0:10 Welcome to the Cricket Betting Podcast. This is the only podcast which tells you exactly what happens in the T20 World Cup semi-finals. I'm Ed Hawkins and we've been telling you exactly what happens in the T20 World Cup and other games besides in 2026 to a ridiculous massive 73.8 profits for the year so far. So... Why are you not getting involved with the Cricket Betting Podcast? We are brought to you by BetRight. And because we are brought to you by BetRight, we have a £10 free ACCA with the code ACCA10 thanks to this podcast. More details on that later.
0:57 We do give you an ACCA to follow, which will pay about £12,500 for a £10 stake. So stay tuned for that. Those massive profits come... from the best bets. The best bets come at the end of the show and they come from South Africa versus New Zealand, India versus England. It is crunch time, so Paul and Richard will be also naming the winner and the runner-up. But let's go straight to Richard Mann, the coolest man for crunch time. He's 42.7 points up this year. Hello, Richard. Smashing it. Evening, yeah. Things are going well. Blah, blah, blah. Three massive games to go and some outright positions as well, but
1:44 we're all getting a little bit nervous on. So fingers crossed. Yeah, we'll talk about some of those outright positions. Just as cool as Paul Krishnamurti, plus 31.1, also smashing it. Hello, Paul. Hi, Ed. Hi, Ed. Yeah, it's been a good start to the year. Last few days have been a bit grim, but hopefully we've got that little bad run out of the way before the big games. Right, though, we'll start off with an outright... Who wins the T20 World Cup? Well, India 5-4 favourites with Labyrinth Coral. AK Betts then. South Africa 11-4. Next best with AK Betts. We'll talk to you about why those two sides are clearly the best teams in the tournament for the semi-final stage. England 5-1, Starr and
2:30 AK. And then New Zealand 6-1 generally. I do like to break down sides in terms of batting power and bowling economy. I think back to our preview show. The entire tournament, when we did the team by team, we did the same. So where are we at with it? Well, batting power, South Africa are the strongest team left. They are also the strongest team in the tournament for stripe crates. The number one ranking for them. The Kiwis are next best in the semifinal teams and also... overall at second then you've got india in third and fourth overall then england are your slowest run scorers in the semi-final and then ninth lowest in
3:16 the entire tournament is that a worry can we rule that out because they've been on some stodgy old pitches bowling economy well south africa are top of the path of that India 4 sides for the semi down overall as well. India 2nd and 3rd overall. England are down at 7th. And then the Kiwis down at 9th. So you can see there's a clear gap. Well, goals you'd probably say between these semi-final teams. And Rich just looking at that outright. Dara suggests that South Africa are still the value price. It seems like we've been saying that for a while. It does, and this is
4:02 one of the outright positions that I'm a bit nervous on, put them up in best bets at 6-1. So obviously you look at 11-4 and you think, wow, do I really need to go in again, press up again? But I think there's a smidgen of value in that 11-4, and certainly nothing that I've seen in the last few days has changed my mind. To me, the best all-round side, I think you look at India, you have to accept that they're an extremely dangerous player, high on potential batting line-up. And of course, it could blow anyone away. We know that Abashek gets going. But I just think you need to just look at the overall, the big picture, and what we've seen South Africa have been the best side so far. 11-4 is probably just about value, especially if you haven't got involved
4:50 already. I think, personally, we'll get on to it a little bit, but I do fancy them to beat New Zealand, and I suspect against India, given that England are sort of 6-4-ish now, South Africa might be like 5-5 played in India in a final. I thought they might be a bit bigger, but I feel if England are 6-4, I think South Africa would be sharper in a final anyway to beat India. Well, presumably you don't have any truck with those price order, but are India a little bit too short? Do we think South Africa, like Rich, is slightly too big? I do have a slight difference of opinion with the betting order. I think New Zealand have got at least an equal chance to England, to be perfectly honest with you. I do think that South Africa are the
5:39 best team in it. They have been the best team in it. And your batting and bowling stats actually speak volumes because the batting stats aren't a shock at all because they've been playing at our Medibad. They've been playing every game they've played has been on a good batting pitch, right? But for them to be number one bowling economy... given the pitches. That's outstanding. That's really outstanding. For me, they're the best team. The only thing I guess is we were at that stage of the tournament. Had they peaked too early, it only takes one bad half hour, doesn't it? And the whole game changes, but they are the value for me. As I say, I would have England bigger than New Zealand, I think, because I really think that India
6:24 are overwhelming favourites against them. Right. Talking about England, our headline tip on the Cricket Betting Podcast was England 5-2 to make the final. Now, we were happy with that prize because we saw the rationale that they would get out of that Super 8 group, which was far easier, and they'd make it to the last four, and then you had 5-2 about an England team when they'd be going off much shorter. Rich and Paul, let's get your view. I mean... They are short than part of two. They're 7-4 with hills. Rich, I'll come to you first. Are we letting it run? Or are we going to... I would. I mean, obviously, you hope that the West Indies did us a
7:12 favour on Sunday and they probably missed a trick on a couple of occasions. And England would obviously be a favourite and then we would probably be looking to do that. But we've done the right thing, given the draw, haven't we? Look... end of the day, we thought they had a really good draw to get through and that's proved to be the case. I mean, you compare them to West Indies again, I know I was quite sweet on them, but the calibre of opposition the West Indies have had to come up against and really they've probably been the fourth best in the competition. England have had a sweet ride really, but we identified that and that's why we felt they were a good price. From five to two to seven to four, I'd be minded to just let it go. Now, I think they've got a puncher's chance anyway. And fingers crossed, our faith is repaired.
7:59 Paul, any strategies for that, for those users that have taken that far to two? Well, I mean, it's proof here that we haven't actually discussed this yet between us. The fact that we're saying this, personally, I'd get out. I feel they've been very fortunate to get where they are in England. I think they've been poor. And it's really annoying in a way that they... got over the line against New Zealand when they looked like they were going to lose because if they were playing South Africa they'd be much shorter and you know if they were 5-4 against South Africa I'd be saying lay that all day long but I still personally would get out because I don't fancy them at all I think England's main problem is they've been playing
8:46 on slow turgid wickets and got used to that they've been playing attritional cricket haven't they And they've now got to switch to a venue which is completely different in style. They've got to be all guns blazing suddenly. And India have had time and game time on those types of wickets. So they've got, India have got a big advantage anyway because they're at home, but they've got massive advantage because they're tuned up for that type of wicket. In England, they're not. And that is a big problem for them. not least Butler Bethel, two of the top three just not doing it. We'll look at those games in detail. New Zealand versus South Africa, India
9:36 versus England. We've got team news, pitch reports, strategies, trades, nuggets, and the players to follow those win rates that we like to go on about. We'll find some value there. We've got the bet right boost as well. Now we've requested some special Booz Strong Bet, right, because there are players that we fancy. So stay tuned for those previews. As I said, Paul and Rich will name the winner and runner-up. I think we've got some clues how that's going to go. Don't forget to sub up to our VIP channel, please, in the comments section below if you want to get winners to your device. In play, pre-toss, early bird value. There'll be early bird value going out After we've produced this pod, there'll be
10:21 more bets going in tomorrow, no doubt. The bet's been going in today for these semifinals. And also, please do support the Cricket Betting Podcast to come back every week by subscribing to BetRight, please. We can't give you those incredibly profitable best bets every week unless we get some help with our sponsors. That is BetRight, so go and check them out, please. I've got those bet right posts for you. We've also got that Acker bet. So, let's begin. South Africa versus New Zealand. Wednesday, 13.30, Eden Gardens. South Africa, 8-18, AK bet 6-4. The Kiwis boil South Africa line up like this. Markham, McCock, Rippleton, Brevis, Miller, Stubbs, Janssen, Bosch, Maharaj, Hubada and Edie.
11:11 Very settled. The Kiwis, Seafoot. Alan, Ravinder, Chapman, Phillips, Mitchell, Santner, Makanchi, Henry, Thurston, and I've got Duffy coming back into this team for Ish-Sodi. Saraka run four in your last 10, 1-7-6. They're conceding an average of 1-5-9. Kiwis are scoring 1-8-6 and conceding 1-7-9. Saraka lost three in the last four against New Zealand, but they did beat them by seven wickets in the group stage. It wasn't much of a contest. Rich, I've put belter of a game, but is it a belter of a game actually? Are Saka's just gonna steamroll them, steamroll them, steamroller this Kiwi team? But actually, we'll come back to that question. But
12:01 does that group result show that there is a massive gulf there or are the Kiwis with a little bit off the boil in that game? You say that, but then they've been off the ball since as well, haven't they? So, you know, they lost a game against England that they were in a really strong position in. Got away with his one leg as well in the game before, didn't they, with Santa batting heroics. I've been a bit underwhelmed by them sort of over the last week or so, actually, having originally... thought they were pretty good. As you say, style South Africa steamroller them. And actually, if you look at that game as well, I actually thought the result flat New Zealand a little bit because they got a really good start with the bat. I think they were 40 for naught very quickly. And South Africa still dragged them back. I think it was 175. Then
12:51 South Africa really did it at a canter. Flying start from the opening pair again. Lost a few wickets in the middle, but never, ever looked like they might surrender that advantage. It was about one side easy to get, really, after the first few hours of New Zealand's batting. We'll talk about in a sec, potential toss by a CEO, but even with that, South Africa just looked up far too many guns. Yeah, in play, by the way, New Zealand's historically an ICC tournament. Terrible frontrunners get themselves into winning positions in big games and then make a mistake and it all goes wrong. Paul, we're often keen on the Kiwis because we get inflated odds against, but six to four here is perhaps not as big as it should be. I think
13:39 it's right, to be honest. I think, look, I completely agree with Rich about that group game. It was massively one-sided. It really doesn't do South Africa's dominance justice the margin. But it was only one game on a different pitch. And the fact that there could be a toss-by-us here is important. And as I said before, as much as I'm not going to make any case against South Africa, we're in the knockout stage now. Right, and maybe they peaked early. Maybe New Zealand haven't peaked yet. They're not a team I would write off New Zealand, even though clearly so far they have been inferior. Well, let's do
14:25 that ground guide for Eden Gardens. Eight of your last 11 night games, one by the team batting second. That's the toss-by as we're referring to. The RPO in those games is 7.9. Indian chase 1.95. With relative ease, a little bit of a wobble. Windy shortened up a bit when the rate was getting up towards 12 and over at one stage, but Samsung was never really flustered. Last 10-20i in all conditions, 167.6. First thing's average. Yeah, average number of sixes in those games is 13.3. Paul, what have you got on the ground? Well,
15:12 you know, obviously in these tournaments, what happens is you get angles galore with the grounds, with the runs and the sixes, but you get to this point and the bookies are just on it. I mean, Eden Gardens is a road. We know from the IPL, I think it's the single most consistent ground for getting 175, 180 plus over the years. It's very, very few low scores there. And it's small and you get a lot of games with a lot of sixes. But the lines are high. I mean, they're 364.5 total match runs. Right? So, you know, New Zealand back first and as in the Almeda game, which is another road, they only get 175. You're done. You're not going to get to 364.5. And for sixes, it's 18.5, which again, I mean, just to look
15:59 at the games so far, Eden games, that's only one, one out of six games. There was a 202.178. That's the only one where they beat 18.5. So... I wouldn't back under here just because I know the ground, but the lines are high enough for me. Alrighty. Now that's Paul's a bit of a maestro on the grounds, as we all know. Rich, anything from you in terms of what's happening off the pitch? Yeah, well, I mean, they're both teams to score, Mark. Paul's right. People have caught them down. I mean, this morning, and it certainly wasn't my money, but Betway went 3-1 about both teams to score 180. The Flutter firms were 9-5. Betway have taken that market down now and the Flutter firms are 7-5
16:45 for both teams to score 180. Like Paul says, there's no dice in that for me. It's annoying though because actually with the potential chaser buyers, both teams to score markets are really good because obviously you're sort of, right, I need 180 to be in the game here and then obviously the batting team have an advantage have help from conditions so that's frustrating um i do like south africa's power play though um over 55.5 with the floor firms i mean de kock and markham and rickelton have been absolutely flat out out of the boxes um i think they had the passes line after four overs when they played in the group stage and Everyone they've played South Africa, they've just gone hard up front. So I think 55.5 in six overs for South Africa looks more than gettable. South Africa highest first six
17:35 overs just in the matches, evens with bet right. And again, I just think they've probably got 200 guns and that might be a better way to get South Africa on side. One final thing let's note as well. Matt Henry is currently out. out of the country, he's gone back to New Zealand for paternity leave, New Zealand expect him to be back on Tuesday ahead of the Wednesday game, that's a big ask anyway, I'm not, I'm no, um, wall monitor, um, but, Matt Henry getting back into India, given what's going on in the world, I know it's a slightly different part of the world, but it's near enough, um, there'll be no guarantees there, that would just be a little bit of a concern for me, so I would, I would, keep an eye and try and find out what's
18:20 happening with Matt Henry because he's not certain to get back and not certain to line up and that would definitely affect New Zealand's chances and all these runs bets as well. It's not great prep at all either and it's really poor prep. Obviously circumstances are understandable but yeah it's a big game it's not really ideal. Who wins the match Paul? Well stick with South Africa they are the better team They were completely dominant when they played before. I guess a really good point, Rich, just made as well about Matt Henry. I was thinking that myself. I mean, he's critical for them. He really is critical. And as far as that first six overs market, I mean, absolutely, bang on, there's no way that South Africa should
19:07 be even money for that. Mark from the Dukocca have been absolutely outstanding up top. And if New Zealand were without Henry, that's just a massive bloke. Right, Rich, same question. Yeah, South Africa for me, even with the Tos bias, but the Tos bias might be enough to stop me lumping on at Ogzon. But I do think they're too strong, all things being equal. Well, so any sort of movement towards even money in play if the Tos goes, Savakas were and they chase and New Zealand do get up to a good start. If you can get up to sort of 1.83 marks, something like that, even money
19:53 on better for exchange, South Africa, I suspect that will be a solid play to get up in the chase. Let's have one more nugget from Paul. Yeah, well, first, just on that point you just made, look, that happened exactly yesterday on this ground with India West Indies. We knew it was a road. West Indies made 195. And what did they drift to India there? Like 1.7, 1.8 or something? best chasing side in the world. So definitely a good strategy. My nugget, though, is a much better way, I think, than getting on the outright market. Is South Africa to hit most sixes? No competition here. Bevet's 62 to New Zealand's 47. And, you know, you look at that South Africa top six, they've just got power galore,
20:40 right? And, well, longer than that, because Jasnan and Bosch are good six hitters as well. Rich, have you got another nugget? No, I think that's done for me. I'm just messing around with my best bets and self-advocate for six hours and freaking out the staking. Alrighty, that's got the players to follow. Quinton de Kock is overdue. His win rate has dropped to 23.5. But you do get a 7-2 bet right boost from Quinton de Kock. So there is... A smidge of value on Quintin de Kock to get the top bat win in. I mean, he came into this tournament close to 40%, if memory serves,
21:30 from a short study sample. So he's returned to the mean somewhat, but certainly nothing wrong with his form. Seafoot, 37.5% win rate for the Kiwis. You're getting 33.10 for MGM Virgin Bet on Seafoot. Other bet-right boosts for this game. Markham, 11-4. Jansen, 3-1 top staff, Africa bowler. Finn Allen, 3-1 top Kiwi batsman. These are bet-right boosts for the Cricket Betting Podcast. We are keen on... Well, I am keen on the clock to produce. We'll see what Guy thinks about those in a minute. Bosch with the ball atop South Africa. 9-2, 10
22:18 bet. That is not dead heat rules. He's got to be the bowler conceding fewest runs if that is a shared honours. He's winning 47% of the time with those rules in place. At your sixes markets, most sixes for South Africa. Malcolm Brevis won three at the last 10 each. 9-2 and 5-2 respectively. 3-6 side gap of it. Alan is your sixth sister for the Kiwis. If they get him cheaply, those bets that Paul was talking about on sixes will win very comfortably and be enough to bet. He's won three in the last 10. He's 15 to eight clear favourite with the same firms. Just a point on Marco Jansen, four wickets in that group match. 11 to 10,
23:07 3, 6, 5, two wickets or more. Rich, what you got? I'm with you, Dick Ock. Interesting to hear what you think. I've just felt like he's been coasting his way through the group stages, to be honest. They've not really had any competition, South Africa. It was bummered in that one big game, but, you know, I mean, last week we had him, didn't we, for a 50, and he just blasted his way to 47 and then just hauled out at long on. There was no game for them, was it? And I do wonder if he'll just be a bit more dialed in now, um... Like you say, he came into it in rasping form, so I don't think he's far away at all. For the Kiwis, for best bets, we've got Glenn Phillips running for us in the outright mark. He's got a bit of ground to make up, 13-2 tip, but he's batted really well throughout the tournament.
23:55 He's probably still the wrong price, so hopefully he can come good. But I must mention Mitchell Santatop. Kiwi batsman, still 20-1 knocking around. He's already won once in this tournament. He generally just wins once every few, and I suspect over the last year or so, if you'd... If you keep taking the big testy prices, and he was going off like 33s and 40s 12 months ago, you'd definitely get a good run for your money there with Santana. So if you think South Africa are going to win and going to win handsomely, he could bring that middle to lower order into it. And Santana at 20s is definitely worse bet. All righty. Santana, I think he's two wins in 25. Rich
24:40 on top of that. So... 20 to 1 is fine. Yeah, there you go. It's 8%. Paul, players follow. I think we've got a lot of consensus here, actually. And it's just about what's the best way to back them. No question, Quentin de Kock is due. My problem here is that their top order is so good, I don't really want to bet top batsmen. I want to back the 50%. I think that's a bet. And other scenarios here are player performance. You can go over 32.5 with bet 365. And he's wicketkeeper, of course, so he's got potential catches there. That's one of the lowest I've seen this tournament, actually, Paul, for 22.5. Yeah, it's just a bet, isn't it? If he's 25.5 runs in places, like seven points for the
25:27 wicketkeeper. But the other bet I like, you mentioned the most sixes market. He's 5-1 to hit the most sixes with Bet365 for South Africa. Now, if you look over the longer term, over 30 T20 matches, T20 or T20 internationals, he hits 2.2 sixes per game. Nobody else in the side hits two. So he definitely is the one to beat Stidham over the longer term. In seven matches so far in that market, he's only got a tie. I just think he's due and... I mean, he hit 10 sixes in one game against West Indies last month. So there's no problem on that score. It's just a matter of when it happens. Yeah, I know, Paul, because I've got a spread bet on these tournament sixes and he's just not come to the party yet. But hopefully he can put that
26:16 right. One more thing. You mentioned Mitchell Sadner. I also want to look at their middle order just in case Jansen gets into him. So another thing, Jansen, we're talking about him. Now, 34.5 player performance, right? That's won 16 out of 29 in T20 internationals. But I think that probably doesn't necessarily do him justice because there's a lot of games where he hasn't had a bat and... I think we can say for certain that he's going to be a strike bowler in this game where he hasn't always been their strike bowler. So I think 34.5, especially considering the damage he did to him last time, is a really good bet. And finally, on the New Zealand batsman, I like Dabble Mitchell at 9-1. I think he's due. Good batsman. Did okay. One of
27:05 the only two batsmen that came out of any credit in that game against the South Africa last time. Could see him doing a recovery job. Yeah, and great form in this country, in India. Right, we promised you the BetRight ACCA. BetRight will offer an ACCA for the Cricket Betting Podcast listeners. Bet 10 quid, get a £10 ACCA. It's new customers only. Enter the code ACCA10. It's a minimum five-fold ACCA with total odds of evens or greater. So there might not be some surprises in some of these names. There's certainly no surprises in the first one which comes up. So pens and papers that you ready, please, for the first... One in our fivefold is Quinton de Kock, top South Africa, back at 16 to five. They have to take the single price on these, not the
27:54 bet boosts. That is one of the rules. Then we've got Bosch, top bowler for South Africa at 7 to 2. Steaford, top New Zealand, back 3 to 1. This is very much a win rate on your first three, inspired. Then Harrybrook, top England, back 10 to 3. And then Archer, top England, bowler at 14 to 5. Those two aren't win mates, but we will discuss in a bit why we think Brook and Archer might be doing the business. £10 State will return you in profit £12,438. Which wouldn't be a bad couple of days' work, would it? So we are underway in our T20 World Cup special on the Cricket Betting Podcast, brought to you by
28:41 BetRight. telling you exactly what happens in the semifinal number two. Next is India versus England, of course. Please don't forget to sub up to that VIP channel in the comments section below where more best bets come live to your device every day in play, pre-toss, and early bird value. We're returning very healthy numbers on our PL charts as well. You also get access to the VIP chat room. where bets are discussed all the time. You'll pick up some little nuggets from the guys there. It's a really good community, so don't miss out on that. We've already put two bets up in the VIP for this game. It's India versus England Thursday. It's from Mumbai, 13.30, Vankedi.
29:31 India, 8 to 15. Favorites with AK bets, 7 to 4 England with Hills, as previously mentioned. Abhishek, Samson, Kishan, Your top three have been canny. They've split the left-handers. They worked out that was a weakness. Sky, Tilak, Hardik, Dubé, Aksar, Arshjit, Bumrah, Varun. Salt Butler, Bethel is a top three, which is just not a five for England is a problem. Then we've got Rook, Banton, Sami, Curran, Jax. I think Overson comes back in for Rahan Ahmed. Dawson, Archer, Rash, Ede. Let's talk stats. India 194 in terms of runs scored, your average runs scored, and they're conceding an average of
30:18 175, and you'll see the big golf here in these numbers. England scoring an average of 160 and conceding an average of 155. Let's go to Paul. Is it a blockbuster, Paul? I mean, two sides which I'm really convinced, but... I've got a point about that with India, but, and I'll come back to that in a second. What's your, what's your views on how these sides are matching up? I don't think it's a blockbuster. I think it'll be one-sided. I mean, look, I have my issues with India. I don't think that strategically they've been playing very smart. They don't need to go hell for leather. They're trying to do something, you know, based on IPL behaviour, basically. But, they're still a, absolutely class side. They're
31:08 still really the team to beat in the competition. They're playing the Wankido where a lot of these players already play. It's their home ground and they're tailor-made for it. But more to the point, England have been rubbish. England have been absolute rubbish. They've had an easy draw. The only game where you could really say they dominated, and even then they were, the 146 in the first innings wasn't that great, was against Sri Lanka. right? They could easily have lost the last two. Brook carried them through against Pakistan. They wouldn't have won without him. They'd only just got over the line with Rian Ahmed against New Zealand. They struggled against Nepal on this ground, right? I think they're a poor side, really. And then you have, as
31:54 you've already mentioned, like the Butler and Bethel problem. I mean, look, I'm a great believer in positive thinking, right? So when we talked about Butler two weeks ago, and I got my bet on Butler scoring more runs than Travis Head, I was keeping the faith and, like, you know, class is permanent, form is temporary. But he's gone at the game. He's been absolutely terrible. And I just can't see how you can expect England to beat India away with Butler and Bethel in that kind of form. Yeah, Rich. I mean, India are well beaten by South Africa. And my sort of point about India was that I think it's a bit of a trait of gamblers to look too hard to get a
32:40 favourite beat. And I think that is probably what might have been happening with India running up to this game. That 11 they can put out, it's just man for man. It's so much better than England. Paul's mentioned... but there's problems. Bethel's not done it in his format. I like Banton. I like Banton in the franchise. Against India at the Vankeri in the semi-final. And then you've got Sam Curran in the middle of it. It's a bit sort of franchise-y with England against a team which has got all bases covered. Yeah, I mean... The point about India is something I've been wrestling with sort of the last day or so really, because I started at the start of
33:27 the time, right, we can get these beat. I think South Africa can put it up to them and in a way I've been proven right and they've put it up to them and they've beaten them. But here we are, India are stumping the semifinals and they're still favourites for the competition. So apparently wanting to go after them again and maybe that is silly. Um... I think you're dead right about getting another right-hander in there. It's made a massive difference to that top order. Like, for instance, looking at it, if there were to face South African, I find I can't see Markham opening the bowling now because Samson will probably take him on. So straight away, they've negated that. Look, it is a stronger XI than England's, but England have some tactical advantage. India don't really have a good six-bowling option. If someone can get at them, say Brook got in and really stretched
34:16 them, I'd worry about India's six-bowler, whereas to be fair to England, they've probably got Jax, who's actually done a really good job, won them the game against Sri Lanka. So they might see that as a bit of an advantage. An awful lot of pressure on India now. I know it was a knockout game against the West Indies, and I thought they handled it pretty well, but it was one man who carried them. I mean, the rest of the batting... Tilak maybe, but I mean, I thought Sky was unconvincing. But a semi-final against India in Mumbai, I mean, that is big pressure. No Virat, no Rowe. We'll see how they stand up to it. It's interesting how England got it. I mean, really, it's a free shot for England, isn't it? It should be. No one really expects them to win, and you think they could just come out and be free and aggressive. So I think England have got a
35:03 puncher's chance for a few things in their favour. But, you know, you have to accept man-to-man, particularly in India. India do look the stronger 11 by far. Yeah, let's have a look at the ground guide. Let's do one again. It's six of 11 night matches won by the team batting second. So there's no toss bias for either skipper to really worry about. 9.35 RPO. We're expecting runs. Despite that, they've just been a little bit wary. Both teams have scored one at 80. Has actually won only three in the last 11. Last 10, all conditions at this ground. 190 is your average score running first. 18.76s average per match. Paul, what have you got? Well,
35:53 the thing about the WNKJ is it's a small ground. You generally get a lot of sixes there. But what you also generally get is something with the new ball. And again, I would very much worry about England's top order here. Over the years, we have developed a very reliable strategy of backing overs on runs in the second half of the innings in the IPL. Now, without a batting sub... I think you've probably got to leave it a bit later. But even in the lower scoring games in this tournament, if you bet overs over the last seven or eight overs of the first innings on innings runs, you would have made money. One thing I would say here, though, again, sorry to just be completely down England
36:41 here, but Betfair have got their runs at 181.5. Well, they've got 184 against Nepal. On this ground, they've got 166 against the West Indies, who are not a renowned bowling attack. Are they really 181.5 against Boomer, Arshteepe, Varron, who's got a fantastic record against them? I can't have it. These knives are out there. Oh. Yeah. He's... Sorry, Daniel Ingman. Um... Rich, you got anything on the pitch? Before I come back with something which might... that chair fall off a bit. Yeah, well, what you were saying was really interesting. Again, there's something
37:27 you're going to have to watch him play and it's something Paul's mentioned, but we've sometimes seen the Wankidi this year, but particularly in the IPL. Remember, Paul, first innings, it can be really hard work and you can get a really low score and then an easy run chase second time around. I think you've got to really be on your toes in terms of the pitch. Watch that toss report, find out if it's a new, if it's a used. It's not always a complete run fest. And it has spun there a little bit as well, this World Cup as well. And that actually brings in sort of a bit of a nugget. Will Jax play a performance 32.5 with Bet365? This is his home ground in the IPL Mumbai Indians. Jax has bowled really well
38:14 so far, seven wickets. and he's batted great averaging 60, got them out of the hole, actually, England, on this very ground against the Port, about 32.5. Just about a bet when you go through the last 10, I think he's winning six out of nine, but I think more so here, England will need him here, well, they'll need the six-bowler, and he's batting, he's going to get in, isn't he? I mean, they're not going to only lose three or four wickets, so I think given it's spun here all season, Shaxx could be well in the game. Just to come back to what you're saying, absolutely about the ground, it hasn't always been a run fest recently. But again, these lines are very high. So Bet365 have first innings runs at 199.5.
39:01 Right? Well, there's only been 1.200 in the tournament so far, and only 2.190s. And that, I mean, look, you know what I think of England. I'm not going to repeat that. But that's England's hope. England's hope is they win the toss, put India in, do damage with the new ball because you do often get good bowling conditions early and then they've got a squick if they can kick but the run lines are pretty high for me Right in that terms of how do England win the game Paul's set it up quite nicely actually because England are the second most potent new ball side in a tournament in terms of wickets taken so you've got to get at that top three you've got to get them out quickly Abishek Ishan Samson,
39:46 not three over nice and early. Joppa Arjap, for me, has to have a big game. He's got a very good record against left and bats. So we will come back to him, no doubt. And I'll ask Richard on that point. I've got a question to Paul about who wins the match, but I think Paul's made himself unavailable for that question. Rich, who wins? I don't know. I think India win. I think England at the moment, 7-4-ish, potentially could be a bit bigger come the day if loads of Indian money come. I'm not sure England are a terrible 2-1 shot in a T20 match, given that they do have match winners in the side. I think if it's a good pitch, it'll certainly suit someone like Phil Sallow, who I just think has looked sick at playing
40:34 on these slow pitches in Colombo. Brook. Archer received the bowling's actually held up pretty well, albeit this is an acid test on a different surface, but bowling's actually looked the stronger suit, hasn't it? We had doubts coming into it, but Dawson's been brilliant, gone just over seven and over, and he's bowled most of his overs in the power play. Archer been brilliant, as you were saying, I think he'd bow three up front, Archer again, and just try and knock them over. So nearer 2-1, I think England have got a punchless chance that I'm going to go against Paul. All right. Paul, have you got anything else to happen in the match? I mean, you've done the pitch. You've done the runs. We know what you think about the match result. I think most sixes, India, again, Betright are going 7-10, India. They're 69-52 up in the tournament.
41:25 And also, I would just add, four to five highest opening partnership, India. I just don't see a butler in this form. You've got to back India. Okay. Um, Rich, one more thing that happens in the match? Um, keep an eye on Varun Chakravarti because generally, um, in the game, be it PPR or other things, I mean, his record against England's superb fighting wickets in five T20s, he may be one for sort of by two, two, three wickets if you can get it. Right, let's move on to player bets now. Um, Got some sixes numbers for you. Just kick off. Salt has won three from 10. Kishin has won four from 10. 11 to four. The pair, 365 Dafferbet. Most England
42:14 sixes and India sixes, respectively. Abhishek is seven to two. Hills Skybet Power hasn't really delivered yet, but still strong on win rate. Keen on Archer. Only get three to one. Hills Top England Bowler. Betright boosts now. At our request, Suikama Yedda is 4-1 by Betright. So boosts to 7-2. That's too big on win rate. We've also got on request Harry Brook at 4-1. Paul, why keen on Brook and Syedda? Well, firstly with Brook, that market has got to be a bit of value because Butler's joint favourite and out-of-former Baffles the contender you don't want to back an opener at Mumbai
43:05 for the aforementioned reasons about it's much harder to bat early much better to bat in the second half of the innings and that's where Sky comes in who has an absolutely fantastic record here for Mumbai and not only would I want to back because he's going to come in at four you'd hope he's going to be batting in that final ten overs when sixes galore tend to happen and And I would not only back him for top batsman, a 4-1, but over 1.56s at 6-4 would yield a substantial profit year on year at this ground. Okay, Rich, who's your spot? I think it's got related to Varun Chaklavati, isn't it? Yeah, I think he's a very interesting power player. And I know, power player? Player performance, 20.5.
43:52 But the The other market, bigger price. I know you've been flagging this up. It's a great market to play. Bet 365, bet way. You can just bet two wickets or more. What did I say there? 14 wickets and five T20s against England. So that makes big value to take two wickets or more, doesn't it? If England have had an issue, it's against spin. I do think Jax, I know I've mentioned him already, is... 16 to 1 top England bat is averaging 16 in the tournament and if you're worried about the top order then that's got to be a bit of value um he's actually 22s as well with the Flutter Flames from Man of the Matchville Jax I mean that would need England to win the game but I think 16 to 1 top England bat coming in number 7 is
44:39 very interesting um and India batting wise I do agree about Sky but Hardik Pandya 12 to 1 general I think I'd want a right-hander, I think, for India, because I think Eric is going to go hard at those lefties up front, as you've just said, Ed. And as we always say, it does suit a finish here, and Hardik's batted pretty well. He's been hitting plenty of sixes, so maybe he's a better value. Him and Jax, maybe 16s and 12s. All righty, those are your player best bets done, or some of the best picks. Not quite the best bets, and not quite time for the best bets either. We're going to come back to Richard and Paul for the winner and runner-up players. I don't think there's going to be any surprises here, Rich. I'm sticking, as I've said, all through the tournament. South
45:28 Africa win the competition, and I've got them beating England in the final. I can't change now. Paul. Sticking with my South Africa to beat India. Well, we do have consensus. There you go. We'll tell you exactly what happens in the two... T20 World Cup semi-finals. I wonder if we might even get some content out for the T20 World Cup final as well. Stay tuned for that. But Rich and Paul at the moment saying South Africa beat India in the final. So it is best bets time. Both Rich and Paul have five units to spend each. So let's go to Richard Mann. Okay, I'll kick off then. Two points, South Africa, Heidi's first six overs against New Zealand. Even money, that's with bet right.
46:17 And then going over to, excuse me, the India versus England game, I'll have a point on Will Jacks over 32.5 player performance points, 5-6 bet, 3-6-5, and I'll have half a point. Will Jacks topping on batsmen at 16-1. AK Bet, Bresbeth priced up. Half a point, Will Jacks. Man of the match at 22-1. Flutter. And then my last full point, one point, Hardik Pandya top at India batsmen at 12-1. That's general price. Cool. Okay, so first of all, a double both with bet right. So this is a two points double on South Africa to score the most sixes, four to five. And India to score the most sixes at 7-10. Another double now, 1.5 points doubles is with Bet365.
47:06 Under 383.5 total match runs, England v India. And Marco Jansen, over 34.5 player performance in the South African-New Zealand game. And then the remaining 1.5 points, Sky Yadav to hit over 1.5 sixes at 6-4 with Bet365. There you go. Those are the best bets for the Cricket Betting Podcast. Don't forget to sign up to that VIP channel in the comments section below to get bets straight to your device and win very healthily as well. Really strong ROI on there. You can check out the VIP chat room. You can check out the VIPPSPL tracker. Please sign up to BetRight if you want to support the Cricket Betting Podcast. Also sign up to the free
47:54 Telegram channel as well in the comments section below. We may come back with something for the final. We'll probably go away and have a discussion about that at some point. But we will be back next week. The IPL's not far off, you know. This has been the Cricket Betting Podcast. We'll see you next time.
