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0:03 Hello friends. So today is July 13, 2025. A new trading week is going to start from tomorrow, Monday 14th July. So in this video, I will share with you many important latest updates related to the stock market. Along with that the global market news, FSDS data and most recent part tomorrow's market prediction. So I would request all of you to please watch the video till the end without skipping it, and especially the last 3-4 minutes of this video when we will analyze the market and try to understand how the market can move tomorrow i.e. on 14th, so do not miss that at all, ok, so let us first check out what our market analyst said today, on the basis of last day closing, how the market can move on the next day i.e. Monday, friends, today this topic was
0:49 covered by an analyst from LLKP Securities because see, last day the market i.e. Nifty 50 has mainly broken two important levels. One became 25350 and the other became 25200. It has broken both levels. Due to this, the hopes have now reduced considerably. So the market analyst said that brother, if there is a further fall then 2590 will become the first support. Now let us assume that it breaks below 25,000 as the situation can turn serious any moment. Isn't it? So from that point of view it can also reach up to Rs 24,900. Ok? Well, on the upside, the resistance that has been mentioned is firstly 25,50
1:35 and secondly 25,400. So, it means that the expectations on the upside are quite low. By the way friends, if I ask all of you this question that which way do you think tomorrow Monday will go ? So what will be your answer? Whatever your opinion is, share it by commenting. Well, the same topic has been covered by another market analyst on Money Control's website. Put forward an idea about the market and its point of view. Look at the technical view breaking of 20 DEMA which we will discuss further. 20 DEMA means 20 days exponential moving average weak momentum signal bearish trend for nifty bear could trigger breaching 25000 so according to this also if in next week it
2:22 breaches 25000 and goes down then there could be further fall somewhere. So see, he also mentioned some ranges like resistance at 25,300 and support below this, the second one said at ₹25,000. So we will cover this topic thoroughly in the last three-four minutes of this video. I will explain. Keep watching till the end. But first of all friends, there are many important updates. Many important reports were published. Economic data which will be out next week. I will share it with you. You all please keep watching it with some patience, step by step. First of all, see that last week, after the market closed, a very important economic data of India, the foreign exchange reserves, i.e., the forex reserve, came
3:07 out which declined by 3.04 billion this week and the total forex reserve which India had increased to around 702 billion as per last week, has come down to 699.74 billion and stopped at 699.74 billion. Ok? Let's see what happens next week. Well, along with that another important banking data was out. Bank credit growth makes a comeback with 9.5% increase in June after hitting 3-year low in May. So actually, the credit growth of the bank had reached its worst position in almost 3 years in May. It is a very good thing to maintain a growth of 9.5% from there. Ok. Well friends, remember one more thing, tomorrow i.e. on 14th,
3:55 not one but two important economic dates of India will be out. Firstly, CPI inflation rate will be out and secondly, WPI inflation rate will be out. What time will the payout be? Take a note. WPI inflation rate will be out in the market during tomorrow. Remember me at 12:00 noon. WPI date will be out tomorrow at 12:00 noon. And tomorrow after the market closes, i.e. at 4:00 PM, the CPI inflation data will be out. Don't worry, tomorrow I will give you the update in the first video of the day and along with that I will also give it to you on my Instagram story whenever it gets out. Ok? You will get it there immediately. So friends, if any of you are on Instagram, I would request all of you to keep following me. Below you will find the link to my Instagram handle.
4:42 Ok? So this time the CPI data is expected to be a little better. I mean, the last few months were very good but this time the prediction is around 2.5% which could be the best in the last few years. Ok? We will have to see what ultimately happens. Whatever happens, I will give you an update and the data of Wholesale Price Index i.e. W is also expected to be slightly better. Next friends, some data has been presented by Piyush Goyal Sahib, a minister of India. India to Achieve 4000% Growth in Solar Capacity Calls for Self Reliance in Energy Storage through RAD. Ok, that's great. ok see the next one. China's GDP growth to slow, rising pressure on policymakers. Now see,
5:27 friends, the pressure on China is increasing. Why is it increasing? Because look what is happening now, because of the tariff issue, people are leaving their companies in China and coming to India. I gave you an update recently. Apple has arrived. Samsung is also making the move. Remember this. There are many other small companies which are shifting to India. So the thing on the basis of which China was growing so much is manufacturing. The manufacturing sector is being directly impacted. This is a great thing to remember and for India. Isn't it? Because you will remember that the US imposed 30% on China and negotiations are still going on regarding India. So May B can also reach below 20%. If this happens, it will obviously be very good for India. Ok next friends, now see, as of today, ever since China has tightened the supply of rare
6:14 earth magnets or rare earth materials, the demand has increased significantly all over the world. Isn't it? So look at this latest update, there is a state in India called West Bengal, we in West Bengal Purulia, there is a district named Purulia, which is identified as rare earth mining hub, friends, a very big mining has been found there, I will read it out and explain it to you a little. Here's the Friday update. The official update is on Friday. This is the official update as per The Geological Survey of India (GSI). is conducting advanced exploration in West Bengal's Purulia district to extract rare earths an official set on Friday. Now, West
7:02 Bengal, friends, West Bengal is a very good state. I am saying this honestly for those who don't know. But do you know what the problem is here? This vehicle of West Bengal named West Bengal, the driver is bad, the intelligent ones have understood my point, good, next we will talk about another important report, you see India's trade gap merchandise deficit is two $ billion in June, this is a very good thing, the trade deficit has reduced a bit and the more it reduces, it will move towards surplus, that is a very good thing friends and what has actually been triggered here is falling oil price and gold import. You may remember that India also imported a lot of gold. Well friends, here is another interesting news.
7:48 You must remember that recently Donald Trump said that if any country does trade with Russia, especially on energy issues meaning crude oil, natural gas, then not 100 or 200 but a direct 500% tele-imposition will be imposed on them. And the thing is that only India and China do this and India is in such a hurry, friends, this is the data of the month of June that oil import from Russia has reached an 11-month high, which means so much has been bought, so much has been bought, it has reached an 11-month high. That's okay because after that, from August onwards, it can directly increase to 500%. I have just heard this. Well another update, you can see that Taiwanese and Vietnamese firms and companies are
8:36 looking to invest in the footwear sector of India. Ok, that's great. Well next look at another important update FPI Foreign Portfolio Investors continue to buy India stocks well into the fourth month in July. Yes, you heard it right. There has been back to back inflow of FI in the three months of April, May and June. Ok, that's great. But in the month of July, maybe the last week was not good. But if we talk overall, the inflow is still going on, friends. Remember this. Ok? So this is a very good thing. Ok, next friends, remember the results of quarter one have already started coming. So, let me give you a little update as to which companies' results will be out next week, sorry, which companies' results will be out tomorrow on the 14th. Okay, let me show you a little bit quickly. Dan's result will be out. If
9:22 you want, you can also pause the video and watch it. Remember some big company like your HL Technology result will be out. Apart from this the result of NCO will be out. Ola Electric result will be out. RISES India result will be out. Well with this the result of Tata Technology will be out. TJAS Network result will be out tomorrow. So friends, tomorrow the results of all these companies will be out. Remember this and I would request all of you friends, if you have not subscribed to the channel then why delay? Do it quickly. Whatever updates may be related to the results or any issue related to the market, you will get the information from time to time. Ok? So friends, don't forget to subscribe to the channel. Well, some important updates related to trade, sorry tariff and trade, please quickly note them down. Now look from the Indian side, once
10:10 again the negotiation negotiators or the delegation have again reached back to the US. The discussion is going on there. Mini trade deal can be signed anytime. So I will give you the update. Ok? Well, along with that, last week we also saw that if any BRICS nation wants to join BRICS or the members of BRICS, there was a threat of imposing additional tariffs on them. Ok? Well friends, last night I shared a news with you. Remember what the news was? The news was that the US imposed a 30% tariff on the European Union and Mexico. Will you remember it? And this news I am showing you is tonight's update. Do you know where the update is from? After a very long time, I opened this website.
10:57 Friends, this is the website of Akashvani. It feels like you are listening to Akashvani (the radio) right? It used to come on radio a long time ago, it was a very old company, I mean, it was a media. So look here it has been published that EU European Union Express Disappointment at Trump Threat to Impose 30% Tariff on their Imports. Along with this, it is also being heard that in order to counter this, a 30% tariff was imposed on the European Union and Mexico. Now, it is being heard that these people, that is these countries, can also counter by imposing same to same 30% tariff on imports. It may be imposed. Ok? Just like Brazil, you might remember that 50% was
11:45 directly imposed on Brazil which is a South American country. Isn't it? And Brazil also threatened that the day it gets imposed, we will also impose 50%. It doesn't matter to us. Now we will have to see what kind of atmosphere is created. Now do you know what the problem is for India ? India is actually always in a trade surplus with the US. So the simple thing is that when trade takes place between India and the US, remember that due to which India is facing some problems right now. Whenever there is trade between the US and India, India always benefits. That too is not a small thing, it makes a profit of over 40 to 45 billion dollars. Ok? So due to this India is in a bit of trouble. Otherwise India would have countered it long ago. There is no big deal like that.
12:30 Well, last day US market was a bit weak. Whether we talk about Dr Jones, NST or SP. Well, the US 10-year bond deal saw closing up by around 1.5% on the last day. The price of brain crude is a very important thing to understand. Bren crude price fell by 2.5%. Well, we saw a decline in the valuation of the Indian currency once again. Valuation has fallen. Remember, the price has increased but the valuation has fallen. Ok? Well, let's talk about the rest, quickly note down the position of some Indian companies. Wipropiro led aerator version further down and gave closing. The arrear version of Infosys still closed in positive in a better position. The arrear version of HDFC Bank closed down by 0.87% and the arrear version of ICIC Bank closed down by around 0.42%.
13:16 Well, in the last tight, due to the fall in the US market, our Nifty position was also very weak at 25191 points, meaning that it was not much higher than the last day where Nifty gave a closing of 50, only 42 points higher, meaning that the closing was actually a little weak. Ok? Ok friends let's move ahead. How was business last day? Let me tell you a little by writing it on the top of the screen for just a minute. So last day there was a bumper sale by FI, which was also an expectation because there was actually a decline in major sectors. FS had sold shares worth Rs 5104 crore but DIS had also purchased shares but could not counter them. This purchase was done
14:02 by DIS. Ok? If we look at the rest of the Middle East, there is no new update today and friends, there has been a huge decline in TA 35 i.e. Israel's top index today. Remember, Israel's top index has fallen below 3000 points and closed with a decline of 2.33%. Ok. So friends, I have shared with you all the vital updates till now. Now let me take you to the market analysis part. I have opened in front of you the last 3 months candlestick chart pattern of Nifty 50. Friends, let's start the analysis. But before that I would request all of you that if you liked the video till now, found it informative then please like the video friends and please keep subscribing to the channel. To get this type of informative videos daily. Ok? So before the market opens tomorrow, do track DJS future and NSDC future.
14:48 Because the market was closed for the last two days. Well, there are some specific sectors to keep an eye on. First the IT sector, then the banking sector, after that remember if the oil prices rise again then the oil sector. Ok? These three sectors are very important for tomorrow. Well, this chart pattern that I have opened in front of you is a one-day chart pattern. Meaning, each candle here is representing one day. where is the problem? The problem here is that about a month ago we saw that this blue colored line which you can see here, this blue colored line is your 20 days EMA. Remember, at the very beginning of this video,
15:34 I had shown you on the Money Control website, what the analyst had said there, that it broke the 20-day EMA and came down. You must remember what the 20-day EMA is, this blue coloured line, and here you will see that it was stable above it for almost 1 month, it broke it and came down. You can see here clearly, I have shown it to you practically. So tomorrow, actually it will face the strongest hurdle at this level. Remember, a resistance is formed when a resistance is broken. When a resistance is broken, it is formed there. Sorry, I said a support in reverse. When a support is broken, what is formed there. Resistance is formed. So, note down its number a little bit. It has been hidden a little bit. Actually
16:19 350. So, tomorrow, actually there are two important resistances. I will quickly write them down for you. Two important resistances number one. Your resistance happened very immediately, I will show you that later. Q That 2000 sorry 25000 250 and the second one becomes resistance number two 25 350 well see, here you can see the 4-hour chart pattern, right, the 4-hour chart pattern, so look, the line that you can see here, the blue colored line here, that is, in the 20 days scheme, it is gradually shifting down, so tomorrow also this line will come down further and reach close to 350
17:05 and even before this we had seen that it got support again and again around 250, it broke this level and came down last day. Ok? Because of which 350 and 250 are the resistance on the upside. Well now the question arises what will happen below? Suppose there was a fall. So look, a very important psychological level of 25,000 is the most important level. If we talk about the support below then the chances of getting support on this are the highest. Suppose if support is not found then it could fall by about 100 points more. In that case if it breaks 25,000. Ok ? Okay, let's move ahead. Bank Nifty. Bank Nifty closing I would say was better as compared to Nifty 50. Why was it better? Because where Nifty 50 broke the blue
17:52 colored line i.e. 20 days EMA and gave a lower closing but the bank did not do so. The bank gave closing on top of this. This was the buy part and this level is most important for tomorrow. It is important to stick to this. After that the resistance on the upside is obviously 57,000, which it broke and recently came down last day, but if we talk about the downside, then the most vital level has got hidden a bit here. I will write it down for you, it is 56,000 650. Ok? This is your bank nifty. So friends, I have explained Bank Nifty Nifty 50 very well to you based on chart pattern indicators. Well before winding up the video, as I always tell you, remember that the market is very risky, all this is because of the tariff trade war, so don't make the mistake of doing any FAO
18:41 trading put call buy sell hold intraday etc. especially if you do n't have any knowledge or experience about this, then it is fine, watch the video normally, learn and know, there is no problem, if you have any question, then ask me by commenting, the comment box is open for you guys and other friends, don't forget to subscribe to the channel to get such informative videos everyday. Ok? So, let me wind up this video. See you in the next video. Take care. Bye-B.