Weekly Forecast (7/13/25-7/18/25)

0:27 Welcome, welcome, welcome. How are we doing? Happy Sunday. Let me know if you guys can hear me. Let me know if you guys can see any everything over here. Let me know in chat, guys, if you can hear me and see me. Everything's chilling. How are y'all doing today? Should be live.

1:12 Yes, yes, yes. Beautiful. All right, we'll get started shortly. We'll begin at uh What time did I say over here? I just made the Instagram announcement. We'll start at like 150. If you're early, uh, just chill with me here for a few minutes. If not, just come back at 150 and we will begin just setting some things up on my end as well. Make sure everything's good.

2:21 Where's the loi? Why is that not working? We have to have that loi in the back. What's up? What's up, everybody? What's up, Amit? What's up, Ansaf? Is that how you say your name? I've actually never said your name. Did I say it right? Ansaf. What's up, Angela? What's up, Neil? What's up, Ismile? What's up, Nature? How we doing? How was your week last week, guys? I made the poll. Some of you guys said, well, the poll results were kind of Let me see. We had equal. Wow, that's that's a first. Exact equals of people green and red. 173 red, 173 green. Yeah. All right. Well,

3:08 while we wait here, I'm actually just going to place I'll play a little song on the guitar as we wait for the people to get here [Music] as we wait for the tricklers. We'll get started shortly. See if this works. [Music] Can you guys hear that? What's up?

3:54 What's up, Techarium Ethiopia? What's up? How are we doing? [Music] try to live in every week. What's there? Some interesting stuff on the chart. Very interesting stuff. Are we chilling here? How many languages do you speak? I speak two. English and Spanish. My music teacher. All right. All right, I'm going to try to play something on the guitar here while we while we await await the starting time.

4:42 Something chill. I've been playing guitar a lot lately. Specifically, honestly, it's been really nice because this is just whatever. We'll go a little story here. I hurt my back right back in September and I used to be like super active. I used to play basketball a lot a lot. Very active in that end. I used to be like my outlet, my stress outlet. where when I hurt my back, I didn't really have that anymore. I don't really know what doing it anymore. So, I started playing guitar as a as another extra hobby and to sort of release all that stress or just creativity and just and it's been great, bro. Fell in love with fun. Cool. So the main main thing from that

5:29 anything bad that happens to you, you can always frame it in a positive way and it probably happened to you for a reason and try to find like the benefit. I probably could would I probably would have gotten hurt anyways down the line because I was lifting just so heavy. Like this injury happened to me at the gym and I used to just lift heavy irresponsible and it had to happen at some point. So [ __ ] it better now than when I'm in my 40s. You're can heal better. And I learned not to [ __ ] lip heavy ever again. It's not worth it. It's not worth It's not worth it. Simply not worth it. What's worth it is longevity. the ability to use your body late into

6:14 late ages of life. So that's what my focus is on longevity. I don't lift anymore. It's a [ __ ] bodybuilder. Anyways, anyways, let's play something on the instrument. Wait, wait, [ __ ] it. The the the um the chorus. The chorus that's in the works. It's been a little longer than than we thought, but still working on it. Been delayed a lot. I know, but it's going to happen this year. Don't worry. It'll be really nice. We're making it really putting our all. [Music]

7:00 All right, let me turn off the We'll get started shortly. We don't What was that? I saw some of the What's with the strangest [Music] Are you single?

7:46 I am not a single Pringle, Christina. I am not. I am not a single Pringle. All right, we'll play something something I learned the other day. All right. I don't know if you guys can hear this out. It might chop, but [ __ ] it. I'll just play it. [Music]

8:39 Uh-oh. [ __ ] that one up. [Music] Okay, I'm a single pickle, right? [Music]

9:29 Down. [Music] All right, it's 150. It's getting close. Let's get back to business here. That was just some slow [ __ ] Some dreamy Japanese music. All right, anyways, let's get into it. Let's bring up the economic news calendar and let's do it, fam.

10:16 Let's put this up. Copy and paste. It's quite an interesting week. It's an Eval expedition week. So, we're going to be doing that live. We're going to be doing that live in the Discord on Tuesday right here if you want to do something. But anyways, let's get right into it. Everything set. All right. So, first things first on this week, every time we're doing a forecast, the first thing we want to be looking at is the economic calendar, right? It's going to set up

11:01 our our road map. It is our road map for the week because news is what injects volatility and energy into the marketplace and we want to be aware of when that injections of volatility will be found. All right. And we also be want to be very aware of big three news events and bank holidays because those are days in which trading is likely going to be lower probability or there's increased risk increased risk. For example, on big three news days like we do have right here. So on Tuesday we do have CPI but let's begin with Monday. All right. So Monday we have no news. You should know by now how I feel about those days. You should know already why these days are lower in probability. There's no news. A lack of news equals a potential lack of volatility. So Monday

11:49 already is a day to be cautious of and potentially just wait. Also it is the day before big three news event. What do we know about those? the day before big three news events also like to be held in a consolidation as it awaits the actual news driver for the week which over here would be Tuesday. So Monday is a double whammy where we don't have news on that Monday on top of it being the day before a CPI. So that is something to be cautious of. Now, Tuesday we have CAT as well, CPI at 8:30 and the the wonderful you right here, which again, just to eat right here, I will be doing Expeditions live in the Discord, which has been going well the last the last few times. We're in a bit of a streak

12:34 with that. So, let's see if we can continue that up. That has like I believe right now like a near 90% win rate, the the one shot one kill method on CPI. So, that is exciting. If you do want to try passing some evals, I got you. So, on Wednesday, we have more USD red folder news. We have PPI, GBP, CPI. We have AUD red folder news over here at 9:30 p.m. Another beautiful day to trade. Plenty of volatility. And Thursday, we have some more news here, 8:30 USD. And Friday, we don't have news also. So, be cautious potentially on Friday. The week is built like a sandwich where we have Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday as the meat of the sandwich right here where you're likely going to find your high probability trade setups within these

13:22 three days right here. So, these three days will be my focus. Now, um yeah, marvelous. As you just mentioned right there, Monday can be a potential consolidation. Tuesday with this CPI might be a manipulation and then the rest of the week these news events can be catalyst for expansion which we'll just quickly take a glance over at NASDAQ right here. I did mention this in my IG reel I just posted where potentially what could happen since we have this weekly for value gap down below price. CPI often likes to act as a manipulation type of news event where on CPI what would be really nice and we can frame really clear trade setups is if CPI manipulates into this weekly for value gap on Tuesday forms a low of weak

14:08 around there and then the rest of the week we can actually just start looking for longs and get some weekly IOTA. Um that could be a great way to to frame this week's economic news calendar right there. That would be what I think would be the ideal scenario, right? So, that's the economic news calendar. I don't know where it went. Oh, there it is. And yeah, that's pretty much it. Let's get into the dollar right here. First things first, the dollar. So, let's start at the monthly. We're always doing our higher time frame analysis from a top down basis. And actually, let me close chat because I keep going distracting me. So, I'm going to take a look at your questions after we do the forecast and and yeah, just in

14:54 case you guys want to while I go through the list right here and then you can submit all the questions you want. All right, so first things first, whenever we're doing our forecast, we're looking at the dollar. Also, where is my goddamn loaf? There it is. Something fell off. Something felt off. It was too quiet in here. The lowfi wasn't loi. Wasn't at E. Now we're at E. Now we're chilling, baby. We're back. All right. So DXY is the first thing we want to be looking at. It is the world deserved currency. And by looking at dollar first, it makes the analysis on our watch list right

15:42 here so much easier because if we can find a clear bias on dollar, we will find a clear bias on all seven of these assets right here, these majors. These are the forex majors. And they're called majors because they're tied to the US dollar right here, in case you didn't know that. So, by just analyzing one asset, we analyze essentially seven, right? And we're utilizing that clear dollar bias if we do get one to trade one of these in the direction of that bias. So that's why we're going to take a look at the dollar right here first. What can happen? Well, currently on a monthly basis, we are respecting previous month's low right there. Let's go down to the weekly. Get a little more information right here. Not too much to be taken

16:28 from that monthly. If we go to the weekly, now we are observing order flow, right? So, first thing we want to do is look for bias. How do we find bias? Well, we're looking at two things. Order flow of the fur valley gaps and candlestick logic. All right. So, as we're as we're diving down to the weekly right here, we're taking a look at order flow and we're taking a look at the most recent order flow leg, which on this weekly basis would be this one right here. This swing high to the swing low with a fair value gap in the middle. And if we want to move, it would happen off of this weekly for value gap overlapping with that low. But now we're gauging candlestick logic. How the actual candle is respecting or disrespecting that premium array where if we look at this last week's candle

17:13 right here, we are disrespecting that just the way we have closed above it with a full body closure. Right? This level right here is the body. If we close above that or even inside of that, we consider that a disrespect of a meteor. Meaning this right here at this current moment is quite weak. Let's go to the daily. Actually, let's go back to the weekly because we still Okay, we can still potentially frame shorts right here off of a two candle rejection, right? First candle disrespects that PDA, right? that premium right right here. If we still want to move lower, I'm going to just gauge the reaction off of this previous week's high because we

18:01 can always still sweep that. And if we get the time frame aligned rejection, we can still look for shorts on the dollar. That is a very very real possibility. And the way we will gauge that is by reading the lower time frame order flow, right? That's our compass. So, we're going to be looking at the the 4 hour for that because now we're in between two scenarios right here where we are disrespecting it and potentially we can start to see flip context in play or we can see a 2k rejection to continue lower. Now, how do we tell which scenario is going to happen? Well, this is where we can start diving lower into our 4hour time frame. And this level that we marked out right here is that previous week's high. So, this level right here, I'm gauging the reaction seen once we trade above that. Are we

18:48 going to come above it and sweep it and start seeing displacements lower? Are we going to start seeing order flow shift from a bullish state on the 4 hour to a bearish state and then commence a market maker sell model again down to this previous week's low? or if we want to see a weekly flip context to start looking for higher prices. What I'm going to gauge is once we move above this high, are we sweep are we running that high? Right? Because there's a difference between a run on liquidity and a sweep on liquidity. If we are running that, we are getting body candle closures above that. Seeing strong expansions occur and we're getting for value gaps overlapping with that high creating what would be a 4hour area for value with new expansions higher. We

19:35 could potentially look to target higher from now some shorter term targets and how I get my shorter term target is by looking at unmitigated opposing PD. So over here, this would be a shorter term target on its way to actually completing that longerterm weekly flip context. So I marked this out because this is a liquidity void right here. Right? There's no trading right here. That's just an opposing unmitigated meteorite which can serve as a shorter term target to for example if we get a value gap right here. playing this context area can be some nice nice trades within that and you can look to perhaps intraday trade some of these majors with that idea

20:23 make sure the low not too loud either not too loud but for the dollar that is what I will be gauging I'm gauging this level right here this is just this previous week previous week's Are we going to sweep this or run it? That will be very telling. And then we can just play the major asset in accordance with it. But that's the dollar idea. Now for me what I would prefer although it doesn't matter what I prefer the market will do anything and we will adjust to whatever the market wants to do. What I prefer to happen is that we do continue being bearish right here. So we can just have this really

21:09 nice idea on Euro. I was looking at this earlier cuz Euro has a very very gorgeous textbook context setting up right here which I would love to milk if we can get that. Right. So moving on from dollar, we're going to go to euro. Remember euro moves inverse to dollar. So essentially it's the same analysis. We can still get a two candle rejection right here if we do want to push higher. First candle right here disrespects, right? Remember this is actually what we went through in the the recent the most recent video, the pivot context video. First candle closes inside the fur valley gap signaling a disrespect. Just like we're looking at dollar. If dollar does want to continue pushing lower, we want to see dollar sweep its previous week high and then start rejecting lower. Whereas euro, we're

21:54 just looking at the opposite. Want to see euro reject previous week's low, sweep it, and then we can look for higher prices right there. And what I really really like about the euro right here is this low resistance liquidity run signature right here on the on these highs. All these highs, you see all these highs, all these failure swings, all of this is engineered liquidity, which when price starts to reject, loves to be ran through like a hot knife through butter. This is all engineered liquidity right here. I love this the signature in price. All these failure swings, right? A failure swing is simply a swing that failed to take the previous swing that we're constantly just engineering liquidity right here, creating this smooth line. You can just

22:41 if you can draw a smooth line on the highs of the opposing curve you're looking at. You can classify that as a low resistance liquidity run. So just like we were looking at the dollar, I would love to see we can sweep previous weeks below right here. This out a little better. Something like this sweep start rejecting and then we can look to push higher. I will be keeping a very close eye on that. That would be my textbook setup going into this week if we can't get that. This lowi giving me PS2 game menu. That's what we're going for. What we're going for now, when we're looking at the majors, remember we're trying to find the strongest asset in accordance with dollar. So if we have a

23:27 bearish asset, we're look if we have a bearish dollar, we're looking for the strongest major right here to play in accordance with that. Now if we take a look at the idea on dollar, euro is in most accordance with that. It's stronger than if you look at GBP, it doesn't even have a weakening fair value gap right there to even work off of that two candle rejection idea on dollar to move lower. So already it's this is scrapped. And in the event that dollar does move lower GBP is scrapped. Now if dollar want to move higher then this becomes interesting because this is weaker than Euro and just based on where we can draw towards to next right here just a close proximity PD area that

24:13 we can draw towards to would just be this weekly swing low right here. We go to the daily. This is looking quite bearish. Bearish order flow. Daily for valley gaps creating new expansions right here. We have a daily expansion candle right there. Daily flip context in play. We are failing this area of fair value right here. So remember the market only does two things. Offer fair value or seek liquidity. If we're failing to offer fair value right here, it's likely it's likely we're seeking the opposing liquidity down here. So GBP is actually looking very bearish, right? At this moment we have a 4hour valley gap right there. Yeah, this is looking quite bearish. So if dollar does decide to run this high and want to push

24:58 higher well then GBP becomes very interesting if you want to look for potential intraday trades in accordance with that. Just looking at this low as a draw for the week. That does become quite interesting. So you see how we can frame both sides of the market based on which one's weaker, which one's stronger. And now what we're doing is just we're reacting and adapting to how price is going to react to that period we got. We don't know yet and that's okay. But we will react and adapt to the reaction off of that and then play the the proper asset. We take a look at AUDUSD. I am not interested in it. And it if you've been keeping up with all the forecast you would know why. We've just been super choppy for

25:45 since April pretty much for a long time. I mean, look at the daily. You can see everything clear. Just ultra chopfest. No real clarity, no expansions. I am just not interested in this right now. All this chop right now on the 4 hour. And that's as simple as the analysis can be. I am not interested in AUDUSD. I'm not interested in predicting where it might go. It's just chopfest. Same thing with NZDUSD. It has been a It's been a chop bath. Very, very ugly price action. I'm not interested in analyzing or trading something like this. You can be also a bit weaker, too.

26:33 USD CAD looking like a chopfest as well, at least on this weekly basis. failed to follow through down towards those highs. Just seeing a strong injection out of nowhere seemingly. I don't like these random for valley gaps right here that really didn't really that really didn't get created out of any sort of discount array. Like we didn't even sweep the swing low to create it. So where did it really originate? When stuff like this happens, it's a random for valley gap. And I don't like random for valley gaps that seemingly just popped out of thin air. Uh, so that's just not something I'm interested in right here. I don't like this. This just looks like a consolidation range on on USD card. I don't want to play anything inside of that. So that's not interesting.

27:21 USDCHF is interesting. I will say it is the weakest right here out of these majors right here with the USD in the base the base currency. We have this very nice weekly for Valley Gap that aligns with a dollar bearish thesis right here. If we do want to again sweep previous week's high and move lower that can be very interesting and it is quite weak. So if dollar does that two candle rejection on USDCHF this just might be its first rejection which is even stronger if we do want to just come into that and move lower. That is interesting. So I will have an eye on that. I'm actually use my entry alert indicator right here to mark that out. Get the alert. So, the way that works,

28:07 in case you don't know, is you mark out your zone you're looking for a potential rejection from. You select the IRL time frame. So, this is a weekly IRL and you click apply. And then you go to the lowest time frame you're looking for your entry on. So, you can look for a 4hour impulse shift or a 1 hour chain. This will look for all of that. And you're going to go here. You're going to add alert and you're going to create that. And it is now set right here. Give it a moment and it's activating. And now it's active. So there it is. And then you could just delete it off your chart just like that because I for me I like to just have the order flow indicator. It looks a bit cleaner that way. And I already know the entry alert is in there. So that is quite interesting. I like

28:53 USDCHF a lot. USDCHF and EuroUSD are interesting. If dollar wants to move lower, right? If dollar wants to move higher, then we can just pivot to looking at potential GU shorts down towards this low. So there we go. Simple. Moving on to crude oil. Moving on to crude oil. Brother, I am not a fan of this chart and you guys have known that for a while because we have just been in this chop. Keep in mind this is a monthly chart. So this chop has been going on since 20 23 2024 basically it's not very nice on a

29:39 monthly basis we've just been chopping which isn't going to bode well for the lower time frames as you can see just weekly chop best just consolidation right now we are in the middle of that consolidation I really don't like playing price when is in the middle of a consolidation the high probability setups when price is in a consolidation will occur at the external ranges of that consolidation to then just sweep and pull back into the range. Like for example, prior to this pullback into the range right here, we had a sweep of this external. This sweep right here provided very high probability shorts to go back down into the range. This sweep right here of this external provided some high probability longs to trade back up into

30:25 area right here. Eventually consolidation ensued but playing these immediate reactions right here. Likely some good opportunities right there. Likely good opportunities right there. I did take a short actually on that rejection specifically. But on consolidation profiles just trading the middle of the range equilibrium of that not the highest probability trade will be formed in there. So I I really don't like what's happening right here. Really don't like where where price is right now. So, it's currently disrespecting that weekly bearish for Valley Gap. Looking like it wants to draw up towards this previous week's high right here. If you do want to push higher, just you really want to analyze this. If it does want to push higher, I would like to see price run that low, create a fair value

31:11 gap overlapping with this new fair value area, and then we can look to potentially buy off of there. Although, I don't know why you'd still want to trade this one. There's way better things out there than this. So, this wouldn't even be on my focus list for for this week. I'm not going to trade it. Now, moving along to gold. Gold had a really interesting idea last week. We had a nice trade on it just based on candlestick logic, right? Sweeping previous week's low, we can now see previous week's high. This was that draw for that trade last week. I had a full breakdown video on on Instagram right here. I just played this expansion right here that occurred in the no resistance

31:57 area. Why do I say no resistance area? Because this right here, if we I want it to be red. This right here is the area of no resistance because there is no PD arrays found in this entire area on the way to this final erra that can potentially act as resistance. Right? Whereas over here we have all these unmitigated for valley gaps. We have this swing high that can act as potential resistance. This swing high right here was also a daily swing high right here. So once we got above that, this right here is what I played for intraday trades. Just playing the no

32:43 resistance area up towards this previous week's high. And that's what I did over here on the 15minute going into the New York session. We saw 15-minute for valley gap. So the compass is pointing higher. By the way, I am explaining an example of my pulse model. In case you don't know, I have two models. The summit model and the pulse model. Summit is the swing model. pulse is the intraday intraday model which I do primarily on futures and this is what I was doing on this Friday with gold I was establishing a bias on the higher time frame which I'll just break that down again with you from the top um since we are all on the same page I'm going to break down this pulse model example right we'll do a little pulse explanation right now for the pulse model you need a few things I know a lot of people have been asking

33:28 about this so I'll do a quick little rundown it's very simple it's a four-step model that requires a bias. It requires narrative. It requires an entry. And finally, it requires time. This entry and time, they are they sort of go together, right? Your entry has to align with time. Your entry has to be in a kill zone. Also, you don't want to be trading goddamn bank holidays or things like that. You don't want to trade low probability days. You want you don't want to be trading during a big news event. You don't want to be trading prior to a big three news event. time incorporates economic news calendar and kill zones. Okay? And you want to make sure your entry aligns with all that. Now the first step over here is finding a bias. How do we find bias? Well, we find it using fair value gaps using orderflow legs and we find it using candlestick logic, right? So if we go

34:16 over here to the gold weekly time frame, how did we find bias right here? Well, we found it using candlestick logic. Because there's no real no real order flow in current price action. We're just going to use candlestick logic because we can understand that on a higher time frame basis. We have been bullish, right? So we have a soft bullish bias right here. Just understanding that on the monthly we're just trading at alltime highs, constantly expanding higher. On the weekly we are still in bullish order flow. There really hasn't been a shift. Why? Because there hasn't been any bearish for gaps created. So we are still technically in bullish order flow. Now going to candlestick logic. Understanding what happened right here with this previous week's low. We swept it candle body closed above it. Where

35:02 can we next target? We can target previous week's high and this opposing weekly wing high right here of that candle that we swept right here. Just two targets right here. What I was playing right here is on Friday up to this previous week's high. So that was my bullish bias. That was my bullish draw liquidity. Now that we have our bias and we have somewhere we're actually drawing towards is step two, the narrative. If we're going higher, where can we go higher from? And that's where diving into the lower time frames come into play. Right? These lower time frames, the 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute is what I refer to as my compass time frame. I want to have those time frames, the order flow on those time frames pointing in the same direction of

35:49 my bias, which is bullish, right? So, we go into the 4 hour over here. Well, we have been in very bullish 4-hour order flow. Great. But as we were coming session on Friday, there was no 4 hour for Valley Gaps. I could have played to look for long. So, let's dive down one time frame lower. As we were coming into the New York session on Friday right here, there was no one hour for Valley Gaps. I could have played to long towards that. All right, fine. Now we go to the 15-minute as we are going into the New York session inside of the New York kill zone. I finally see a compass or a narrative PD array. If we're going higher where from right here, this 15minute fair value gap is my narrative array. So, we have our bias.

36:35 We have our narrative. Now comes entry, which already is aligned with time because you see this gray box right here. This is my kill zone. I use 8:30 a.m. to 12 p.m. Eastern Standard Time as my hunting hours. If my entry is inside of that, if it's inside of this gray box right here, like gray box in the background, I have my narrative PDA, I have my higher time frame, high everything's aligning, that is a valid trade. So, what I did inside of that 15-minute is I looked for my one minute entry. And remember, just using proper time frame alignment, what does that look like? That's going from a 15-minute into a one minute chart. So, let's go back in time right here. And we're just looking for impulse shift right there.

37:22 Impulse shift occurs, stop loss at the swing line that creates that impulse shift. And then you just target a static R. And this right here was that trade setup that I took. And yes, in case you're wondering, actually, no, we didn't even tap it. Never mind. I was going to mention something up. We're going break even. Well, actually, yeah, this does still apply. Sorry. I was break even once we got this close to uh Wait a second. I don't believe this was my entry. I actually got tagged in over here. I didn't get tagged in on this. I think my entry was like slightly above right here. And that looks more like it because I remember having to go back into this draw down. Uh not draw down. I thought I was going to get stop break even right here because I did move my stop loss break even. Why? Because of how close we

38:09 got to hitting TP. I get that question asked a lot. When do you move your stop loss break even? I move it break even based on having a new order flow leg or proximity to TP. So you can see how close we got to TP. It would be stupid of me to not move my stop loss to break even at this point and then be so heavy in profits to eventually have a full turnaround and let all that green, all those profits turn into a losing trade. To me, it doesn't make sense. To me, it does not make sense for price to want to do that after being so close. So, I move break even in those situations. And over here, I was break even. We got very close, but eventually we did turn around and hit two R. So, that was the trade setup right there. That is a really nice pulse model trade. All right, study that. That was really nice.

38:56 Yeah, that's it. We just broke it down. It's buyative entry and time. Now, moving along. Let's go back to the forecast itself. Delete this. Moving along. I already took a look at this and I noticed that silver is way stronger at the moment than gold at gold is still really stuck in this range right here in this overall range whereas silver is one-sided not in a range and it is expanding. So at this current moment silver is stronger it is the stronger asset right now. So I will be leaning towards silver longs this

39:42 week over gold if we do get them as it is looking much more directional. Now that line up there is simply a unmitigated weekly opposing PDA is very far. Um this swing high right here these are close proximity arrays that we can target and use as potential draws on liquidity. On the weekly we have a new expansion phase candle right there. Very nice bullish argument. Over here on the daily, we have a breakaway gap. So, I don't expect price to want to retrace all the way down there. The indicator will mark that once we get that new weekly candle open, but I'll just do that manually so you guys can see what what my eyes are looking at. So, this right here, this daily break,

40:29 would not be something I'm waiting for price to go down and higher from. Absolutely not. I would prefer to see a new daily for Valley Gap get created somewhere right here. Considering tomorrow's a newsless Monday and then potentially CPI manipulates into it and then we can push higher off of that. That would be my ideal situation. We have had a lot of expansion right here. I will likely just wait for for that daily gap. Would love to see some consolidation manipulation and then distribute higher off of that. That would be my ideal scenario for silver. Daily gap to long off of would be great. I'll be watching that. I'm going to keep

41:14 that on the long watch. Do you trade with SMS or cont or with context in a single pair? Not sure what you mean by SMS, but I don't trade just a single asset. What I trade for my pulse model is this list right here. The indices, the commodities, and the currencies. And these are just the micros. So really this is just the list right and I'm doing a for pulse a mini filtering process in the morning going through these I'm looking for the cleanest bias narrative on these assets and then based on that mini forecast in the morning pre pre-market analysis that is the pair which I'm going to focus on day trading for that day whereas on swing trading we're doing that analysis right now on Sunday forecast and then

42:01 I'll build a focus list and then I'll be looking to trade those pairs for the week. Whereas over here, I'm doing the filtering every morning. All right, go back to the forecast list. So that is that on in terms of gold. We are also sweeping this daily swing high at the moment. We do want to move higher. I would like us to displace above this high. And if I do want to potentially look at gold longs towards these equal highs right here, I would want to see us take out this rejection high, get new 4hour valley gaps above it, and then this right here would be your new area of uh no resistance area.

42:47 If we do get a new rejection through that rejection higher, then we can look to play potential longs on that. That could be nice. That could be nice. And if you're wondering why I didn't mark out this because it's also unmititigated swing, it's because it's in such close proximity to this. This just forms a low resistance liquidity run failure swing type of signature in which we were talking about earlier in the stream. So if this high gets taken, this high will also get taken. They're just very close in proximity to to do something like this and see price just tag that and and do something like that. It doesn't make sense, right? Usually when they're that very close together, they're both going to get taken out. But I don't even factor in that one right there. Same thing for here, right? Remember what we just discussed right here. Same exact situation right here. Like if that high gets taken in in in this area right

43:33 here, which we marked out earlier, it likely just going to take out this one. It's the same exact thing. So that is that. Keep that on the watch as well. We'll take a look at NASDAQ. We always do that last. We save the best for last. I know that's what I mainly trade with. A lot of you trade too. Bitcoin GI Wall-E. We at alltime highs right here. Ripping right now. Textbook weekly pivot context played out right here beautifully, gorgeously. We use this example in our recent video

44:19 as well as this daily pivot context right here as well. Can you spot it? [Music] What the this daily pivot context right here for valley gap failed to create new for valley gaps higher. price comes back down, takes the swing low that was created inside that for a valley gap and then pushes higher off of that. Actually combining both of the pivot context types we went over in the video in one example where we can also see two candle rejections from swing points from liquidity sweeps. It doesn't have to be just inside a gap. We can also see it from liquidity sweeps where this first candle right here disrespects next

45:04 candle sweep previous candle's low to then continue pushing higher. And then we just had your standard IRA ER right here which did not play out very nicely as you can evidently see. We consolidated in here for for a few days. Eventually we did continue right there. And now currently we are just expanding and expanding and expanding right here. Weekly expansion candle already pushing higher without coming back into that daily for valley gap stuff. I'd be waiting to see how price reacts at this swing high. We want to sweep it to come back down to these daily gaps or are we going to continue expanding higher? Oh, yeah. I don't like playing Bitcoin at these all-time highs after we take

45:51 major liquidity pools because what tends to happen is we just start to consolidate, right? Bitcoin likes to move in this stairstep manner as you can where we have short-term expansion followed by long-term consolidation. expansion, sorry, expansion, consolidation, expansion, consolidation, expansion, consolidation, expansion, consolidation, all this consolidation right here. So, what what's likely going to happen? History repeats itself. Expansion. Don't be too shocked if Bitcoin just consolidates longer term for a while here and then potentially sees another stair step up, right? That is how Bitcoin historically moves. It's a very prominent characteristic of its movement. I don't like trading it once it's already made this major move right here

46:36 because what ensues is stuff like this. I would not be too keen on continuing to trade it higher and higher and higher right there. Yeah, pivots chemo essentially pivots are inducement. They're stop hunts right there. That's what a stop hunt it stop hunt is. It's an inducement. They're pretty much the same. Now, going into the indices right here, last assets to take a look at. Going into the indices right here, we are obviously at all time highs. We have a monthly breakaway gap down below. This is not something I would want to retrace into if we do want to continue pushing

47:22 higher. So, where can we already push higher from? Well, we have this weekly for Valley Gap right here. And remember what we mentioned about CPI. We have CPI this week. We potentially well what CPI likes to do is manipulate into higher time frame PDAs. A lot of the times it likes to do that. So then continue pushing higher based on candlestick logic. We could also look at is that we swept previous week's high right there. We can potentially seek lower prices right here at the previous week lows which aligns with that weekly break gap. Not breakaway gap. This is a fair value gap. Don't consider this a breakaway gap because we did just take major liquidity right here. That could be a catalyst for price to continue pushing lower. So I know it

48:08 says bag. I am not considering that a back. That is not a breakaway gap. It would be totally fine if we do come into that. And I do prefer we actually come into that to give us a nice reason to continue pushing higher. Now, how do we know price wants to continue pushing higher or lower? Well, that's where we go down into the lower time frames and start reading the order flow on there. Remember, I love to refer to those as the compass time frames cuz you have your general sense of direction on the higher time frames. It is on the lower time frame order flow where you start to really gauge what is likely to happen, right? Those compass time frames, where are they pointing? The 4 hour, where is that pointing? Right here. So, let's go to the 4 hour. And we'll notice that after sweeping this previous week's high, we had a shift in order flow and indicator marked

48:55 that previous week's high right there nicely. Love that new update. Saves a lot of time. It's simple, but it's very, very nice for streamlining things, saving time. We had a shift in order flow after sweeping previous week's high. We had a we had a impulse shift right here. Boom. For a valley gap up, for a valley gap down, and now we're currently respecting that, right? We're currently respecting this 4hour for value gap right there. Offering for value, likely seeking liquidity next if we do continue expanding lower off of that 4 hour. We already have a 1 hour for value gap looking like a breakaway gap potentially. And we have 15-minute order flow flipping lower as well. So, I would love to see this continue continuing to follow through perhaps overnight and going into the New York

49:40 session. Maybe we have some sort of opportunity down towards this low or if we do move over move lower overnight. I would like to see us at least run this low, get a retracement with a fur valley gap overlapping that. So this for valley gap creates a new 4-hour gap and then we can look to short that lower. That would be really nice. If we can get a new 4hour for valley gap lower at some point this week of 4 API and then short that maybe Monday. Although my hopes are are not too high for that as it is a newsless Monday. But I will say let me let me say this as well because this is also a common misconception that's out there that you can't trade newsless Mondays. It's this forbidden thing. No, you can. You will see me still trade these newsless

50:26 Mondays, right? What you want to be doing is you want to be not pushing the pedal. You want to be cautious, of course. But if price action is looking like A+ textbook price action or getting your most beautiful setup in the world, I'm going to take that. I don't care if it's a newsless Monday. I will do what I will play according to what price action is showing me. And I will trade my A+ high probability setup on a newsless Monday if it's there. Is it likely to happen? Most times it doesn't. Most times it's not there. If it is, go for it. If you see clean price action, trade the clean price action. Have that expectation where most likely not might not happen, but if it's there, go for it. Go for it. That's how I like

51:12 to approach that. All right. So, over here, we'll see what happens going into tomorrow. But on a 4hour basis, we are pointing lower right here. So, I would like to see follow through off of that. Currently, the compass is pointing down towards this weekly fair value gap. So at the moment I would be leaning bearish on indices. Yes, you are at all time highs but shortterm just reading this order flow weekly for value gap does have my interest to then eventually move higher off of that. What's up? What's up Ramy? So I the reason I don't check YM is because it often times does it's not doesn't move in correlation as closely in correlation as ES and NASDAQ, right? It's like the black sheep of the

51:57 family, right? ES and NASDAQ really for me simplifies my analysis a lot where a lot of the times YM will be doing something entirely different. Like YM's not even at all time highs where if you look at EES and NASDAQ, they're very similar in terms of what they're doing. So for me, it's very easy to just take a look at these two closely correlated assets and just use those two. Whereas YM sometimes it just throws me off in terms of what the overall sentiment for for ES and NASDAQ is. That's just a personal thing and it works for me. I just feel like YN throws me off more than helps me. And I just think yes and NASDAQ do move cleaner anyways. I'd rather just focus on these top dogs. These two top dogs

52:44 right here. NASDAQ it is pretty much the same exact story. Nothing really changed right here. We have that weekly for Valley gap down below price that we can move down into. We on a 4 hour have this 4hour for valley gap as well. I would just like to see price continue moving lower off of that. If it truly if it's true intentions are to move down towards this weekly gap. I would want to see further expansions and rejections higher off of that or lower off of that. Now, if that doesn't happen and for example, you know what I'm about to say also applies for yes. For example, we just start closing above this rejection high right here. Well, now we can start looking for trades. Let me just mark this candle green out. Well,

53:30 if we if we don't reject lower, what the hell? If we don't start rejecting lower and we actually have a nice expansion higher, start closing above that rejection high, we can start looking for these highs, right? Price clearly does not want to reject lower. We can start playing the flip context up towards these highs and potential new all-time highs right there as well. So, we're always doing a constant reacting and adapting right here based on what the lower time frame order flow is doing. So, if something like this happens, I'll take a look at the 1 hour potentially or 15-minute coming into the New York session for my pulse model to potentially long towards these previous days highs and these highs right here. So, it it really is a a big game of reacting and adapting to those compass time frames and just utilizing order flow and candlestick logic to guide you.

54:17 Very simple though. It's literally just using lines and boxes and engaging how are the candles respecting those lines and boxes. at its simplest. You can put it that way. Uh let me take a look at chat because I think that's it. That wraps that. We're just waiting for that this weekend. Yeah, take a look here. Including cryptocurrency as a payment option for your indicator could be a smart move, especially in some countries like Ethiopia is Ethopia doesn't allow car payment. Yeah, I know. We've had a lot of people mention that. I not sure exactly why we don't have that as an option yet. I will bring that up with the team. We'll see if we can do anything about that. I am not opposed to that. I'm not

55:03 opposed to that. So, I'm going to bring it up with a team. See if we can make that a possibility. So, you'd say I'm better off sticking with US 500 and US 100. I'm saying that that's for me personally what works because it simplifies things. So, it could potentially work for you. Try it out. See how that works. I don't know if you've traded YM for a while. Maybe you are much more comfortable trading YM because you you've studied it longer and you know its characteristics more. For me, I've never really traded YM too long term. I always really just focus on ES and NASDAQ, but I'm most comfortable with that. Again, trading is very personal. You have to find what's best for you. I'm just telling you what works for me

55:49 better. That makes if that makes sense. But maybe that also might work for you. Try it out. Let me know. All right. What happened to the premier YouTube live stream winners? Okay. I already announced them in the Discord. By the way, if you are Okay, it's actually interesting. If you are not in my Discord, I have announced a the giveaway winners for the previous video in the Discord. So, if you're not in the Discord, you have no idea if you won or not. So, if you're not in the Discord and you're just a YouTube viewer, I would highly recommend joining the Discord. Eventually, some of you won. I think we only had like two people claim their accounts out of like the eight

56:35 people I announced. So, I definitely think some of you are not in there yet. So, join, join, join. Hey Pickle, do you trade ERL to IRL in your pulse model? Yes, I do. Yes, I do. Can you do a quick top down analysis of Nifty50? Uh, let me take a look at Nifty50. I don't really like looking at it like that. Is this I've never really looked at it for the reason it has a lot of gaps. Doesn't look too bad. We are in a weekly for valley gap right here. Let's go to the month. We are currently in this weekly for valley gap right here. Very ugly disrespect candle.

57:21 But two candle rejection can still be a possibility to continue pushing higher. Ooh, but damn that is a nasty as a nasty gap because now what's happening is that we have an opposing higher time frame PD right here. entire area really is opposing resistance. So even if that happens, I wouldn't really be interested in looking for longs until we properly flip this daily because now this is major resistance. This is really aggressive coming into this weekly for gap. I would be waiting for price to first of all flip that and then playing this here up towards that once we really remove this higher time frame area of resistance because essentially what you have right now is trapped order flow where price is

58:08 stuck between the weekly and this daily. I would wait until all that resistance is just negated. or Bank Nifty looks stronger. Actually just had a very slight tap into that right here. Doesn't even have a daily for Valley Gap. So, Bank Nifty definitely looks better. Focus on that just based on that same weekly for Valley Gap. It's not getting eaten eaten up with that huge daily displacement into that. I would focus on this if you do want to potentially look long. But yeah, if we can move higher, if Nifty, Bank Nifty

58:55 does want to push higher, it would happen off this weekly for Valley Gap. It's really the only level right now in this order flow leg where if we do want to push higher, it's got to happen inside that weekly gap. So, I would be leaning bullish on Bank Nifty, waiting for the reactions right here on that weekly on the 4 hour. Let's see if we can get a new 4hour for Valley gaps higher. Nifty I believe is the Indian Indian Stock Exchange right correct me if I'm wrong. Is it like the equivalent of what ES and NASDAQ is to us? I'm asking that. I don't know that for sure. Someone let me know. I have not looked too deep into n into nifty what it tracks. I believe it is like the Indian index.

59:52 It is all right. Beautiful. Oh, it's not. Oh, yes. Okay. I'm getting a couple different answers. Oh. Did I even look at JPY? I don't believe so. JPY right here, uh, based on the majors, I think I skipped it. My bad. JPY right here on a weekly basis has been stuck in this consolidation range. I'm not a fan of where it is right now. The consolidation range I'm talking about is from this rejection low to that rejection high. currently not a fan of its placement right here. So, I don't like playing these consolidation ranges. I like playing when price goes outside

1:00:39 of them. It just places above it and then we have a clear area to target play longs. But I don't like all this. I don't like any of this in here. I'm not really interested in JPY this week regardless of this daily for Valley gap right here. For me, I'm more interested in something like Euro, which is not stuck in some range. As you can see the difference right here. It's not stuck in a range. Euro has a clear expansion leg with order flow. And USDCF clear expansion leg with order flow actually expanding away and pointing towards something. Whereas USDPY, all that not really happening over here. It's side of this overall sideways price action. So for me, that's something I would look to avoid.

1:01:27 What's your pulse kill zone? It's 8:30 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. New York Eastern Standard Time. Shall we look at some crosses? Perhaps that take a look. Haven't looked at some cross pairs in a minute. ADJPY actually saw some I think there was a very nice setup last week on ADJPY or or was it Euro JPY? I know the the JPYs last week were very interesting. We're starting to see some nice movement right here. Go to the daily.

1:02:12 Yeah, you see this right here? This is really nice. daily IRA euro. We are currently seeing a new expansion higher. So, this is actually quite interesting. Let's let's do our let's do our cross forecast together right here. And let's build the filtering list that 80 JPY. We got a new daily expansion candle right here. If I want to be interested in this for summit model trades, I'm going to be looking for a new daily for Valley Gap right here. I'm going to put this on the long watch because I am looking for a long setup right here to potentially occur. Well, actually, sorry, that's not how I do it. It's on the waiting list because the bias is not there. The actual context area has not been formed. So, sorry, I got that backwards. That will go on the waiting list since

1:02:59 we do not have the daily, but we are waiting for that. Entity JPY, I believe it's a bit weaker. It didn't come off of any previous daily for Valley Gap, so not very interested in that. Euro JPY doing the same thing. Euro has been one of these stronger majors. That's a new daily gap. I will also put this on the waiting list and just gauge which one is stronger right here at the time. But this is also interesting if we do get a new daily for Valley Gap. Pushing higher as well. looking very bullish right now towards really only target really opposing PDA that we can go for is that swing high. So Euro is looking quite interesting. GBP it is not it is literally just stuck in the

1:03:44 consolidation right here. GBP has been a lot weaker. If you took a trade long on GBP JPY, you deserve it to lose it. Sorry. Sorry to be so harsh, but you did deserve to lose that because you didn't do your relative strength analysis. We have known for a while that Euro has been stronger than GBP JPY. So if you went to the daily over here on GBP JPY and you long a 1 hour for valley gap out of here for example well you took the weaker asset that's why GBP JPY over here hasn't even completed context whereas these stronger base currencies AUD and Euro have been stronger have already completed their context and are expanding past them whereas GP GBP JPY is still back here in the dust all right so that's where relative strength analysis plays a very important role All

1:04:33 right, the lowi was getting kind of crazy right there. I needed to put it tone it down a notch. We're getting heavy drum action. It wasn't as peaceful as it should be. So now CAD JPY, we don't have any daily for valley gap here that we're moving off of like we are on Euro JPY and AUD JPY. So these are a lot cleaner because had that daily context, daily IRL that we could have framed those trades out of. Also, let's see. Really as keen on them. As you can see, it's a lot less a lot weaker compared to its counterparts right here. AUD and Euro JPY on the higher time frames. Oo, J CHF JPY looks uber strong right here.

1:05:20 Very strong. Let's give it another one. Now, this is very interesting. And we're also going to add this to the long watch or waiting list since this came off of a daily and seeing beautiful expansions higher. Expansion candle higher. If we get a new daily gap right there, that can be interesting. Are we at Are we at all time highs again? We are. God damn. This is very, very strong. Okay, keep that on the watch list. JPY pairs are very interesting coming into this week again. All right. What about the AUD pairs? I don't think there's anything very interesting last time I checked.

1:06:11 Currently respecting previous month's high right there. Looks more bearish than anything, but I don't really fancy this right here. Understanding that GBP is weaker. GBP is in this consolidation though. We have this monthly for value gap down below price, which isn't too bad. If you want to see higher prices, I would definitely demand a lot of extra confirmation just based on how disgustingly choppy you would have been right here. I don't like this. I I don't like that to be honest. I I don't like it. It doesn't give me clarity. Guys, here's a here's a very easy trick to determine if what you're looking at is high probability or not. If it doesn't jump out to you and stick out to

1:06:57 you in like the first 5 seconds of you opening the asset, it's likely not a very high probability setup. Like for example, we looked at AUD JPY and immediately this popped up expansion, this popped up on the daily. Beautiful daily IRO. It was very easy. You guys saw how easy the analysis was there, right? Your analysis should be easy. It shouldn't be a struggle. You shouldn't be having a million different thoughts going into your head like, "Ah, but I kind of see this, but I'm kind of not sure about this, but I kind of just don't like how we're in the middle of this ring. I don't like what we're doing right here." You see, all those thoughts in your mind, use that as a signal, right? Your brain, like you are your own best signal. If you are taking more than like 20 seconds to get the bias, it's likely not a clear bias and just move on, right? It should be very easy.

1:07:44 should be very easy when you see when you open a chart and be like, "Oh, okay. This looks very high probability." Now, of course, let me let me preface that because that does come with screen time. Obviously, if you just picked up trading, it's not going to be that quick. I totally understand that. But as you gain more experience, that is how it should become. It should be very easy. If you've been with these concepts for a while and you've been sticking with every single forecast, seeing how we're doing our top down analysis, by now you should be understanding like, okay, that looks good. Okay, that looks bad. Like this right here, I'm not very interested in that. No order flow really. Just there's no clarity. There's no clarity. What are we doing here? We had this chop. We had this monthly for valley gap, but we just expanded out

1:08:30 of seemingly nothing. And then we get this random bearish bearish death candle right here out of nowhere. So it's just not very clear in one-sided. And then we have garbage like don't really know what this is about. So that's also characteristic of these AUD NZD pairs. It typically doesn't really nice at least as of late. As you can see, A80 CAD

1:09:26 isn't the worst. Go back to the monthly and do that from the top. monthly swing low being swept, previous month's low getting swept, previous month's high. We're currently running through that. We can target these equal highs above right here. That's not too bad, right? Cuz now we have a catalyst to seek a Let's let my internet know. All right. And like we saw on the weekly, we are currently respecting previous week's low right here. So, this is just utilizing candlestick logic. If you want to move higher, we don't really have that answer here on the weekly or or monthly. And now we have this daily for Valley

1:10:13 Gabro here. So, if we want to push higher, we can move higher off of this. Let's do that. Mark that out. Looks quite interesting. So, I'm going to put that in the long watch and we'll keep an eye on that because what this also has is this overlapping area of Fur Valley right here. I don't hate that. This is garbage. This is garbage. Sorry. On a weekly basis, that's not too bad either. So, so over here on the weekly just IRO to euro

1:10:58 and that's it. We can move higher off of that analysis pretty much stops there. So, we'll take a look at this weekly if we do want to move in there. See if we get that reaction higher. So, I'm going to put my entry alerts inside that weekly for Valley gap right here. This is how I operate. Go to the 1 hour. Set the alert right there. Make sure it's active. Then we can delete it.

1:11:54 I'm lagging. Oh, sorry about that. Not sure why that happened over here. Just not very interesting. [Music] CHFs aren't the actually aren't the worst. It's not Euro CHF.

1:12:45 Those are two bullish assets though. I want to pair a strong and strong currency. So yeah. Also, in case you didn't know by now, my least favorite currency to trade is CHF pairs. Historically, I've done horrible on them. And historically, they do present very gross choppy price action. So, we'll just wrap it up there. These are the ones that really spoke to me the most, that jumped out to me the most the instantly, basically the quickest. And that's as simple as your analysis can be, right? This is the focus list right here. I have two golds on here. Move that. And then I like to organize

1:13:32 this based on what I want to trade most. So based on basically how ready it is. BTC. This was from last week. You can remove that. Silverad. And we have a lot of stuff on the waiting list. Remember that we're going to be taking a look at all this throughout the week. And then once we get context on these, then we can move them over to the proper watch list right there basically.

1:14:21 And that's pretty much it. So we have that euro context. Gold I put all the way at the bottom. In terms of swinging, I'm not very interested in that. It's more so intraday trade. So I'm just going to actually mark that out more and just remove XAUSD from there. Euro CAD AUD CAD has that daily Euro is not ready just yet. We don't have that reaction whereas Euro AUD CAD have those context right there. So we'll see. And then silver waiting for the daily. So honestly we can just move that to that in terms of swinging. All right. Anyways, that wraps that up.

1:15:08 A bit of a longer stream today. Sorry if that's not your vibe, but we did go over crosses, too. So, anyways, um I did mention the premier winners on the live. I've already announced them. The trade 100k winners already done. So, I want to get the accounts to y'all later. For your indicators to work, do we need Trading View subscription plan as free only two indicator limit? Now, you can make it work. Obviously, if you do have just a free plan, you're only going to be able to have two, which is which is doable, right? The main ones I I would have on if you only have two options is orderflow indicator and the navigator indicator.

1:15:54 All right. Now, my stance on that is a bit different though because I think if you are taking if you're trying to take trading seriously, you should not limit yourself to having the free Trading View plan. I think if you're really serious about trading, you should have a paid Trading View plan. Why? Well, simply put, this is hilarious. I think on the free plan, you literally get ads while you're trading. Tell me if that's true or not, but I

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