Why Tomorrow's Fed Meeting Changes EVERYTHING

0:00 The US economy is in massive trouble and tomorrow's Federal Reserve meeting could trigger a historic market crash. Look, crude oil right now is hovering around about $100 a barrel, give or take, thanks to this war in Iran, while US economic growth has just collapsed to like 0.7%. Which is really, really low for the US. And we need to talk about what's going on, right? Because tomorrow, the Fed has an impossible choice. cut rates and inflation explodes to 1970s level levels or or hike rates and the stock market completely collapses and they don't know what to do. But we're going to figure this out together. My name's Nick. I've been a professional investor and unprofessional trader for 24 years. Before I start, I'm not a financial adviser. This is not an inducement to buy or sell any assets. And most importantly, do not take financial advice from some random dude on YouTube. Look, so right now if you turn on CNBC,

0:46 the narrative is perfectly unified. They are telling retail investors to aggressively buy the dip. They say the recent market panic over the Middle East is just a temporary shakeout. They point out that the S&P 500 is still up from a year ago, so everything is perfectly fine. Just relax. It's all good. Just keep buying. Keep buying. That's what they love to tell you. Whenever Wall Street tells you something, though, especially when they tell you that everything's perfectly fine. You should probably start getting scared. Retail investors are listening and assuming that the Fed will just hold rates steady tomorrow and eventually cut them later. And look, I think they probably will hold rates steady tomorrow, but but there's a massive catch that the mainstream media is conveniently ignoring. The actual interest rate decision tomorrow is completely meaningless, right? The real event is the release of the Fed's dot plot, which shows you exactly where

1:33 these officials expect rates to go for the rest of the year. And the smart money knows that the dot plot is about to deliver a massive shock. Let's talk about exactly why this is happening. So the Federal Reserve is currently caught in a brutal stagflationary pincer. On one side you have economic growth just falling off a cliff at 0.7%. The fourth quarter GDP was revised downwards to a a pathetic 0.7% growth rate. On the other side you have massive supply shock from the Iran war conflict, whatever we're calling it today. So the straight of Hormuz is essentially paralyzed, cutting off 20% of the world's daily oil supply, 30% of the world's fertilizer supply. Crude oil is hovering around about $100 a barrel. When oil stays that high, it acts as a massive unavoidable tax on the entire global economy. It destroys consumer spending and guarantees that inflation

2:23 will not go down. In fact, it'll go up, right? Core inflation is is already accelerating back to to above 3%, by the way. So Pal, Jerome Pal, he's trapped. If he cuts rates to save the dying 0.7% GDP growth, he pours gasoline on the oil driven inflation fire. Right? When you cut rates, inflation goes up. If he hikes rates to fight the oil shock, he bankrupts corporations and crashes the entire stock market. And here's where it gets interesting because while the public consensus says there is a 99% chance of a rate hold tomorrow, so not a raise, not a hike, the shadow expectations are shifting violently. Interest rate futures are quietly pricing in a 25% chance of a massive unthinkable rate hike. They are terrified that the Fed will be forced to act. But the public message and what the smart money is actually doing behind the scenes are two

3:12 completely different things. And that's exactly why I use Ground News, who are sponsoring today's video. When the banks and media outlets are pushing a unified narrative for you to buy the dip, you need to see a full picture to avoid getting trapped. Ground News is a platform that lets you compare news coverage across political spectrums, right? It gives you access to bias analysis, media literacy tools, and blind spot detection, so you know exactly who's trying to influence your trades. Right now, they're offering 40% off the advantage plan. That's the one I use. Just use the link in the description below, get the deal, and cut through the noise. Okay, so let's go back to what what institutions are actually doing while they tell you to buy the dip. The Bank of America just issued a massive warning to their institutional clients. Their street chief strategist warned that the stock market is one bad day away from forcing government intervention, which doesn't happen often. They laid out specific trip wires like oil and the dollar index

4:01 above 100 and almost all of them have already triggered. By the way, the Bank of America is telling institutions to prepare for impact while CNBC tells you to buy the dip allegedly. Now, why is this happening? Because Wall Street would never use retail investors as exit liquidity, right? I mean, they don't do that. They're perfectly upstanding chaps, right? Well, look, this is the exact same setup we saw in the 1970s. Reuters has literally just published a report explicitly drawing a comparison to the 1973 oil embargo and stagflation crisis. Back then, an energy shock batted economic growth or sending inflation surging. It was it was massive. Look into the 70s. You you really should. The Fed had to raise rates to 20% to stop it. 20%. And

4:46 that completely crushed the stock market in the process. The underlying mechanism today is exactly the same. And you don't have to take my word for it. Just look at gold. Gold is the ultimate smart money alarm bell. A and it's holding incredibly strong about $5 $5,000 an ounce. I wish it was $5 an ounce. $5,000 an ounce right now. It hit an all-time high of over $5,600 earlier this year and then it it dropped a bit, but it refuses to drop too much. Institutions are hoarding physical gold because they know that fiat currency is going to be debased to pay for these crisises, right? They are front running a massive stagflationary disaster, leaving retail holding a bag full of paper promises. As always, my plan's exactly the same. I'm sitting on my hands through this volatility. I'm avoiding Wall Street leverage traps and and I stick to physical hard assets that that I can actually hold in my hands. I'll see you in the next one.