The Skill That Separates $50K from $500K Traders

0:00 I'm going to show you a trade from a couple weeks ago, right? We're going to look at this stock ticker UGO, UGRO. And why we're going to look at it is there are four distinct times we're going to see the tape of this stock. And we're going to read the story of the entire stock through the tape. So, let's just jump right into it. I don't want to waste any time. My name is Jeff Holden. We're at S&B Capital and let's get into this stock right after the open because right after the open 940 to 954 after a first move up right into but not above pre-market resistance. All right, this stock was stuck below the pre-market highs, but it looks set up so well for a big move higher. Now, we have to dive

0:45 into the tape and we have to see what story the stock is telling us. There was a seller and they were selling everything above 415. They weren't exactly sitting on the offer. It wasn't like giant size that's there at 415. They were not a clear held offer where there's just massive size and a specific price being defended. But if you look carefully at what we're seeing as we watch this tape, there's a clear seller that is selling as much as they can above 415. Now, this always sets up a really interesting situation. Does the seller lift or not? And if it doesn't lift, where's the stock going to go? If it

1:31 does lift, where's it going? And what would that look like? See, the tape just gives us the chance to make specific plans at specific prices. And then it also adds a third dynamic to all of this. How well is it acting after those levels are broken or tested? The tape quite literally tells the story of how other players, how big players are playing the game right now. The way this game right now is being played, the sellers will not let it lift at all. This stock is likely built up all sorts of possible momentum that will not be realized right now. It's like somebody's trying to jump from the underside of a trampoline. The buyers

2:17 are trying as hard as they want, but they're getting pulled back down with each aggressive attempt higher. You can see the moment when this is going to break. This is reading the tape principle number one from today. The number of tests above or below a certain level matters a ton, but the way the tape responds to each of those tests matters more. Let's break this down again because what we saw was not a defined seller. We saw somebody selling above a specific price. If we have three tests with hard rejections of each and the price never pulls away from that level, are the buyers probably going to win or the sellers? Three tests with

3:04 each test showing less and less urgency on the part of the buyers. Quite literally more and more fatigue every time, the sellers are far more likely to win. This is something you're going to see all the time on the tape because the tape allows us to understand key riskreward spots, but it's an even ga better gauge of probability of certain things occurring. It's the story that's written in full detail versus just the TLDDR didn't inversion, right? Too long, didn't read. Both can work, but one gives us awareness and the other gives us context. Now, that price action played out with a distinct failure. But let's jump right into another key moment on the tape in

3:51 the story of this stock and a key reading the tape principle. Right? There was this seller after that failure. The seller was just sitting on the offer. They were absorbing every single buy order for close to an hour. You can see it right here on the chart. And if you watch the tape back, you can see it even more. Every time the buyers hit it, the seller refreshed, right? But then at 12:32, something changed. That seller disappeared and then the buyers came in hard with sweep orders, with big prints, with aggressive buying, and the price started going up in like two minutes, made a big move with huge volume and real aggression. Now, if you were watching the chart, you

4:37 probably would have caught this and been worried about the position. Are those aggressive sellers going to come back? What's going to happen here? Notice if you're looking at the chart how they came back at that 360 area. But if you were reading the tape, especially knowing when you should be reading the tape, you saw this fascinating event happen over and over again. And I'm going to show you exactly how to read it here. Tape reading is the skill that separates $50,000 a year traders from $500,000 a year traders or more. It's not about indicators. It's not about patterns. It's about seeing what institutions are doing in real time and adjusting your decisionmaking process. Because most traders look at a chart and say, "Is this a breakout?" Tape readers look at the level two and the time and

5:23 sales and say, "Is there a buyer or a seller here as it's breaking out?" Because price doesn't move because of the patterns. Price moves because of order flow. Someone's buying, someone's selling. The tape tells you who is winning that battle when they try and win. And in this video, I'm going to show you what tape reading actually is, how to read the level two in the time and sales in the right distinct moment, and then specific tape reading setups you can use immediately. All within this full breakdown of you grow, this stock that went from four to like 20 or 50 or whatever it went to, right? showing exactly how the tape predicted this monster runner. And let's start with the basics. All right, tape reading is a

6:08 skill of interpreting real time order flow. You're watching two things. You're watching the level two that shows you the bids and the ask and the size available at each price level. And then you're also watching the time and sales. This shows you the actual prints, every transaction that occurs, the price, the size, and whether it was a buy or a sell. The level two tells you the intent. It tells you who wants to buy or sell or how much. And the time in sales tells you the execution. It tells you what's actually happening. The three key questions tape readers ask themselves. Question one, is there a big buyer or a

6:54 big seller? You're typically looking for size, but like in that example we saw before, sometimes that size is hidden. If you see 50,000 shares on the bid or the offer, that's usually a large institutional buyer, somebody with intent. But the question too, are they absorbing or refreshing? If the offer keeps getting hit, but the size never goes down, that seller's refreshing. If the offer keeps getting hit and they're not showing size, but they're still selling, that offer is refreshing. The seller is refreshing. They have way more to sell. But if the offer is getting hit and the size is shrinking, that seller's running out. And here's the third question. Who's

7:39 being aggressive? Because if you see big prints with urgency hitting the ask, the buyers are aggressive. If you see big prints with urgency hitting the bid, a lot of times the sellers are trying to be aggressive. Now, these three questions tell you everything. Let's get back to our example, right? Signal one was size on the offer. It's not scaring the buyers anymore. That big seller was there, but nobody seemed to care. The supply was drying up as the demand seemed to be increasing. Signal two is the bid stacking on pullbacks. When it pushes down into the bid, bigger size appeared on the bid as it dropped out or pulled back. That really shouldn't happen when a stock is just going to get sold. People should be forced out, right? They should be

8:27 selling, but instead every little move lower is met with more buying. It's this sneaky little signal, but it's critical. You know, I'm not watching the tape the entire time. Most of the time I'm actually looking at the chart. 95 probably percent of the tape is noise. I'm not paying attention to it while it's consolidating and I'm not glued to the screen hoping it's going to magically break out, right? I'm actually focusing on the tape only at the key moments when it's testing resistance or testing support when institutions are keying in and supporting the price. Right? Signal three is the sweep orders. This is the gold. When sweep orders come in and multiple price levels are getting cleared at once, that is real

9:12 institutional participation. This is our real signal of strength and it's what we want and what we need to see in order to show us we have the urgency to look for momentum. This is usually what happens when tapes show up with a ton of volume. You get those sweeping orders. And here's the tape reading principle number two. Momentum. real sustaining momentum typically builds. It doesn't just show up, especially without a real catalyst. It has to build. So even though we had that initial flip to strength off the lows, it doesn't mean we expect real momentum, real urgency on the part of the buyers yet, but every time we drop out and don't go lower, every time that bid steps in and supports the stock,

9:59 we're seeing another check in favor of the momentum working when we get that sweep, when we get another check of this turning into a big move later. But we have to give it time. And just focusing on what price looks like at the high of the move does not tell us an effective story. Looking at the lows, those pullins and how the buyers respond to that tells us way more information before we ever get to that sweep order. In this case, the move above 360 and that move, that really distinct move before that sweep order told you so much. But let's talk about a trader at S&B Capital who's 14 months in. Profitable trader making a couple thousand dollars a month, right? Not bad, but honestly pretty stuck. They

10:46 traded purely off of charts. They were trading breakouts. They were trading VWOP. They were trading moving averages. Good execution, solid risk management, but they kept missing the big moves. One day, a senior trader was sitting next to him and the senior trader was making $50,000 a month scalping, right? Watched that trader, that junior trader pass on a trade. The stock broke out. It ran a huge made a huge run, right? The senior trader looked at the junior trader, goes, "Why didn't you take that?" The junior trader said, "The chart didn't look clean. It was choppy. I didn't trust it." Right? But then the senior trader pulled up the tape replay

11:32 and they looked at those distinct moments. The chart looked messy because you're not reading the tape. Look at this. Every time we had a pull in, that buyer was there and that offer was thinning out. Every single time those sweep orders were starting to step in and build that momentum. Every time it looked like it was going to break lower, the buyer stepped right back in over and over again. That's before the breakout happens. The tape was screaming that this breakout was coming. The junior trader just couldn't hear it. So, the senior trader gave the junior trader an assignment. Just learn to read the tape for 30 days. watch the level two and time and sales every time before

12:18 you enter a position. But the trader was like, I don't know how to read it. It looks like chaos to me. Everyone thinks that at first. Don't try and just watch it randomly. Watch it when you are going to enter a trade because you've already seen something in the chart that's going to give you that information. And then record your screens. So our tra our junior trader recorded their screens and then watched the tape back before every trade decision, every entry, every exit, every day for 30 days. And what's fascinating is that junior trader really started to see patterns and then they really started to grow. That was that turning point in their trading when they could combine the

13:05 chart with the price action with the tape. they all of a sudden went to these insane risk adjusted returns. The only thing that changed was the junior trader could now see the institutional accumulation two to five minutes before it showed up on the chart. The old story the trader was telling themselves is I just need the chart to show up. The new one was they were a tape reader who had confirmation from the chart. That was a giant shift in their trading. This last trade that we're going to look at on the tape, this is the one that makes headlines, but for those of us that were reading the tape, we saw it coming already. It was already telegraphed because everyone wants to be the one buying above the highs. And I'll admit it, without reading the tape, buying above the highs looks really

13:51 good. But let's look at the tape and find out right now. Who is in control of the price action? Who should be in control of the price action? The buyers, right? All right. Let's only focus on the buyers here. Just watch the buyers. Just watch the bid. Watch this. Because this is a tape that says I don't really have to make a trading decision for a while because the biders are so strong. The bid is sustaining. This is where I can go and do a two bar trail exit strategy, a momentum exit strategy because I see the real momentum showing up on the tape. And this is reading the tape. Principle number three. Only use a momentum model for your trading when the tape says there's real momentum there. A momentum model means aggressive buying. It means aggressive trade management,

14:38 often with like a two bar trail exit or a 9 EMA exit. But you can only do that if the tape says that there is momentum. And this tape was screaming momentum. The bid was in control and the bid was stepping up. It's a secret to make the tape easier to read. Don't read the bid, the ask, and the time and sales at the same time. Focus on who should be in control in that moment. It's a much better focal point when you're reading the tape. So, if the buyers should be in control, focus on the buyers. If the sellers should be in control, focus on the sellers. If you're not sure, just look at the time and sales and get a feel for who's in control. All right, I know what you're thinking. This tape always looks like chaos. How do I learn it? But

15:26 everybody thinks that at first. Here's how you learn it. Step one, just watch the tape for 30 days in the key moments when you are making trading decisions. And more importantly, record your screen while you're doing that and then go back and watch it back at the end of the day. You're going to see so much by watching back your tape at key moments. And then step two, just ask three questions. Every time there's a trading decision, pause and ask, is there a big buyer or a big seller present? Are they absorbing or refreshing? And third question, who's being aggressive right now? And then step three, you want to correlate the tape to the price. You want to watch the tape and make a prediction. Okay, I see

16:13 a big seller at this level. Price should fade. Then watch what price does. Were you right? And then finally, after watching that for 30 days, start to trade based on your tape signals and track your accuracy. Are you going to be able to size up better? Are you going to be able to exit positions faster because of the information you see on the tape? After 60 tape reads, you're going to start seeing these really discreet patterns. After 90 days of watching it and trading, you can really start to see massive increases. The goal shouldn't be P&L improvement. The goal is, can I read the tape under pressure in those moments where I'm making a decision?

17:00 Tape reading takes time. Month one always looks like chaos. Month two, you start seeing these big buyers and big sellers. Month three, you can predict short-term moves. But month six, you're consistently ahead of the chart traders. It's worth it. Review this before every reading the tape session. This four signal framework. Signal one, is the size on the offer thinning? If it was, there's a big seller that's there and now they're probably not. The supply is usually drying up. Signal two, are there sweep orders? Are multiple price levels getting cleared at once? That's usually institutional buying. Signal three, is there bid stacking? Is there big size? Every time that big gets pushed down, that's usually institution supporting

17:46 price. Signal four, is the print speed accelerating? Are prints coming in faster? That means the volume's surging. When you see three of those four signals, a big move is coming. When you see all four of them, take the trade. Make sure you're focused on that. 30 days. Watch tape every day after the close. Try and get yourself one to two hours. No trading at that time, just watching. Right? If you do this for 30 consecutive days, you'll be ahead of 95% of traders. Here's what I want you to do. Tomorrow morning, open your trading platform. Pull up a level two time and sales. Record your screen. And every time that

18:33 that trading decision occurs, make sure your screen's recorded. And then ask yourself these questions. Is there a big buyer or seller? Are they absorbing or refreshing? Who's being aggressive? Do that every day for the next 30 days with your recorded screen and watch it back at the end and you're going to unlock this skill that 95% of traders will never have. Have you tried learning reading the tape before? What's stopping you from watching the tape for 30 days starting tomorrow? And if you want, I can do a follow-up video showing more of these massive examples with these key moments in the tape. Let me know in the comments. Now, if this changed how you think about orderflow, hit subscribe

19:18 because we're going to do another video every week and we want you there. See you there.