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0:03 Hello friends. So today is July 16, 2025. The market was a bit volatile today but it was okay. Especially in the second up, Nifty 50 closed flat at 25,212 points after reclaiming 25,200. Meaning, at the time of closing, there may not be a huge rise or fall but the closing may have happened at a decent level. Now the question arises what will happen tomorrow? Thursday means Nifty 50 also has its weekly expiry tomorrow. You will know this in this video and I will also share with you many important latest updates related to the stock market. Along with that the global market news, FSDS data and most recent part total market analysis. So I would request all of you to please watch the video till the end without skipping it and especially do not miss the last 3-4 minutes of this video when we will analyze the market and try to understand which
0:50 way the market can go tomorrow. Ok. So let's first check out what our market analyst said today. Friends, today this topic was covered by an analyst from LKP Securities. Now see, today again Nifty reclaimed 25,200. So the hope has increased a bit. But along with that it is also true that in the last two days i.e. Tuesday and today Wednesday Nifty 50 touched intraday high of almost 250, which I had also mentioned to you in last night's 10:30 video that we may face resistance here. So according to them, 25260 is the most crucial level, if it breaks and reaches the top then it can also reach 25500. Look, it has been mentioned here as well and in case, there is some
1:36 weakness or drawback seen then the level of 25,000 has been mentioned here towards the bottom. By the way friends, if I ask all of you that what do you think, which way will Nifty 50 go tomorrow i.e. on the expiry day ? up or down right left front back? Do you have your answer? Tell us by commenting. Well, same topic covered from Money Control. Another analyst shared his views on the market. kept the point of view. See the technical view. Nifty could see a healthy upside on a decisive break above 25,300, so the first analyst we spoke about had said 25,260, the second one said no, if it breaks 25,300, then there could be an upward movement. Along with consolidation likely will happen soon.
2:22 Yes this is also correct because now see, until any proper confirmed news or official update comes, I would especially say related to the trade deal, then the market will remain a little nervous as to what will happen and what will not happen, even you can understand yourself that the investor will also remain quite confused as to what will happen and what will not happen, well see here, on near term basis a range has also been mentioned from 25000 to 25500, for now friends, we will explain and cover this topic thoroughly in the last 34 minutes of this video. Keep watching till the end. But before that, today friends, there is a lot of hot news for you all. So just try it patiently, step by step. First of all, we will talk about the recent unemployment rate of India or unemployment
3:09 data has come out. In the month of June i.e. June 2025, the overall unemployment rate in India across Pan India was 5.6% which was seen to be around the same level as last month, neither did it increase many times nor did it decrease many times. That's ok. Okay, next let's see another important report. Services exports cut India's trade deficit by 9.4% in quarter one. Friends, this is very valuable data. See, when India trades with other countries, especially any foreign country could be China, the US, any European country or any African country, or Russia, then with which countries it always has a trade surplus and with which countries it has a trade deficit. It matters a lot. Like look for
3:55 example India whenever you look, I will give you an example. I for India See for China I for India You for US. Ok? When India trades with China, it always remains in trade deficit. Meaning in loss. Loss means here, do not understand it as loss from that view. Meaning, China sells more and more goods in India. But when India trades with the US, it is always in surplus. Meaning it remains in profit. Ok? So according to that, if we look at the service export data of India in quarter one, friends, to a large extent, the trade deficit has reduced and the more the trade deficit reduces, the more we will move towards surplus, meaning we will move towards profit. Ok? Okay, see the next
4:41 report which is important. This is also today's report. India's renewable energy capacity rises 420 % in June Solar now cheaper than coal. What does this mean? Look today, India is making very good progress in the renewable sector. It is working very well. Growth is also going well. But still all the power generation companies in India generate power only through coal based power plants. But it is slowly reducing now. Gradually its quantity is decreasing. Ok? So what we are hearing now is that this time look at solar through solar, is it okay? The power generation that has taken place has been much cheaper through coal based power plants. Ok? Whatever happens. So I would say this is a very good thing.
5:27 Okay, next update, see the cabinet. Cabinet allows NTPC to invest up to Rs 20,000 crore in renewable energy. Why not do it now? Such great growth is happening. Isn't it? So I would say that this is a very good thing and especially friends, keep an eye on NTPC shares tomorrow, this is the just now update. Ok? Well, you can take a look at the next update. Well, tomorrow SBI shares are very important. Why is it important? Because, see, recently we saw that as per SEBI guidelines, in many Government Banks, that is PSU Banks, the promoter's stake, that is, the government's stake, is more than 75%, which is illegal to keep. What I mean by illegal is that it is against the guidelines. Ok ? So obviously it will have to be cut. So different banks are selling their stake through different routes.
6:15 I am specifically talking about government banks. Ok? So see, today after market closed at around 5:51 pm, SBI has published that it will launch QIP tomorrow. I have already given this update in the last video. Those who haven't seen it, take it. The problem is that the floor price fixed here is approximately 2.5% below the current market price. Now see, if the demand remains good tomorrow then this is not a big issue. There will be gaining. But if the demand remains low because here a lot depends on the demand. Ok? If the demand remains low, there may be some weakness or even a slight correction. There is a possibility. Ok friends let's move ahead. Now let us talk about some important updates related to the tariff. First of all friends, I will try to remind you a little. This is the update from yesterday midnight which I have already shared in the first video of the day today that
7:02 US has said that Indonesia is very close to India. The trade deal has been officially signed with them. But after looking at what has been signed here overall, you might feel that this is a good thing because the US had earlier imposed a tariff of 31% on Indonesia. That means it has just been increased to 19% on the 2nd of April. No, do n't consider the US that stupid. O Have got access to completely free export. Are you able to understand this ? When a US company goes to Indonesia to sell its goods, no tax will be levied on it. Entry will be done directly. Free export access. And I have heard this also. I had also shared this news with you in the first video of the day today that Donald Trump has also hinted that there is a
7:48 plan to do something similar with India as well. But according to me, if this happens then it will be a huge defeat for India's diplomacy. There will be a huge defeat, especially on foreign policy. And according to me, it will not do so because the Indian delegation knows very well that if India gives free access to the US, we are in profit, as we will see the reports, the trade surplus of India which is almost around 42 billion dollars, will end gradually and it will hurt even the Indian companies very badly. Ok? So this should not happen. What should be good? Let me show you. Am. By the way friends, I have already posted these updates on my Instagram story as soon as they came out at midnight yesterday. Ok ? So you can keep up with me by following me on Instagram. You will find the link below. Okay
8:33 now look, this is today's update. Meaning, not even a full hour had passed. This is the update as of 9:38 tonight. What is mentioned in the update is that India US trade deal India wants Donald Trump administration to offer tariff rates lower than Indonesia. I was telling you the same thing two-four days ago that see, today India is in such a position where the US has imposed very high tariffs on the countries neighbouring India, I mean very high tariffs on India, but recently, I mean last night it was seen that the tariff of Indonesia was cut, so right now the delegation or the negotiator team from India is in the US and the process of negotiation is going on there, so this offer has been made, I mean the update is coming from the source that why not
9:24 impose a tariff on India that is lower than Indonesia. Meaning it can be less than 19%, it could be 15%, it could be 16%, it could be 11%, it could be anything. But according to me, this demand of Donald Trump that free access to India should not be given at all. By the way friends, what is your opinion about this ? Tell us by commenting. Well along with that, another vital report, this is last night's update. If you live in Bajin and Delhi dot dot dot dot something is there here. We will talk further. NATO chief's warning over Russia trade has already come. It has arrived. US Pet US Pet has arrived. Look at what NATO Secretary General Mark Zuckerberg said last night
10:11 on Wednesday, that country said as which countries, look Brazil, China, India, basically BRICS, indirectly BRICS was said here could be hit very hurt by the secondary section, now you will ask Sir, what does secondary section mean, look, primary section means Russia, whatever is imposed on Russia becomes primary section, but all the trade partners it has with Russia, just like India, Brazil, China, mainly India and China, is that okay? Whatever sanction is imposed on it will become the secondary sanction. Ok? If they continue to do business with Russia. So the names of these three countries have definitely appeared on the criminal list of NATO. Brother, what
10:57 could be more proud for India than this ? His name has been included in NATO's criminal list. If trade is done with Russia then secondary sanction will be imposed here. Restrictions will apply. And Russia has clearly said that there is 50 days time. If you want to sign a peace deal, do it. Otherwise it will be 100% imposed on you too. Now friends, I am enjoying the game a lot. I do n't know how you guys are feeling. But this is much more fun than any movie or any cinema. I am saying it honestly. Well by the way, if there is any update regarding this, I will definitely give you an update today at midnight or tomorrow morning. Don't Worry in Instagram story. Ok? Staying Connected: You can find the link below
11:44 in the description box. Okay, remember tomorrow on 17th, results of many companies will be out. By the way, today also on 16th, results of many companies came out. I have already given the update in the last few videos. Please come and see it once. Ok ? Please do check it out after you finish the video. Well, see tomorrow the result of AOK Industries will be out. Mostly Axis Bank result will be out. Memorization. Good C8 LED result will be out. Clean Science and Technology result will be out. HDFC MC result will be out. Indian Hotel result will be out. This is all a viral company. Ok? Jio Financial Service result will be out. LTI mine result will be out. Well apart from this Nejen's result will be out. NVCo Vistas result will be out. Polycab result will be out. South Indian Bank result will be out tomorrow. Well, Tata Communication result will be out. And the
12:29 renewal result will be out. Friends, results of many big companies will be out. Wipro result will be out. So friends, stay connected with the channel. Friends, definitely stay connected with the channel. The results of all these companies will be out tomorrow at any time. I will try to give you the update as soon as possible on this channel. Ok? So do n't miss the update. Ok, now let's move ahead. Let us see, look at the US market right now. Ah, markets all over the world are a bit nervous but the US market is the most nervous. Now if you look at the toss position at 12:52 pm US local time, it may look a little positive to you. But you cannot ignore the volatility that has been there from the beginning. You can see it here. Ok? It is very volatile. Right now I would say the situation seems a little better. Well let's talk about the rest of the nsdc
13:16 composite for just a minute. He was also a bit volatile from the start. Look, it opened here, slid a little downwards, went up and then fell down suddenly. Then recovery is still going on. So anything can happen. Don't worry, you will get updates from time to time. Well, there has been a slight correction in the rest of the US 10-year bond yield. Well, I would still say that the price of Brent crude seems to be fairly stable since the last few days and the valuation of the Indian currency also seems to be decent since the last four trading days. Ok let's move ahead friends, remember tomorrow there is the result of Wipro Limited. I will give you an update and this time the results of IT companies are a bit disappointing. Ok, we will have to see how it goes tomorrow. So the addon version of Wipro is currently at a decent level. By the way, today the Indian market also gave closing at a good level. The ADR version of Infosys is
14:02 also trading up by 1% right now. Well HDFC Bank ADR version has come in positive by 0.27%. Well friends I want to tell you one more thing, additionally remember that 19th of July means today is your 16th, tomorrow 17, 18, 19, leaving two days, on Saturday 19th the company's quarter one result will be out. Remember this. Along with that, here's this evening's update. The company issued bonus to its shareholders. Ok? So, it means that on 19th only you will get to know in what ratio the company is giving bonus, 1 on 2:1, so I will give you the update on Saturday, remember it, what do you call it, the arrears version of ICICI Bank has become almost flat, so in the beginning we saw that there was a little correction there as well, now let us quickly see where Gift Nifty is right now,
14:49 Bhaisahab. So friends, you can see here, right now I am recording this video exactly at 10:25 in the night, so here you see the position of Gift 50 is visible at 25241 points, so that means today Nifty 50 is at 42 points, it is not more than where Nifty closed today, but 30 points up, now see, this thing is also true that the expiry is not for much time. So accordingly, if we cut the premium, I would say it is not too high or too low. It is currently trading almost at the same level where it closed today. Ok? Ok, now let's move ahead. Let's quickly see how was the trading of FI DS today? I will give it to you in big letters on the top of the screen.
15:36 But before that friends, I would request all of you that if you liked the video till now, found it informative, then please do like the video and keep subscribing to the channel to get such informative videos every day. And remember friends, along with subscribing to the channel, after clicking on the notification bell icon nearby, do press the all button so that whenever I upload a video, it can reach you immediately. Ok. So see, today DI bought shares worth Rs 10,223 crore and FI sold shares. Yes, after buying some amount last day, there was sell-off again today. Share of Rs 10,858 crore by FI. This was FSDS business today. Talking about the rest, friends, there is another important update from the Middle East side,
16:21 here you can see that it is being heard that Israel is a very popular place in Syria right now, I don't know how many of you would know, Damascus is a very historical place, so friends, in Damascus, Israel has attacked, this is the latest update, okay, apart from that TA 35 means the Israeli Top Index has given closing with a little weakness today. So look, I have shared with you all the vital important updates. Now let me take you to the market analysis part. Done is the last three month candlestick chart pattern of Nifty 50. Now listen very carefully to what I am going to tell you. Look, normally what I tell you is that you should normally track Djons futures, NSD futures before the Indian market opens in the morning.
17:08 Along with that there are some specific sectors. Because now see, the banking sector is providing some support. So keep an eye on the banking sector. Apart from this, IT sector is also important because of the results. The result outcome came out and along with that the metal sector, friends, is very important, remember that. Ok ? So keep an eye on these three sectors. Well, first of all you look at it, all the candles here are of one day each, that is, on the one day chart, each candle is representing one day. So like what did I tell you last day? Remember last day, i.e. on Tuesday night at 10:30 in the video, I had told you that Nifty 50 was going to be 25,250, do you remember that? It is necessary to break 25,50 and move higher for further upside momentum. Ok? So if you look at Nifty 50 today, it found resistance there.
17:54 Well, I am not able to understand it very well here. I am showing you the 4 hour chart pattern. Look at this, you will understand it well in the 4 hour chart pattern. Look at this, you can see a light grey colored line, are you seeing this grey colored line, here it is the level of 250. So look here, it hit today and came down a little and gave a closing. Ok? So for tomorrow also I would say 250 for Nifty 50, remember it is important to break it and hold it. This is the most important level to get further upside. So this is the upward resistance. Well let's assume that I broke it yesterday and went upstairs. So what will happen? So if you look at the 4-hour chart pattern above, you will see a blue colored line. What does this indicate? Remember 20 days
18:40 EMA means Exponential Moving Average. Correct? Whose number is coming out to be what ? At 25330 points. So tomorrow this became the next target or resistance, you can call it. Well now the question arises, where is the bottom? How far down? So today there was not much movement upwards as well. Along with that, there wasn't much movement down below as well. And if you look at the low of last day i.e. Tuesday or the low of Monday, then here you will see one thing clearly that it is still quite stable above 25,000. Ok? Initially. So in this situation, the support level that is coming out for tomorrow is almost from 2580 to 80. Why? Because this was last day's low. And today's low was 25120 points. So remember this range of 40 points. This range of 40 points is the
19:27 most important support level for tomorrow. Ok? And if it goes even lower than this, then support can be found directly at the psychological level of Rs 25,000. Ok? Ok, now let's move ahead. Look at Bank Nifty, I would say as compared to Nifty 50, the closing of Bank Nifty was very good. It was good because last day on Tuesday also we saw that Bank Nifty gave closing just on the border line of 57,000 and today it gave closing well above 57,000. So, I would say that the most important level for Bank Nifty is that there is no need for immediate surge and don't expect any. If 57,000 can be held, then I would say that too is a very big thing. Ok? Ok? And on the upside, there is no very special level right now, whatever it is, is the all-time high of Bank Nifty.
20:14 So if it stays there then it will further try to touch a new high by breaking the old high and on the downside you will see here there is an indicator, that means in the same 20 days it is slowly shifting upwards. Ok? So you can see its number here, it is slightly hidden. Somewhere around Rs 56,900. So if tomorrow the level of 57,000 is broken then May also support can be found around 56,900. Ok ? So friends, I have explained Nifty 50, Bank Nifty very well to you based on the indicator chart pattern and if you have any confusion or doubts, please tell us through comments. Before winding up the video, I always tell you to remember that the market is very risky, very volatile, so do not make any mistake and especially tomorrow there is expiry
20:59 of Nifty 50, weekly expiry, do not do FAO trading put call buy sell hold intraday, etc by mistake, it is very risky and especially if you do not have any knowledge or experience about this, then normally watch the video, learn, get updates of the news, know if there is any problem, then I am here for you guys, tell me in the comment box by commenting and friends, do not forget to subscribe to the channel to get such informative updates everyday, so for now I am winding up this video, see you in the next video, take care bye-b, Jai Jai Hind.