0:00 Hello guys and welcome to the channel. This is the gold and silver signal. You can see all over the internet we have headlines for gold ripping, silver reaching a new all-time high in a parabolic fashion. But what does this mean for the broader markets for the stock market also and also the crypto market starting with Bitcoin. Now this is a story as all this time when we try to see what markets do in general and this story starts with leaders which are leading and this is gold. We can see that from October 2022, we have an increase for gold of 177%. Overperforming the S&P index while silver was a lagard. You can see that silver just creeped up from uh October 2022, not even reaching a new all-time high. While on the gold chart, we had the Fibonacci retracement reached something like $2,800 with a new
0:47 all-time high. While silver reached something like uh the 786 Fibonacci area, not reaching a new all-time high. What happened after that? Gold stopped for a while and silver started to outperform from uh June this year and now silver is reaching the 1.272 into the 1.4 Fibonacci retracement from the last peak to the last bottom. So basically leaders lead which means risk off bigger market caps safer investments like gold and then after a while lagards like silver turn on the page and they start to outperform in the last phase of the cycle. This is actually the gold and silver signal. The beta asset in the same market, meaning the precious metals market, it starts to outperform signaling that this cycle is almost
1:33 over. So this is basically rotation. This is the actual signal for risk on. Now there is another chart that is another lagard which is copper and you can see copper basically has the same structure just like silver before it got out and started the parabolic move. And copper is another lagard which is lagging after silver which is the lagard after bitcoin. So from gold to silver to copper this is actually the signal in which rotation happens. This looks like it wants to rip up again making a point for the end of the cycle. Some drops some consolidation going into next year and then maybe from 2027 we will continue to go up. Now for the shorter time frame let's see how this translates to the crypto space cuz I got a lot of question online mostly on Twitter. What
2:18 if this time is different? What if the altcoin market should not grow in forever? This is not how markets play out. So basically this is a story as all this time. It happens also in the stock market. Big indexes are the leaders then big caps then midcaps then low caps rotation until the cycle is over. We can also observe in the past that when gold started the big distribution the risk on environment just blasted off into the stratosphere August 2020. You can see here that gold had a big rally into August and then started the drop and a big distribution which was also at the same time a big accumulation lasting until October 2022. What happened in this last phase of the cycle? Bitcoin went parabolic and also a lot of old coin charts. Then it started its own
3:04 distribution. So going to a post of mine from Twitter when I saw gold running past uh $3,000 meaning right here in April while Bitcoin had a uh 30% drop. You can see that when gold stopped the ripup and started a small distribution [music] and again at the same time another accumulation Bitcoin rallied up something like uh let's see 70% 65%. Now the gold chart is in a similar situation in my opinion. We had a 36% discount on Bitcoin. We had gold continuing the rip and a post of mine from uh October this year. I was actually bearish and wrong. Gold from uh $3,200 area. While it did stop and went sideways for a while in that area, actually a pattern like this is mostly bullish. Back then in October, I saw a bunch of people shorting and
3:51 glaring on its demise. In my opinion, it was not safe. We actually wanted a sideways move, like another distribution, something like this, for Bitcoin to continue to rip up. We do not want gold to just fall non-stop. This is actually a bare market. And just like 2022, from $2,300 back into the 160 area at the end of 2022 was actually the bare market and then the resumption of the bull market. So this is what we want right now. We want something like this, another drop, another pop, another drop, another pop for this to continue. Maybe it's a new alltime highs. And if you want to see my main scenarios for Bitcoin this cycle, go to my channel. This is me, Christian. I'm new here. I only have 25 videos uploaded. So if you're new here, too, go ahead and subscribe. and maybe binge watch all the clips. You will see my potential
4:36 scenarios happening for 2026. But the gold and also the silver signals correlated also with the copper chart tells me we could see something like this going into new all-time highs. While what we want to see on the Bitcoin dominance chart is from January. This should begin the breakdown in an aggressive fashion and then the old coins starting with Ethereum because just like in the precious metals market, we will always have rotation. Nothing will be different ever in the markets. And you can see that uh from 2022, Ethereum has underperformed Bitcoin. And what does this mean for Ethereum and also the crypto market? We are still at 450% gains on Bitcoin and just 170 for Ethereum. So basically in the last phase of the market, the leader loses its spotlight to the beta asset, meaning
5:23 when Bitcoin starts to rip up, maybe it stops here, maybe goes to a new alltime high. Again, watch my last clip and the other last clips. Assets like Ethereum should have what silver had these last few months. Basically an overperformance which happens faster than what Bitcoin will do. Now translating from Ethereum down to lower market caps just like copper is preparing in my opinion right now. Meaning rotation rotation rotation. It happens all the time in the markets and in the crypto space. We want to see this dropping hard while Bitcoin is pumping while Ethereum starting to run parabolically and some old coins looking like this starting to gain momentum and this is the last phase where in my opinion it should be 80% at least off the market. So this is what we want to see on the gold chart. Silver is already
6:08 doing its thing. Copper only starting and for the Bitcoin correction to be over we watch some extra data from past swings. We are now at the DSS breastard on the weekly chart closer to this cross right here which in the past meant the breakout and a supported rally. And something interesting on the Bitcoin discounts. You can see here that from November 2021 into January 2022 we had a discount of 52% for Bitcoin. So basically this was the norm in the past cycle. 50 to 60% discounts including the pandemic including this November 2021 correction also going to the Teraluna event. You can see here from the top to the lows just before reversing we have a window of 77 days. The teruna event exactly the same 63% discount 77 days of
6:54 correction. This one from 2024 from the April highs into the September last low we have 154 days which means 77* 2. Maybe this is a coincidence. Let's go to what we have right now. October this year into this week right now from December 2020 into December 29, we have the 77day correction window. Maybe this is a coincidence also. Let's go to this year's correction from January 20 into April the start of April. From the top to the low, we have a 77day correction window. Again, maybe this is a coincidence going into the May 2021 last high into the last low in July is the same 77day correction window. Now on our chart today, this means that we have from the October highs a 36% discount
7:41 which is the norm for this cycle 32% 33% 36% the 77-day correction window ends this week and from the 29th of December if this is respected again we start the new leg up again. If you are interested to hear my uh two scenarios going into April and this next year and the end of 2026 this is one scenario and this is the second scenario. Again, go watch my other clips. It would make more sense. And if you want to stay updated more frequently, consider joining the members. Check out this website, game of liquidity.com. Check out the presentation. Check out my track record for this entire bull market. Consider joining. We have also a Discord channel. We do more updates like this going into more depth on the broader market, not just the crypto market. Watching the recession indicators, watching some potential targets for next year for exit
8:28 and also re-enter. Or if not, just enjoy watching these free clips. I hope it helps you make better decision in your investments. So that's it for today guys. Hope you had a wonderful Christmas. Hope you will have a wonderful new year and I'll see you in the next one. Take care. Cheers. Fight.
