烏俄戰爭爆發!普丁的野心到底是什麼?解體三十年的蘇聯,要復活了嗎?|志祺七七

簡要摘要

影片探討了普丁的「蘇聯夢」,分析了俄羅斯近年來頻繁干預鄰國的原因,並指出普丁的野心可能不僅僅是復興蘇聯,還包括鞏固自身政權。

  • 俄羅斯近年來在歐亞大陸頻繁干預鄰國,包括入侵烏克蘭、吞併克里米亞半島、干預哈薩克內政等。
  • 普丁的「蘇聯夢」不僅僅是復興蘇聯,還包括利用戰爭來提升民調,鞏固自身政權。
  • 俄羅斯在內政方面,透過學校、媒體和教堂宣傳「祖國被敵人包圍」的意識,讓人民對戰爭麻木。
  • 俄羅斯在外交方面,要求前蘇聯國家選擇「親俄」或「親歐」,並透過軍事威脅和經濟援助來控制這些國家。

動盪的歐亞大陸

影片首先介紹了俄羅斯近年來在歐亞大陸的行動,包括2008年入侵格魯吉亞、2014年吞併克里米亞半島、干預哈薩克內政等。這些行動讓許多人擔心蘇聯的陰影正在重現。

蘇聯是什麼?

影片簡要介紹了蘇聯的歷史,包括蘇聯的成立、領土擴張、與美國的冷戰以及最終的解體。

俄羅斯想得到什麼?能源控制

影片指出,俄羅斯近年來積極擴張的主要原因之一是能源控制。俄羅斯擁有豐富的天然氣和石油資源,並透過管道輸送到歐洲大陸。俄羅斯可以利用能源作為籌碼,對歐洲國家施加政治壓力。

俄羅斯想得到什麼?軍事抗衡

影片指出,俄羅斯積極擴張的另一個原因是軍事抗衡。俄羅斯希望擴大其軍事領土,並與北約抗衡。俄羅斯希望將前蘇聯國家納入其控制範圍,以防止北約軍隊威脅到俄羅斯首都莫斯科。

普丁想要什麼?復興蘇聯

影片指出,普丁的個人政治野心是俄羅斯積極擴張的另一個重要原因。普丁出生於蘇聯時代,對蘇聯有著深厚的感情。他認為蘇聯的解體是「20世紀最偉大的災難之一」,並希望復興蘇聯。

普丁想要什麼?打仗救民調

影片指出,普丁發現,利用外部軍事行動可以轉移人們對國內問題的不滿,並激發人們的愛國主義,鞏固其政權。普丁透過入侵克里米亞等軍事行動,成功提升了其民調。

對內政策:俄羅斯保衛戰!

影片指出,普丁在俄羅斯國內推行「戰爭意識」,透過學校、媒體和教堂宣傳「祖國被敵人包圍」的意識,讓人民對戰爭麻木。

對外政策:順我者生,逆我者亡

影片指出,普丁在外交方面,要求前蘇聯國家選擇「親俄」或「親歐」,並透過軍事威脅和經濟援助來控制這些國家。

普丁的下一步?

影片指出,烏克蘭危機可能是普丁的「試水溫」。普丁希望測試美國和北約的反應,以便在未來擴張時能更好地應對。

我們的觀點

影片指出,普丁的「蘇聯夢」可能難以實現。前蘇聯國家已經實現民主化,許多人對俄羅斯抱有反感。普丁需要贏得這些國家的信任,才能重建俄羅斯的影響力。

問題

影片最後提出了一個問題:普丁如何才能贏得前蘇聯國家的信任,重建俄羅斯的影響力?

結尾

影片最後呼籲觀眾分享影片,讓更多人了解普丁的擴張野心。

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0:00 Besieging Ukraine and sending troops to Kazakhstan, why does Russia 's military intervention in its neighbors seem to have become commonplace in recent years ? Under Putin's leadership, will the "Soviet Union", which has been disintegrated for 30 years, be resurrected? Today, let's talk about "Putin's Soviet Dream"! hiho~ Hello everyone, I'm Zhiqi! Since the end of last year, Russia has gathered an army of more than 100,000 people on the Ukrainian border in the name of exercises . The US intelligence unit pointed out that Russia is likely to go to war with Ukraine this spring! While Russia denies any intention of invading Ukraine , they also warn that if Ukraine joins the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Russia will also take "necessary retaliatory measures"

0:46 . The army is on standby in Eastern Europe. Both sides have drawn slaves, and they are almost on the verge of war . The crisis in Ukraine has caused global panic. However , if we zoom in and out, we will find that this conflict may only be a small step on the chessboard. In Putin's mind , it seems that there are even bigger ambitions to accomplish . After all, what is the purpose behind Russia, which frequently goes out to its neighbors? As usual, we have to take a short business time first. Recently , the Zhiqi Qiqi team is recruiting powerful new partners! We want to seek "full-time video content planning" to follow current affairs, chat with us, write scripts, think about program planning, and meet the challenges that various channels will encounter! No matter what kind of expertise you have in the field of knowledge, as long as you are good at writing, good at collecting data , logically clear, have unique viewpoints, and are willing to communicate and explain complex things simply,

1:33 then you are the talent we hope to invite! Of course, if you already have relevant experience in "text and video creation" or "program channel management", it will be even better! If you agree with the philosophy of Zhiqi 77 Channel and want to join us, then go to our official website to see the job vacancy content! [Unstable Eurasia] In addition to the Ukrainian crisis just mentioned, in the past two decades, Russia has been on the Eurasian continent. It can be said that Russia has been in constant action . In 2008, a war broke out between Russia and Georgia, and after the victory, it actually occupied Georgia. In 2014, Russia raided Ukraine, annexed the Crimea Peninsula in southern Ukraine, and incited mutiny in eastern Ukraine to establish a pro-Russian autonomous government. In addition , Russia also actively intervened in the internal affairs of various countries. In January, demonstrations broke out in Kazakh, and people took to the streets to demand political reform.

2:20 However , at the request of the Kazakh president, Russia quickly dispatched peacekeeping troops and quickly suppressed the protesters . In the past few years, Russian troops have become more and more common in Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Caucasus. In the shadow of , Russia is re- establishing the order of the Eurasian continent with the attitude of a big brother, and these actions have made many people worry that the Soviet Union, which has disappeared for 30 years, seems to be returning again! 【What is the Soviet Union? 】 Some people may not be familiar with the "Soviet Union". Let's briefly introduce it here . The full name of the Soviet Union is "The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics" . It was established in 1922 and is a federation founded by Soviet Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and other countries A communist state The Communist Party of the Soviet Union in Moscow was in power and led the operation of the entire country. After the end of World War II, the Soviet Union took control of Eastern Europe and acquired a large amount of land, population and resources.

3:06 Not only was the country with the largest territory in the world at the time, it was also an economic and military superpower for Competing for the right to speak after World War II, the "Communist camp" led by the Soviet Union and the "capitalist camp" led by the United States launched a comprehensive confrontation in economy, military and space technology. The two sides are also fighting proxy wars in various places to compete for the status of world hegemony! However, in the 1980s, the economic development of the Soviet Union encountered difficulties. Coupled with internal political contradictions, the Soviet Union began to disintegrate . In 1991, the Moscow authorities finally let go and announced the disintegration of the Soviet Union, which marked the end of a generation of powers. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, it split into Russia. , Ukraine, Georgia , Kazakhstan and more than a dozen independent countries , and these countries are also slowly reforming and opening up, and each is moving towards democratization. However , in recent years, Russia has begun to intervene in these places.

3:52 It seems that it wants to become the same as the Soviet Union. The powers of Eurasia and this time, they are no longer to promote communism, but to seize more substantial interests! [What Russia Wants: Energy Control] Many experts believe that Russia's aggressive expansion in recent years is mainly due to three aspects of energy, military and political considerations . In terms of energy, there are many pipelines on Russian soil, Natural gas and oil are exported to the European continent. These energy sources are not only an important source of income for Russia, but also a very useful bargaining chip. They can cut off pipelines at any time and stop the supply of energy in specific regions, which makes European countries generate invisible political pressure, such as In Germany, more than half of the natural gas is imported from Russia, and this natural gas is an important source of power generation and heating. Therefore, a large part of the reason why

4:37 Germany is reluctant to condemn Russia in this Ukraine crisis is also because of fear of natural gas . If they are cut off, they will not dare to offend Putin . And Russia also knows that "energy" is their biggest bargaining chip against the Western powers at this stage, so they are working very hard to expand their sphere of influence and capture more natural resources . In Central Asia, there is a lot of oil and natural gas. As long as you control this land, you have the opportunity to extract more energy or lay pipelines more efficiently, further increasing Russia's local influence and making them the energy hegemon. status! [What Russia Wants: Military Competitiveness] In terms of military, Russia hopes to expand its military territory and compete with NATO. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the former Soviet Union countries in Eastern Europe, such as Lithuania, Poland, and the Czech Republic, jumped to NATO one after another to compete

5:23 with the United States. On the same front , in 2014, after Russia annexed Crimea, NATO also began to build military bases in Eastern Europe to monitor Russia nearby . , to return to Russia's control to become a "buffer zone" around Russia, to prevent NATO troops from running directly to Russia's doorstep, posing a threat to the capital Moscow In short , Putin hopes to redraw the European borders after the Cold War Establishment A military region dominated by Russia to fight against Western forces Finally, there is another very important reason why Russia has moved so much, and that is Putin's personal political ambitions! [What Putin Wants: Revival of the Soviet Union] Putin was born in the Soviet era and served as a Soviet spy. For him, the Soviet Union is the mother who raised him and

6:09 is synonymous with "prosperity, power, and greatness". Therefore , when Putin Ding felt very uncomfortable when he saw Russia 's economic recession after the collapse of the Soviet Union . Putin once said that the disintegration of the Soviet Union was "one of the greatest disasters of the 20th century." In order to reunite the countries of the former Soviet Union, Putin often shouts at the heart of the surrounding countries, such as saying to Ukraine, "We are all of the same language and race", "Russian-Ukrainian family", etc. This sounds ~ a bit familiar propaganda Discourse Even , Putin once said publicly that "Russia's borders are endless!" Although he immediately clarified that "it was just a joke", it also revealed his ambition to regain lost ground. For Putin, " "Resurrection of the Soviet Union" was not only emotionally meaningful , but also greatly helped his political career! [What does Putin want: fight to save the polls? ]

6:56 Putin found that foreign military activities can divert people's dissatisfaction with domestic issues, and can also stimulate people's patriotism and consolidate his regime . Putin's polls fell to the bottom for a time, but in 2014, when Putin decided to send troops to Ukraine to occupy Crimea, the polls immediately stopped falling and soared, making him a strongman president loved by the people again! Putin, who has tasted the sweetness, has since discovered the traffic password of "fighting to save the polls". He often maintains his approval rate through external military operations. To this day, half of the Russian people still support Putin to continue to be president after 2024. It is believed that only Putin can "make Russia great again" and Putin's plan to strengthen Russia is not just talking about it. In order to return to the glorious days of the Soviet Union, Russia has already begun to act!

7:43 [Internal Policy: Russia's Defense War! ] According to foreign media reports, Russia under Putin's power has established a "war consciousness" among the people. Over the past eight years, Russia has continuously promoted the idea of ​​"the motherland is surrounded by enemies" through schools, media, and churches . Judging from Russian official propaganda, It is the Western forces that increased their troops around Russia and used economic sanctions to suppress Russia, which made their situation so difficult . Many Russians also believe that Russia is not an evil aggressor, but a victim of Western bullying. In order to protect Their own sovereignty and proper outward expansion have become their only way out. Although there are still many Russians who are not interested in war, under the long-term propaganda, everyone is becoming more and more numb to the matter of launching a war . If Putin really uses force against other countries one day, there may not be too much backlash in the country!

8:28 [Foreign Policy: Those who obey me live, those who oppose me perish] In terms of foreign policy, Putin began to ask the leaders of the former Soviet Union countries to choose between "pro-Russian" and "pro-European"! If you choose "pro-Russian" and stand on the same side as Putin, congratulations! Immediately you can take care of Big Brother Russia If there is a protest march in your country, Russia will send troops to help you settle it. If your economy is in trouble, Russia will also spend money to help you through it. But if you choose "pro-Europe", If you run to a Western country , it will usually not end well. Russia may often go to your neighborhood to conduct military exercises, shoot missiles, show off force, and let you know how powerful Big Brother is; it may also secretly support pro-Russian The militants put your country into a crisis of division . In short, through this "follow me live, and those who oppose me die", Putin , step by step, rebuilds Russia's influence in Eurasia!

9:14 [Putin's next step? ] Many experts believe that this conflict between Ukraine and Russia is likely to be just Putin’s “testing the water temperature”. On the one hand, Putin wants to test the United States to see what the Biden administration has after the troop withdrawal from Afghanistan last year (2021). How much willingness to intervene in other countries' affairs On the other hand , it is a test of NATO's disunity and the resilience of other countries. The result this time allows Putin to figure out how much obstacles will be encountered if Russia wants to expand again in the future. So, after Ukraine, where will the next point of conflict be? Although there are no clear clues yet , Putin has said that he will protect all Russian-speaking populations abroad and defend the security of Russian-speaking areas. In Kazakhstan, Lithuania, Estonia and other ex-Soviet countries, a small percentage of the population is Russians In other words , if there is political unrest in these countries,

10:00 Putin may send troops to occupy these areas in the name of "protecting the Russians". However , these are only speculations. After all, Putin's most common strategy is to not follow the cards . Perhaps , the only one who knows Russia's next step is Putin himself! [Our point of view] Before entering the point of view, we would like to thank everyone for watching the video here. I would also like to thank all members of Zhiqi Qiqi. With everyone's support and sponsorship, we can continue to operate this channel . Videos on many international issues If you are willing to support us to go further, please click this link in the information column to join our membership, or you can use "Super Thank you" to support us in small amounts. Back to today's issue, why we want to do it This episode is not to emphasize whether Putin is good or bad, or how domineering Russia is. After all, the United States and China will do things like military expansion and interference in internal affairs . More

10:47 frequently , Putin is seeking to continue his political career . Therefore, whether he will use foreign wars to consolidate his power is what everyone is particularly worried about! But then again, although Putin seems to have the ideal of reviving the Soviet Union , we feel that there are still essential differences between the Soviet Union and Russia. In the past, the reason why members of the Soviet Union would obey Russia was not only military and economic dependence, It is because of their identification with "communism " that everyone united Plus, many ex-Soviet countries have been democratized. Many people are accustomed to a free life and are disgusted by the relatively authoritarian Russia, especially the younger generation, who have never experienced the glory days of the Soviet Union. The vision proposed by Putin is likely to resonate a little. No At present , many countries in the former Soviet Union are filled with strong anti-Russian sentiment.

11:36 If Putin really hopes that Russia can become the big brother of Eurasia again , how can we win back everyone's trust and build friendly relations with other countries? Partnership may be Putin's biggest challenge! Okay, that's all for today's episode. Finally , if you like today's video, please share it and let more people know why Putin always wants to expand! In addition, you can also click here to see "Why Putin Has Been President All the Time" and "The Artificial Refugee Wave in Belarus" Then, today's Zhiqi Qiqi will come to an end here . See you tomorrow night!

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