TARIFF पर भारत से आया जवाब 🔥 TOMORROW SHARE MARKET ANALYSIS LATEST NEWS | STOCK MARKET INDIA

Brief Summary

This video provides a comprehensive market analysis for July 24, 2025, and forecasts for the trading day of July 25, 2025. It covers Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty movements, key economic data releases, global market news, FII/DII data, and technical analysis. The video also discusses important updates related to trade deals, government policies, and potential impacts on various sectors.

  • Nifty 50 closed at 2562 with a 0.63% decline, focus on 25,000 level.
  • Manufacturing PMI at 59.2, Service PMI at 59.8.
  • Historic FTA deal between India and the UK signed, aiming for $34 billion in annual trade.
  • Bank Nifty lot size increased to 35 from July 31 for monthly expiry.
  • Donald Trump's trade policies and their potential impact on global markets and India.

Market Analyst Views and Predictions

The video starts by referencing market analyst opinions on Nifty 50, noting that breaking the 25,000 level could lead to a support at 24,900, while surpassing 25,260 could indicate further gains. Another analyst suggests Nifty faces resistance at 25,250, with a range-bound action expected between 24,800 and 25,300. Bank Nifty is holding its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA).

Economic Data and Latest Updates

The presenter discusses India's Manufacturing PMI, which improved to 59.2 for half of July, and Service PMI, which slightly decreased to 59.8. US Manufacturing PMI data fell below 50, indicating economic struggles. The European Central Bank (ECB) held interest rates steady due to geopolitical and tariff concerns.

India-UK Free Trade Agreement (FTA)

The video highlights the historic FTA deal between India and the UK, which aims to increase annual trade to $34 billion. Indian companies, particularly in the gem and jewelry sector, are expected to benefit significantly, with exports potentially doubling. The deal reduces tariffs for both countries, promoting trade and economic growth.

Government Policies and Updates

The Indian government is likely to extend electronics manufacturing schemes due to their success. Additionally, the lot size for Bank Nifty in F&O trading will increase from 30 to 35, effective July 31 for monthly expiry.

US Market and Policy Analysis

The video touches on the US market, noting that Federal Reserve Chair Jaime Poyle's term will end in 8 months. It also revisits the controversy between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, highlighting Trump's change in stance and the importance of funding in politics. Trump's administration is considering imposing tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on countries without trade deals and has ordered a halt to tech hiring from India, potentially benefiting Indian tech companies.

India-US Trade Talks and Trump's Ultimatum

India and the US are in talks to finalize a trade pact. Donald Trump has issued an ultimatum, threatening more sanctions on countries that do not sign a trade deal by August 1st.

Company Results and Market Overview

The presenter lists companies with upcoming results on July 25th, including Anttel, Bajaj Finsv, and SBI Card. The US market shows mixed performance, with Dodge down but NSDCC up due to Alphabet Google's positive results. Brain Crude prices increased by 1%, while the Indian currency valuation remained stable.

FII/DII Data and Gift Nifty Analysis

FIIs continue to sell, while DIIs bought shares. The presenter notes that significant inflows are unlikely until trade deals are signed between India and the US. Gift Nifty is down, indicating a potential negative opening for the Indian market.

Market Analysis and Predictions for Tomorrow

The video concludes with a detailed market analysis using candlestick charts. Key sectors to watch include IT, banking, and jewelry. Nifty 50 has support at the 50-day EMA and resistance at 25,250. Bank Nifty held its 20-day EMA at 57,000, which is a crucial level to maintain. The presenter advises caution due to market volatility and recommends against F&O trading without sufficient knowledge and experience.

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Transcript

Full transcript of “TARIFF पर भारत से आया जवाब 🔥 TOMORROW SHARE MARKET ANALYSIS LATEST NEWS | STOCK MARKET INDIA”. Click a timestamp to open the video at that moment. Need another video? Use the YouTube transcript generator.

0:03 Hello friends. So today is July 24, 2025. The market sentiment was a bit bad today and Nifty 50 again broke 2500 and came down to close at 2562 points with a decline of about 0.63%. Now the question arises that what will happen tomorrow on Friday ? You will know in this video. Along with this, I will share with you many important latest updates related to the stock market. Along with that the global market news, FSDS data and most recent part total market analysis. So I would request all of you to please watch the video till the end without skipping and especially do not miss the last 3-4 minutes of this video when we will analyze the market and try to understand which way the market can go tomorrow. So, first of all, let us check out what our market analyst brother said today. Friends, today this topic was

0:48 covered by an analyst from LKP Securities because see, today again a little weakness was seen in Nifty 50 or the entire market, due to which he again mentioned that if the level of 25,000 is broken now, then on the downside 24,900 is a crucial support point and for the upside he said that look, it is necessary to break 25,260 immediately. Meaning, if strong resistance can be sustained above this then further gaining may occur. By the way friends, if I ask you what do you think? Meaning, which way will the market go tomorrow, Friday ? Will it go down again? Meaning it will break 25,000 and come down or move upwards again. Whatever your opinion is, please share it by commenting in the comment box. Well, same topic

1:35 covered from Money Control. Another analyst expressed his point of view regarding the market. Look at the technical view, Nifty faces hurdle at 25250 which has been seen only in the last three-four trading days. Range Bond Action Likely To Persist Bank Nifty Hold 20 Days EMA. So for Bank Nifty I said that the 20 day exponential moving average has been held. It is a fact. We will discuss this further. Well, at the same time see, a range has been mentioned below like from 24800 to 25300 above, so almost the same range of 500 points has been mentioned on near term basis. Let's see what happens. So friends, we will cover this topic in the last three-four minutes of this video. I will explain it well. Keep watching. But before that, today friends, a lot of

2:21 important economic data and a lot of latest update reports have been published which I will share with you. You can try doing it step by step with some patience. First of all, you will know that last day I had informed you that today i.e. on 24th, two important economic data of India will be out. One is manufacturing PMI data and second is service PMI data which we saw in the previous month. Meaning the manufacturing PMI was in June month. Look at this, manufacturing PMI 58.4 actual data has come out today friends, that means on 24th July it was 59.2. Now this is the data for half the month of July. Remember this data has come out today on 24th July, this is the data for half a month, friends, you will get the data for the whole month in August, so the

3:07 PMI number as per half a month is a little better as compared to last month, but along with that, if we talk about service PMI, here you will see that we have also seen a slight drop, where last month it was 60.4, this month till half year it is 59.8, so let's see, what happens, you will get to know only after the month ends. Ok? Well, there is another data from US also. The US manufacturing PMI data in the previous month was 52.9, this time the forecast was 52.7. Now note that the actual data crossed 50 and came down to 49.5. Now remember all this PMI data, Purchasing Manager Index data, if it remains below 50 for any country, here we are not talking about India and US. If the PMI data of any country is

3:53 a parameter like this, if it is above 50 then it means the work is going well. If it is below 50 then it is something to think about. So this time if you look at the data of half the month, the actual data of July is below 50. 49.5 means look at the US, its economy is struggling because of the tariff. On top of that, the Mac data inside is struggling even more. Recently you looked at the GDP. Look at the CPI. You should also look at PMI. We will have to see what Donald Trump does next, my uncle. Well here's another update guys. Today was the ECD European Central Bank's policy meeting. See, this is the outcome. European Central Bank Holds Interest Rates as Tariff Terminals Keep Policy Makers on Edge. So because of geopolitics, I mean the

4:41 issues that have been seen till date, especially because of tariff. So ECB also did not make any changes this time. Ok by the way friends, all this data that I am showing you, I have already posted this update in my Insta story. So if any of you are on Instagram, keep following me because I give you immediate updates there. Watch the video, I can explain it well but you will get the update immediately in this story. Below in the description box you will find the link to my Instagram handle. Go there and keep following me. Well, next see, the historic FTA deal between India and the UK has been signed, well, it has been benefited in which both the countries will get benefits and especially India will get a lot of benefits because the name of this deal itself is FTA. FTA means Free Trade Agreement. So, what used to happen before was that when Indian companies used to

5:31 reach UK to sell their products, the tariff was charged as per the percentage of tariff there. But this time it will be completely free. Meaning, you will get complete access to the market and India means the UK will also benefit here because when UK businessmen or companies used to come to India, earlier the tariff used to be 15% on average. This time it was reduced to 3%. So here both the companies and both the countries are getting benefits. Well along with that the important news is how much benefit can be gained here. So here an estimate has been made that every year 34 means the annual trade will reach 34 billion dollars with the UK. Along with that, see, many sectors will specifically get benefits. I have already given the update in the second last video. Ok? So it is a specific sector. Like India's Gem and Jewellery, friends, this sector will get a lot of benefit. Report on S

6:17 Exports to the UK Are Expected to Double. So the export will be doubled through the free trade agreement. It will double. So here basically the companies of jewellery sector like your Titan , your PC, PC Jewellers, Kalyan Jewellers. The company can get a lot of benefit from all this. Shoko turned gold. Ok? Well next see the update, see the official update, government like to extend electronics manufacturing schemes by July on high interest. Now see the PLI schemes of the Government of India, it has been extremely successful, it has been extremely successful till date and especially here we have seen a very good boost in the electronic manufacturing sector. So keeping this in mind the government

7:02 decided this, the official update is that this deadline, every scheme has a deadline, it will be extended further, right? Well, see the next update, friends, if any of you do FAO trading, especially on Bank Nifty, there is very informative news for them, this is today's completely official update, Nifty Bank means Bank Nifty lot size increased to 35 with effect from 31st July for monthly expiry, so as you would know, today is Thursday, today was the weekly expiry of Nifty 50. The Thursday of next week i.e. 31st July will be your monthly expiry. So friends, the lot size will increase with monthly expiry. so how much is it today? You will ask friends today is 30th. Meaning if you want to buy one lot in Bank Nifty, you will

7:47 have to book it in quantity of 30 and it will increase to 35. So, is it cleared? But this is not for everyone. Bank Nifty is important only for those who basically do FAO trading. Ok? Ok next friends, now let's take a little trip towards the US. What is the current situation, see from Trump, Federal Reserve Chair Jaime Poyle will be out in 8 months. Now it will go away anyway. Why would he go away? Because Jerram Poyle's 10 year period in 2026 is just around 8 months. After that it will automatically change and once again some of the people close to Trump will be there as the Chairperson of the Federal Reserve. He will sit there. The pension will be taken as per the instructions given by Trump. There will be no benefit after this. Ok next look there is another update

8:33 friends you will know this is the update from approximately two-three weeks ago from today when we saw that Elon Musk's controversy with Donald Trump was going on. The controversy was going on. Be it through media or through Twitter. What did I tell you all along ? Remember. This politics, what do you call them, those who are capitalists, I mean politics and capitalists, their paths run parallel, almost the same, now what mistake did Donald Trump do by coming here, he messed with Elon Musk, who is not only the richest person in the US but the richest person in the world, now see, nothing can be done without funding, see the report has come, I want

9:18 Elon, now Donald Trump is coming in front of the media and saying that brother, I need them, I want them, and at the same time, at that time you saw that the subsidy that is there on Tesla, the subsidy is also given by the Government of India. Isn't it necessary to give subsidy, it happens there as well in the US, the US government also gives subsidy, especially the plan to remove it on EVP, friends, to impose it again means he said, look, no, I don't want to do anything like that, see, he properly mentioned Dole Trump denies destroying mass companies in the US, so it means the guy has come in line again, you understood quickly, very good, well watch this update again, I have already given the update in the first video of the day today, those who have not seen it, take a little look at what Donald Trump said again, new treasury plan rate said to climb between 15 to 50% as global trade talks in finance stage. So

10:05 basically Donald Trump just said that look, the trade deal that was to be done with those people has already been done. There are many countries which are still in the negotiation period. The trade deal has not been completed yet. Tariff ranging from 15% to 50% will be imposed on them. Meaning minimum 15% will not go below this. Maximum 50% ok? Let's see, you will soon know how much is in India's destiny. Well, along with that Donald Trump has also given the order, no more tech hiring in India, Donald Trump tells Google, Microsoft, this type of joint company and the other focus is on Americans, I have already told you this. This is, somewhere, a huge boon for Bharat and Bharti. Why is it a boon? Because look, the top brains from India, big brains, just like IITs, that is,

10:53 after passing out it is normally heard that someone went to Google, someone to Microsoft, someone to Apple with a package of Rs 1.5 crore, 2 crore, 5 crore in the US, so basically what used to happen earlier in India, though the educational system was very good, you can understand it, there is no need to explain, so these people used to take the cream from two-four good universities or good institutions. Now Donna Trump has directly said that there is no need to take it from India. So these people, that is our top brains, will have to look at many other places. UK, Germany etc. there are more chances that those people can stay in India. So the Indian companies which will get the benefit if they start up here, I am saying this to them also from the technical point of view. There can be a lot of benefits. Well, along with that you can see another update. India

11:39 US Trade Deal Both Countries This is the current update. This is the most recent update. Look, this is the update after 6:50 in the evening. Both countries are in talks to finalise the pact and reaction of tariff Ministry of External Affairs responded to this basically said here. Ok ? Coming in front of the media. Along with that, Donald Trump still did not keep quiet, friends. He continues to issue threats after threats. See what he said now. Trump issues tariff ultimatum, has given an ultimatum to the world that if there is no deal by August 1st, these countries will feel the heat, meaning that if any country does not sign a trade deal agreement with the US by August 1st, then even more sanctions can be imposed on them. Friends, when you see these types of actions

12:26 then you will come to know that Kim Jong Hun is crazy, you will feel that this could be his method, to a large extent it is correct. What is your opinion friends, please tell us by commenting about this. Okay, let's move ahead. As you know, results of many companies have been declared on 24th. I have already given an update for you guys in the last two-three videos. So remember, tomorrow on 25th, results of many companies and banks will be out. Take a quick note. One look at Anttel Bajaj Finsv Bank of Baroda or apart from that SPL or I will scroll down to show you. You just keep watching, okay, Home First Finance is done, JNK Bank is done, Lora,

13:13 NDTV Pars Defence, Poonawala, Saffron, SBI Card, see this, SBI Card, SFL India, Sighachi, and well, Tata Cemics, so friends, the results of all these companies will be out tomorrow, remember, on 25th, and friends, I would request all of you, if you have not yet subscribed to the channel, please do so quickly to get such informative videos everyday, and friends, remember tomorrow I will give you all this information update, just like today, okay, now let us quickly look at the US market, how is it right now ? Currently looking at the US local time at 12:52 pm, the position of Dodge is a bit weak at

13:58 0.47% down but on the other hand NSDCC is in a bit better position. Why is it better? Because in the US, just like India, results of many companies are still coming out. Where the results of what is called today Alphabet Google's parent company came out. It was very good. Because of which nSDDC went up and on the other hand because of Tesla and Meta the rates are down a little bit. Ok? Well, talking about the rest, the US 10-year bond is seeing good gains. Well, Brain Crude price suddenly increased by 1% today. The valuation of the Indian currency is almost the same in the last five trading days. There have n't been any major changes. Ok let's move next some Indian company position like Wipro Limited ADR version down 1.61%. On the other hand, Infosys' arrears version is down by 3.98%. So there is nothing too surprising here.

14:44 Basically last day was run in ADR version. Today Infosys shares fell, so an adjustment is taking place. Ok? Well next we will talk about HDFC Bank, the reversal is running down by 0.46%. That's ok. Well, for now let us also look at the position of Gift Nifty. Just a minute. So, I'm recording this video right now at 10:24 p.m. So you can see it now. The time has almost been adjusted. So at the moment look, the position of Gift Nifty is nothing special. Gift Nifty is not doing well right now. At 256 points. So, it means approximately 56 points below where Nifty closed today. Remember, the current position of Gift Nifty is about 56 points down. This is also true that the premium is almost

15:29 negligible right now. But this future will expire within a week. Ok? Well friend, now let's see some FS DS business. After that we will move on to the market analysis part. So even today selling has been done by FI. If tomorrow could be in such a good market then there was no reason why today would not have any meaning. So today DI bought shares worth Rs 2617 crore. FIS sold shares worth Rs 2133 crore. So the same thing is that till the time the trade deals are signed between India and US, the chances of any big inflow are very low. Currently, there is no special update from the Middle East and TA 35 also closed slightly down with a decline of 1.16%. So friends, I have shared all the important updates with you. Now

16:15 let me take you to the market analysis part. So friends, now I have opened in front of you the last three months' candlestick chart pattern of Nifty 50. Now whatever I am going to tell you , listen very carefully, observe carefully each point, each number. And before that friends, I would request all of you that if you liked the video till now, found it informative then please like the video and please keep subscribing to the channel to get such informative videos every day. So friends, tomorrow early morning once again track DJO and NSDCC futures and also note down some important sectors. First is the IT sector, second is the banking sector and thirdly remember to note down the jewellery sector tomorrow. Ok? And if possible, take a look at the oil sector as well. Meaning the companies in the oil sector. Okay, now let's

17:01 see the chart pattern of one day and see what indicators are where. So for now, look at what I told you yesterday, that is, the red colored line, here you can see two lines. Blue colored line below Red colored line Red colored line means 50 days EMA. Ok? And the above is your 20 days' relief. This is your 20 days EMA. So today we got support above the 50 day EMA. Meaning above the red color line. Ok? Now look, the update that I am giving you right now regarding Gift Nifty is as per the current situation. The atmosphere may change tomorrow morning. It can be good or it can be bad also. Ok? So if any strange news comes then I will inform you in this story. No matter how many nights there are, no matter how many mornings there are. Below you will find the link to my Instagram handle. So it is a very different thing. Now the thing is, remember the

17:48 most crucial support level I can think of for tomorrow is 25,000 to 25,850. This is the downward support level. Now the question arises what is on the top sir? Look, it is a very simple thing at the top. I had told you last day also that the Nifty 50 is stuck in a particular range and unless it breaks it, it will be difficult for it to go up. The same level as I told you yesterday, 250, will give resistance for tomorrow as well. And along with that there is another resistance on temporary basis, here you got support resistance at 50 days EMA and back to back at 250, that you can see. Along with that, what happened in the second half today,

18:34 see the 4-hour chart pattern here, the 20 days EMA whose number was around 2500, there was resistance on that as well. So yesterday we got two resistances. I have already told you about two supports. Your second resistance is 25.0, this is a very important resistance where you have got resistance for back to back trading days. Apart from this, focus on Rs 2500 tomorrow also. Ok? Okay now let's come to the banks. Look at the closing of Bank Nifty, I would say today it is better than Nifty 50. Why is it better? Because today Nifty 50 has broken some crucial support levels and broken the indicators. But still it did n't break the bank today. At least it had definitely reached down in the middle but the closing was 57000, look at that and we also saw

19:19 what the market analyst from Money Control had said in the second paragraph that today Bank Nifty held the 20-day EMA, so 20-day EMA means you are understanding it, see this blue colored line whose number is exactly at 57000, so this is the target for banks tomorrow, brother, hold above it and there is no need for anything else, ok so friends, I have explained Nifty 50 Bank Nifty to you very well, good, before winding up the video, remember what I often tell you, see the market is very risky. It is very volatile. You can understand yourself that it is so volatile. So don’t make a mistake. Do not do any activities like FAO trading, intraday, put, call, buy, sell, hold even by mistake. Especially if you have no knowledge and experience about this at all. Watch the rest normally, learn the video , know. If there is any problem then I am there for you guys, please tell me by commenting. And friends, don't forget to subscribe to the channel to

20:05 get such informative videos daily. So let me wind up this video for now. See you in the next video. Take care. B bye. Jai Hind.

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