Setback For Trump & West- PM Modi In China's Victory Day Parade? BRICS vs G7! India-US Trade! Kinjal

0:00 Friends, Donald Trump often uses the example of cards in which he says that look, he does not have any cards. So friends here it is seen that when we talk about cards, that too is a geopolitical board and if you see the cards in it, then PM Modi has become the master of these geopolitical cards. Actually, friends, the way Trump is missing India, its boomerang effect is now visible on India. Actually friends, what happened is that a completely different statement came out from the Chinese media. What happened was that, friends, a scholar came to the Chinese media and said that we want PM Modi to attend China's Victory Day parade. Now, friends, attending the Victory Day parade means that the Chinese forces are marching in a line saluting, and attending that means there is a lot of geopolitical closeness. Alignment has been done in security matters.

0:46 So this in itself is a very big indicator. It is as if inviting the leader of a country on 26th January is like a similar thing. As you see, we invited China only once in 1958. Never done it since then because the message is that we are on the same page on security aspects too. So some such message should be given. Now friends, if this happens then it is a very big thing in itself, if you see, it is equal to a storm in the geopolitical world. This will bring sleepless nights for the western world. You can see here friends, quoting that media, now further attention is being brought to the South China Morning Post in the Chinese media. When he again started talking about the same thing that Modi ji is requested to visit Beijing and along with that he should also participate in the Victory Day parade. Friends, what happened

1:31 here is that now many of you will say that look, the Chinese media is saying this. China is not saying anything. So friends, here in this China, whatever the media says in China, it is the words of the government somewhere and that too retesting an old thing, which means it happened four days ago and getting it retested in the newspaper today, means that it is backed by China and the government. Friends, I will tell you the story of the thinker, the historian who gave this statement on the Chinese media, and also the agency and the institution he comes from. He is very close to China. You might remember the name, Neville Roy Singham. His wires are connected to them. Ye friends, I have done some digging. After that I am bringing this story to you which is being told clearly. This entire narrative is being run by China and India is also happy. This is the perfect time. Somewhere Trump is also missing the way he is playing this whole game

2:17 with India. They are also being shown the reality that we too have a lot of cards. We're just not playing right now. But don't forget that we have the cards. Now friends, this whole story which is happening, you see, even today many things have happened with Russia that you are taking oil from Russia. The US has said a lot about this even today. But Western media is covering that India will keep buying and at the same time many US invoices are also saying that you should stay put. Trump is showing his nervousness. So friends, if you see India doing the same commonness show then this type of news is being entertained. This tells me that there is a message for America. The message for Trump is that this is a warning shot to his establishment that look, you are pushing us in this direction. And if that happens, then for you Asia means Asia out. The US will leave Asia forever.

3:03 Then you can see that China in East Asia will keep doing whatever it does. You will just sit there as a mute spectator. What is this whole story? Friends, there is one thing you need to know here. This is the whole story, it is just that bluffing in one card is very important. So this bluff game is going on. India is also bluffing, China is also bluffing and everyone is trying to tell America that it is still a bluff. But if you do this thing then somewhere it can become permanent. So you think about what you want to do. We will also see what China is getting from this entire messaging, why it is doing this and what India is getting, and at the same time, let us also discuss why this is a bluff. So friends, let us move the video forward, but do like the video, subscribe to the channel, press the bell icon, apart from this, do join our Telegram channel World Affairs by Unacademy where you get lots of quizzes and

3:49 notifications of all the videos, so join without any worry. First of all friends, let us see here what the Chinese media is saying. Look friends, what happened was that on a Chinese media, a historian came on TV and he said that the Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi should be invited to the China Victory Day Parade in September. Now friends, this is Vijay Prasad ji. He is the director of the Tricontinental Institute for Social Research. Friends, this is an organization which does research on geopolitics etc. in the Global South. Friends, this was a live show of Chinese media outlet dot cn in which he gave this statement and after that, friends, he said that you should invite PM Modi to the Victory Day Parade to be held on September 3 in Beijing, in which China and Russia, which have been meeting till date and visiting each other's places for such parades, India should also be included in it. Now friends, here many of you will say that Vijay Prasad

4:36 ji, he is an Indian or of Indian origin and the organization is some tricontinental, how can you say that, it even appeared in Chinese media, first it came on Chinese TV, after that if you see, it appeared in South China Morning Post, still how can you say that these are the words of the Chinese government, friends if you do a little digging, then see this Tricontinental, see the institutes and partners in it, who is the chairman, Neville Roy Singham, go back 2 years and a half years, it's been 2 years now, go back 2 years, I remember something, I heard this word, this name somewhere, New York Times, Washington Post, how many articles were published ? How many articles were published on this in India too ? Neville Roy Singham is the person who is spreading Chinese propaganda in India. It is spreading not only in India but all over the world. They have direct contact with the propaganda arm of the Communist Party of China. This was said by Union Minister Rajiv Chandrashekhar ji,

5:22 who himself was the Union Minister at that time. What is he telling her? This shows that this propaganda, this narrative that is being run is directly backed by China. So if China also has some gain in this then we will need to know. But first of all friends, listen to what has been said in this, this historian of this institute said that look brother PM Modi will attend this parade in Beijing on September 3 and along with that the 80th anniversary of World War 2 will be celebrated with China and Russia, India will also be there in it, there should be a tribal meeting between China, India and Russia in which Russia will be an ally and the border disputes between the two should also be brokered, the problem should be solved and the bitterness between China and India should end forever, Russia is a mutual partner of both the countries, so both the countries will also trust it, so why not move forward in this direction. Friends, this is a proposal from China.

6:07 You should assume that China operates in a similar way. Now friends, if this happens then the US will lose its sleep. First of all friends, this is a huge strategic loss for them. Look, India is a player of friends. China which is increasing its dominance in Asia. Influence is increasing. India is a country that has partners like the Quad, which are various other middle powers in the region. It's India, it's Japan, it's South Korea, it's Australia. Together with all of them, we are doing something to curb this so called non peaceful rise of China, ensuring that these brothers don't do such things. So India has a big role in this. India is a swing state which makes whichever side of the scale it sits on heavier. So India has a big role in this. If India joins forces with China, that is if this alliance of India, Russia, China is formed then the scale will tilt in favour of China

6:53 and with it the entire Indo-Pacific region which the American establishment is dreaming of will be closed forever. Those paths will open for China. Along with this, friends, this US influence through which it projects power in Asia should also be forgotten forever. At the same time, if you look at it friends it seems like it cannot happen but if this happens, border disputes between India and China are also resolved, what does it mean after that direct cooperation will also take place in other fields including technology, in which if you see there is trade, with which we will start getting a unified Asian block, which means that we will end the western dominance forever. If you look further, friends, there is a huge economic loss for the US. The combined economic might of Russia, India and China with their huge population, large GDP and abundant resources will

7:38 change the entire global market. There is nothing that these three need and that they do not have. Be it manufacturing, services or critical raw materials, these three countries have it all. The market is also the same. The raw material is the same, the manufacturing is also the same. Does the rest of the Western world have it? The dollar is just an artificial paper that we value. So friends, whatever innovation has taken place in their ecosystem is only because of that paper. That paper, because it has no value, you have created a debt of Rs. 38 trillion and with that debt you fund research etc. Because of which today you say that we are creating next generation technologies. He is making it with the help of that paper only. If the value of paper is lost then where will you innovate from? Where will the scientists come from, who have companies like Google,

8:24 companies like Meta, I was just reading about which, a new AI engineer has been given a salary of Rs 100 million. Where will this 100 million salary come from? It is coming because the world values that overvalued paper. Then friends, everything will be over. Border disputes were also resolved. So there will be trade integration between India and China. The access to waste will start disappearing from all these markets. BRICS New Development Bank, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank will become so big that they will start rivaling the World Bank and IMF. We are already doing it. Apart from this, the Swift, through which the US expels any country and plays the game of economic sanctions, a counter development of Swift has already started. He will become stronger. The US Dollar will be gone forever. Who will value that paper then? Then what will happen to the American economy? Where will the innovation come from? Where do you get manpower from across the world? They give the highest salary.

9:11 Where will you give it from? If the world challenges the ability to print that dollar. So friends, this is why Donald Trump said that if the dollar is finished then it would be like America losing a world war. That is why he said it. Third, friends, please think about it here. This is an ideological loss. US and West whose? He says that we are the messiahs of the liberal international order. Democracy Free Market Rule of Law. What rule of law? But yes, that is the narrative they run. Friends, in this, on the other side are China and Russia. They say do hell with democracy, we don't want democracy. State sovereignty prevails here. No one is above the state. Your individual freedom is nothing. If the state is a country then everything is there. You are beneath him. What about the rest of the place? The focus is on individualism. Individual rights are Paramount. It is not like that there. There community rights and state rights that are

9:57 paramount. There is nothing more important than that. So China and Russia which are state sovereignty and say that this is not a unipolar world but a multipolar world and on that side they oppose the western ideals, if India which is a democratic nation also aligns with this ideology then it means that the western led systems have fallen. When India goes into this grouping, do not forget that there is a big Global South along with India, it too will have only these two options left. Either go to Western Block or come here with Russia, India and China. Meaning that there will also be a large section from the emerging world and the Global South that will get associated with this block. The economic system created by them, which will be an alternative to swift, which will be an alternative to the dollar, will start following that type of system. That means it is a huge ideological loss for the Western

10:43 economy and Western civilization. His leadership will be gone from the world forever. Now friends, let us see what loss can this cause for America? Do you understand why this is a very serious situation? Now let us know what is in it for China? Look friends, here you need to know one thing. Trump's tariffs are directly targeted at China. There is no doubt about this. Chinese exports have also been targeted. Even today, if you see, there is a tariff of around 30% on them, even during the truce period, there is a tariff of 30% on them which is very huge. What is the result? China is bleeding profusely. There is no doubt in this. It has had a huge impact on the Chinese economy. The manufacturing ecosystem is impacted. The orders which were going abroad have reduced. So the results are visible and China is also understanding this. So if it promotes the RIC narrative, first of all there is a long

11:29 term benefit from it. This is what is happening friends, if something like this happens to India regarding aligning with this block that India openly says that we are aligning with this block then what will happen? You already know what Trump will do? First of all they will impose tariff and penalty. He is already playing that card. Let's see what happens on 8th August. As you know there can be a lot of things in it. We will see what happens on 8 August. But if that happens, then when tariffs are imposed on us, the American investment that was supposed to come to India will stop coming. Friends, what was the purpose? Some of the industries which were shifting from China were going to Vietnam and some were coming to India. We want maximum industries to come to India. So the flow of industries and investments from China to India will stop there. That means it will remain in China. So friends, this is a long term benefit for China that India will not emerge as a competitor

12:14 tomorrow. What will be the second one? If the current India aligns itself openly with China, directly, then China will ensure that it abuses its market in a manner that it does not allow it to emerge. As you already know friends, China does not have the US market. There is no rest of the market. There is surplus export capacity. So it will be sent towards India. What will happen as soon as he is sent to India ? His approach is Bigger the Neighbour. He will keep his market closed and get our market opened and if you see anywhere, in this way he will create a big problem for us. So China also knows this. Secondly, if you see, when RIC is creating the narrative, it is trying to get a better bargain with the US. Don't forget that he has to bargain too. He is also bargaining terrace fees. There is a 90 day truce period in which the bargaining is going on. So he is also using this as a bargaining chip. In which he is bluffing that

13:00 look, this can happen. We will create a blog together. So, in order that we do not come on the same page, it is better that you sign a good trade deal with us, otherwise you will see that Russia India China bloc will be formed, so friends, this is the way he is playing, apart from this, if he brings India also in this bloc, then he is thinking that border rules will also be made and what will happen along with it, however, if he does not bluff, then in that case there will be border rules, then he will focus better on Taiwan, will focus better on East Asia, will focus better on South China Sea, so China is playing under all these games, but friends, at the end of the day, this is a game of bluff, you are knowing it, I am also knowing it. First of all LAC should be demarketed and the stand should be stalled. This is a political Padoras box. Even if you look at the LAC today, you should assume that China will say that it will happily hand over the Aksai Chain area of the LAC to India on a platter. So

13:47 friends, this is not going to happen. We know that too. If he ever comes, it will come through war only. But if there is a war between China and India, it will only serve American interests and no one else's. So these vice economies, we have been neighbours for so many years, although we were never directly neighbours with China, but yes, we were neighbours with China in the extended civilization, we were neighbours with it, so such things have never happened in it. So here you have to know one thing that even if the Aksai chain is demarketed and we say that this part is of China and this part is of India, then this is a political pendulum box, no political party will want it, even if the deal is good that you are getting this much peacefully, now we have become friends, everything is over, the whole of Arunachal is yours, as far as the excise mark is concerned, some part of it will go to China, the rest will go to India, but what will happen in that too, think politically, we have given all the

14:33 land to China, we have given it to China, if this narrative continues, then no political party can afford it, so this is never going to happen, so what will happen is that let's go for a ceasefire type thing, yes, let there be more clarity in border patrolling, we don't expect anything more from this. Doing this is also wrong and we understand that this is the reality. Secondly friends, there is an economic risk here. If you play this kind of high stakes game, then do not forget that you are not just aligning with China, you are also aligning with Russia, so the tariff that will be imposed on you will not just be imposed by the US but also by Europe. So you are going to lose two big markets. So are you ready for that? Apart from this, friends, your geo-strategic alliance with Japan and Australia is on the basis that our common enemy is China. So where will he go? That too will be a huge loss. Apart from this, if you do a trade deal with China then China will surely

15:18 ruin you. So that would also be something to think about. Rest friends, this whole narrative game is going on. Look, this news is just to tell the US policy makers that look, we have many cards in our hand and we have shown them one card. This is such a card, do n't force us to let it go. If we let this go, you're going to be in big trouble. But what you are doing is forcing us to play the card we are showing you. And if we go like this then it will be a big problem for you. So it is important to make suitable changes. Otherwise you are forcing us to play this card. Friends, this is the whole story that is happening here. I hope you liked this analysis. Please do like it. Apart from this, we have brought subscription for you for only ₹ 24,999. One month free extension is available. You get Complete Syllabus Coverage, Complete GS, Complete CSET, Prelim Test Series, Main Test Series with Evaluation. Friends, this is a limited period offer. So make sure you take advantage of it.

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