friends, any company should get complete clearance within three months. So that the

9:15 extraction process starts in the fourth month so that the work can begin from the fourth month and this is somewhere that today, see how much the demand for rare earth materials is increasing, after China curves the supply, it can counter that to a large extent. Ok so tomorrow the simple thing is to keep an eye on the metal and mining sector. Ok? Ok let's move ahead friends. Let us now talk about tariff and trade. Look carefully at some geopolitics updates. US 2.0, India 6.4 has been said so. This is this evening's update from Piyush Goyal Sahib. Take a deck at Don Trump: India's economy is thriving. This means that this is absolutely a reality and I think that some people sitting in India

10:02 also need to understand this. You cannot just come in front of the camera and say anything about India, you should look at the data and understand what the data is telling you and the data, friends, is that as of today, the GDP growth rate of the US in the last financial year is around 2% and the growth rate of India is around 6.4% and actually Piyush Goyal sir has said this indirectly, friends, without mentioning anyone's name, as of today. Ok? Well after that friends, once again I will try to remind you a little bit, which I have already given the update in the first video of the day after Trump's 25% tariff, after that we saw a statement from Modi Ji that India is currently the fastest glowing economy and will soon become the third largest economy, after that, see, today's swadeshi push from Modi Ji means Made in

10:49 Indian products are being promoted more and supported more and a statement has also been made by Modi Ji that buyers and sellers should try to sell and buy their Made in Indian products, and I would say that look, the Indian companies, the Indian industry, that is, there is no talk of any particular industry, the entire industry is being promoted a lot and is also being boosted a lot, this in itself is a very good thing. Well one more you can see the report, this is tonight's update. Look, this is your update, today is 3rd August. This is the update at 9:30 p.m. What is the update? The same news has come from the US. What is the news from the US? You see it first. A top aide to President Donna Trump, that is, a high-level delegate of Donald Trump.

11:35 Ok? On Sunday, today's date has been accused of India effectively financing Russia's war in Ukraine by purchasing oil from Moscow after the US leader escalated pressure on New Delhi to stop buying Russian oil. This news has already come that India has not stopped trade with Russia, oil purchase is still going on, about which I have already given you an update yesterday, after that, tonight, friends, this statement has come from some close associates of Donald Trump that India is helping Russia in the Ukraine war, and you can say more in other words, for financing it. Ok? Now look, a proper statement has already come from India that India is neither helping Russia here nor is it

12:24 helping in taking this war further. India simply has told that the policy of India, which means the national interest, which means the national interest of India is the first priority of India. Isn't it? So we will see how it moves forward accordingly. Well here actually a common question was coming from many of you investors which has actually been a much discussed topic in the recent last two days. This is the news headline, you can see it. There has been a lot of discussion about this for the last two days. Will the same cold war situation be created again between the US and Russia because the news is something like this that Trump moves US nuclear submarine closer to Russia after Madhedev's foolish and inflammatory remarks. So, look at this Vidhandev, apart from being the ex-President of Russia, today you can say that he is

13:12 Putin's right hand man, which means he is one of the people who is very close to him. So look recently, after some such statements came about the US, Donald Trump seems to be completely crazy today. Isn't it? What did you do after that? Order has been given to move two nuclear submarines towards Russia. Now I would say there is a lot of miss infection going on here as well. See, there is a difference between a nuclear submarine and a nuclear capable submarine. Nuclear capable submarine means a submarine that can fire nuclear weapons. So he was not sent here. Nuclear submarine has been sent. Nuclear submarine means a submarine which runs on a nuclear reactor. It's a simple thing. So seeing this you do not need to be too scared that a new war is going to happen again. So there is nothing like that. Nuclear submarine means there are three types of submarines. You have a diesel submarine, you have an electric

13:58 submarine. Nuclear Submarine The speciality of nuclear submarine is that it can provide energy for a long time. Ok? So you should know it simply. So, there is no need to be too afraid of this and it is a very basic thing that both are big economies, which means they are big countries and both of them also have huge amount of nuclear warheads. So both of them know very well that if these two fight then it is a simple matter that nothing will be left in one word. Ok? So adults don't fight directly amongst themselves. He makes them fight through others. Ok? So there is absolutely no need for you to worry too much about this thing. Okay, let's move ahead. Look, tomorrow i.e. on 4th August, earnings of many companies will be out. You please take a look. I will tell you slowly by scrolling down. Look, first of all your result will be out, not Crizil, but good Crijk. DLF

14:45 result will be out. Everest Industries result will be out. Scott's result will be out. Well IX India result will be out. Remember to keep watching. Merco result will be out. FMC Sector Company Good Osal Pump Recently Listed Company. Oashal pump result will be out. Or the Sparks result will be out. Well, Tata Invest's results will be out tomorrow. Remember, tomorrow is the result of Tata Investment. Ok ? Ok. So friends, tomorrow the results of all these companies will be out and I would request all of you that if you have not subscribed to the channel then please do so. As soon as the update comes from the company tomorrow, I will give you the update immediately. Ok? Well, look at last day, there was a lot of correction in the US market. Whether we talk about Djons or nsdc. Look, there were mainly three reasons behind this. Try to understand carefully

15:31 because the next update is related to this. There were three main reasons. First of all look at the reason behind this between India and US. The second reason was that US quarter two results were coming out. Due to which there was a slightly weak result and a decline occurred. And the third most vital reason is actually what I shared with you last day. US job data was out and unfortunately the job data was very bad this time. Ok? So we will keep the remaining two reasons aside. We will talk about the third reason. So how bad was the jobs data? First you see US job crisis depends 86000 lay offs so far in 2025. In 2025, US companies have altogether laid off more than 8 lakh people, meaning they have retrenched people. Most seen Covid crash from the time of Covid

16:16 till now, the situation has become the worst in the last 5 years. And after that see what happened now be careful, that means you just enjoy, we need accurate numbers Donald Trump fire BALS chief, BALS is the chief and he was removed, weak July job report claim Biden appoint manipulated data. Bhai sahib, someone please explain this to Donald Trump what has happened. I will explain to you, see the department which actually gives all this data, GDP data, job data, PMI data, updates, BALS, the chief of BALS department is Erica, she has actually been removed. Why was she removed? Because Donald Trump actually did not like these numbers of job data for the month of July. And what is the result of that now? One trillion dollars has been wiped out from the US market last day.

17:03 He also said that it is not an accurate number. Due to which it had to be removed. Opened fire. Along with that he also said that this person, i.e. the chief of BALS, was appointed by Biden. So because of which it was manipulated. Meaning, those who say that democracy is in danger. So where is democracy in danger? In which place? You will understand it clearly. Ok? Meaning, now you can clearly understand that the new chief of BALS who will come, who will be appointed by Donald Trump, will present the data accordingly, so that what is good for the economy, it could be right or it could also be wrong, nobody knows, okay, let's move ahead, see the next important update, last day the US 10-year bond deal closed with a decline of 3%, there was a decline of 3% in Brain Crude, there was a slight increase in the valuation of Indian currency, the

17:48 price had decreased, the valuation had increased, well, apart from this, Wipro Limited Area Version was closing 1.47% down. Infosys was down 1.85%. HDFC Bank 's version was closing 0.27% positive. And ICICI Bank's version was down 0.18%. Okay, let's move ahead. Let 's talk about the position of XDX NFT. See, according to last day closing, the closing position of XDX NFT was around 24,670 points. That means, as per the last day's closing of the Indian market, it was 105 points higher, which means, friends, the closing was not that bad. Another thing to remember is that since the Friday market closed, no bad news has come till now. Whatever news has come, it

18:34 may be in favour of the market or it may be countering any statement made by Modiji or supporting the Swadeshi movement and it may benefit the Indian industry. So, as of now, there is no bad news. But if it arrives at midnight or anytime, I will update you immediately. Ok? Well look, in such a situation obviously selling will happen by FS. Last day also, shares worth Rs 3366 crore were sold and DS had purchased shares worth Rs 3186 crore. Rest we will talk about TA 35 i.e. Israeli top index was closing today due to some national holidays there. So friends, I have shared all the important updates with you. Now let me take you to the market analysis part. Panned the last three month candlestick chart of Nifty 50. Now whatever I am going to tell you, listen to it very carefully and observe it carefully, friends. But before that I will request all of you. Friends, if you liked the video so far,

19:19 found it informative then please like the video and please keep subscribing to the channel to get such informative videos every day. See. Just track Djons futures and NSD futures tomorrow early morning once because the market was closed for the last two days. Just a little bit, you will get an estimate about the sentiment of the global market, simple. Well, the second point I would say is to remember some important sectors, banking sector, IT sector and metal sector. Ok? And there is no third point. If any of you friends are on Instagram, please keep following me. If you see any update comes at midnight or early tomorrow morning, I will give you the complete update through Instagram story. Ok? So you will find the link to my Instagram handle in the description box below. So make sure to click there and

20:04 follow me. Ok? Ok let's talk about one day chart patterns. So look, the one day chart pattern has become quite weak at present. Because here you can understand that this blue colored line is your 20 days EMA exponential moving average. And this red colored line becomes your 50 day EMA. So what should happen? 20 up 50 down. Correct? But if you look here, a reverse crossover has already happened. It is almost over with last day weaknesses and maybe even if it remains a little neutral in the beginning tomorrow then this will mean the reverse crossover will happen successfully. So in such a situation, the market may struggle a bit again at this level i.e. around 25,000. Well, if we talk about the downside, then before this, i.e. from the last week of May to the second week of June,

20:52 this level had given the best support to Nifty 50. Here you can see the number is 24500, so for tomorrow I would say that 24500 is the whitest level, it is immediately important to hold it. Clearly this is the support level. In case this support level is broken then consider 10010 points down. Ok? Well the question is where is it towards the top? Look, there are levels on the top as well. Let me show you the level above. See, this is your 4 hour chart pattern. 4 hour chart pattern is visible. So here you will be able to see it as per the 4 hour chart pattern. That Nifty 50 for some time, that is, on short term basis, it got support at 24750. Like if you look at this candle, look at this candle, it got support. Look at this candle, it got support. Look at this candle, it got support. So the previous support point has been

21:38 broken and has come down today. So immediately a strong resistance will be formed here. So look at the resistance and support for tomorrow, I will write it for you once I refresh myself. On the upside resistance is 24,750. Ok? On the downside, support is at 24,500, so these two are important levels for tomorrow. If this level is broken as resistance and support then it can move up or down by 100-10 points. Ok? Okay, let's talk about Bank Nifty. See, Bank Nifty has a big role to play tomorrow. Because last week was actually very bad for Bank Nifty also. Whereas before this Bank Nifty at least was running quite well. It was stable. So see for Bank Nifty, right now it is the most important level where it touched the intraday low in two back to back trading sessions i.e. 5500, hold this level, if it is held

22:25 successfully this is the support level, then let's try to move a little upwards, means there is a chance but in case this level gets broken then hold on to 10010 on the downside and immediately on the upside then simply 56000 where it got support again and again and today it will give a strong resistance, it has been cleared, so friends Bank Nifty Nifty 50 has been explained to you very well and if you have any confusion, doubt then tell us by commenting on this topic. Well before we wind up this video, remember what I often tell you, the market has become very volatile. So don't make this mistake, very very risky, risky, don't do this type of thing even by mistake like FAO Trading Intraday Put Call Buy Sell Hold. If you do not have any knowledge or experience on this topic, then watch the video normally, learn and see, if you have any problem, I am here for you guys, tell me by commenting and friends, don't

23:12 forget to subscribe to the channel, so for now, I am winding up this video, see you in the next video, take care, bye-b, Jai Hind

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