BEST MACD Trading Strategy [86% Win Rate]

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Brief Summary

This video presents a high win-rate MACD trading strategy that is easy to use and applicable across various markets. It explains the components of the MACD indicator and how to use it to identify market trends. The video also addresses the limitations of using the MACD indicator alone and introduces the use of a 200-day moving average and price action analysis (support and resistance levels) to improve the strategy's reliability.

  • The MACD indicator is composed of the MACD line, signal line, histogram and zero line.
  • Using a 200-day moving average helps confirm market trends, filtering out false signals.
  • Combining MACD with price action at key support and resistance levels increases the strategy's win rate.

Introduction to the MACD Strategy

The video introduces a MACD strategy touted as having a high win rate, ease of use, and broad applicability across different markets. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is a popular technical indicator that uses moving averages to identify trends in markets. The presenter notes that while the MACD indicator is useful, it performs better when combined with other indicators.

Understanding the MACD Indicator

The MACD indicator consists of four components: the MACD line (typically a 12-day moving average), the signal line (typically a 26-day moving average), the histogram (representing the difference between the MACD and signal lines), and the zero line (the centre of the indicator). A cross upwards between the MACD line and the signal line indicates upward momentum, while a cross downwards indicates downward momentum. The histogram's size reflects the strength of the momentum. For a long trade, the lines should cross upward below the zero line; for a short trade, the lines should cross downward above the zero line.

Addressing the Limitations of the MACD

The MACD indicator works best when the market is trending, but it can produce false signals in sideways or ranging markets. To counter this, the presenter suggests confirming the market trend using a 200-day moving average. If the price is above the 200-day moving average, the market is in an uptrend; if it's below, the market is in a downtrend.

Combining MACD with the 200-Day Moving Average

To improve the MACD strategy, traders should only consider long trades when the MACD lines cross upward below the zero line and the current price is above the 200-day moving average. Conversely, for short trades, the price should be below the 200-day moving average, and the MACD lines should cross downward above the zero line. A stop loss can be set below the 200-day moving average, with a profit target at a 1.5 profit ratio.

Enhancing the Strategy with Price Action

The MACD strategy combined with the 200-day moving average is less reliable when the market lacks price movement. To address this, the presenter advises incorporating price action analysis by identifying key support and resistance levels. Traders should wait for the price to hit a key support level, ensure the price is above the 200-day moving average, and then wait for the MACD lines to cross upward below the zero level before entering a long trade. This combination of MACD, moving average, and support/resistance levels is said to provide a high win rate.

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Transcript

Full transcript of “BEST MACD Trading Strategy [86% Win Rate]”. Click a timestamp to open the video at that moment. Need another video? Use the YouTube transcript generator.

0:00 MACD Strategy This MACD strategy I m about to show you is one of the highest win rate strategies you can possibly do in trading. It is very easy to use, works in almost every single market, and most importantly, it makes money. Well enough talk, lets get straight into it. The MACD or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence is one the most popular technical indicators used by traders. Essentially this indicator uses moving averages to find trends in markets, and its pretty damn good at it too. Now, if you re an experienced trader, you ve probably used or heard about the MACD indicator before. But the MACD indicator by itself, is just alright to be honest. So, make sure you watch this full video to see how I pair it with some other indicators to make it perform so much better. First things first, let s add the MACD indicator

0:46 to our chart. To do that . Now that we have the MACD indicator added, lets make sure we know how the MACD actually works. The MACD is made up of 4 different components. The MACD line, the signal line, the histogram, and the zero line. The MACD line which is the blue line, in most cases is usually a 12 day moving average, the signal line, which is the orange line, is usually a 26 day moving average. Next we have the histogram, which represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. So for example, the smaller the space between the two lines, the smaller the histogram gets. The bigger the space, the bigger it gets.

1:33 You can also see once the MACD line crosses above the signal line, the histogram turns green and if the MACD line crosses below the signal line it turns red. And finally, we have the zero line, which basically represents the center of the MACD indicator. Now that we know the 4 components, lets make sure we know how to them. The MACD indicator is insanely good at finding trends in markets. How you can tell if a chart is about to have an upward trend is by looking for a cross upwards between the MACD line and the Signal line. For example, here the macd crosses above the signal line indicating the chart is in upward momentum, and here the macd crosses below the signal line indicating it s in downward momentum. You can also use the histogram to indicate how much momentum there actually is. So,

2:19 if the histogram is getting bigger, that means there is an increase in momentum. If it s getting smaller, there is a decrease in momentum. So how you want to use this indicator is by when the lines cross upward, but only if they cross below the zero line. If they cross and its above the zero line you wouldn t enter a trade. It s the same thing with shorting, you only enter a short trade if the lines are crossing downward, and is ABOVE the zero line. So as you can see, this indicator is extremely easy to use. But the problem most traders encounter, is that they use this indicator by itself. Let me tell you why this doesn t work. The MACD indicator works extremely well if the market is in a trend. So for example here, the MACD indicator is doing a great job indicating when the price is about to move

3:08 upward. Because the chart is in an upward trend. But here, the price is in a downward trend, but the MACD is still signaling to buy long even though the price is going down. To fix this issue, for example if we are trading long, we only want to trade if the market is in an uptrend. You never want to trade against the trend, because the odds will always be against you. So, an easy way to figure out if the market is in an uptrend. You simply just need to add a 200 day moving average. To do this Once we have the indicator added,

4:06 you ll just see a single line. If the price is above that line, the market is in an uptrend. If the price is below that line, the market is in a downtrend. So after learning that we only want to buy when the market is in uptrend, if we re going long of course. if we put all this together, we buy if the macd lines cross below the zero line mark, and the current price also above the 200 day moving average. This will guarantee that you are only trading when the market is in an uptrend, which is a very power combo. If you wanted to short, you would just do the exact opposite. Make sure the price is below the 200 day average and the macd lines are crossing downward above the zero line. So as an example we would enter a long trade right here, because the macd lines are crossing

4:51 upward below the zero line, and the current price is above the 200 day moving average. Now what I like to do is set a stop loss below the 200 day moving average, so the 200 day almost acts as a wall that the price has to break through to hit my stop loss. Then I like to have a 1.5 profit ratio for my profit target mark. So as you can see for this example, the strategy worked exactly as we wanted it to, and we made money. But, we can still make this trading strategy even better. This macd strategy combined with a 200 day moving average, works extremely well only if there is a lot of price movement. Where the strategy starts to get kind of iffy and giving false signals, is when the chart starts going sideways and losing momentum. So as you can see here the chart is moving sideways and lost almost all of its upward

5:39 momentum and the macd is giving lots of false signals. If you traded here, odds are you probably lost money. To fix this issue we have to combine the MACD with price action. To do this, identify a key support or resistance where price hits and bounces. So as you can see the prices goes down, hits this point, and reverses upwards. The next step is to wait for the price to hit the same key level again. Once it does, we are expecting the price to bounce off this support and go upwards just like it did before. But as a clear note, just because we made the support and it bounced off this before, doesn t mean that it will always do that again. It can easily break through the support and drop lower if it has enough momentum. If we want to make sure the price is about to change in momentum, that s when we bring out the MACD indicator.

6:28 So what you would do, is make sure the price above the 200 day moving average, once the price hits the support made, wait for the lines on the MACD to cross below the zero level, and that s when you enter the trade. So I just revealed to you how the MACD, 200 day moving average, and using support and resistances levels gives and extremely high win rate with this strategy. All I ask for in return is if you to take 2 seconds of your time and like this video. If you want to stay up to date with my future strategies make to subscribe. Because in my next video, I m planning to release a strategy that works even ever better than this MACD strategy. Hope you guys learned something from this video, and I ll see you guys next time.

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