0:00 How to identify the market top. Now, this is the market top in all markets. We're talking about the market top in all markets and in all time frames. One of the major keys to market mastery is being able to identify when a market has topped, but not only when it is obvious that it has topped. One of the very great master keys or major keys to market mastery is being able to identify when a market is about to top. We're going to go over specific characteristics that are going to help you be able to know almost in advance when a market is likely to top. And I'm going to teach you how to nail it virtually every single time. The players that really do super well in the market,
0:47 they know how to identify tops. They know how to sidestep them. And more importantly, they know how to turn market tops into fast, powerful profits. Profits are faster and they're bigger and they're harder for market tops. And this is why traders who have the ability to identify market tops, they tend to be the more profitable traders overall. The four characteristics of market tops. Number one, a major market top is usually preceded by very dynamic three to five leg runs. Now, I'm going to show you what this means. In essence, a stock can run from a low point to a high point, but it will do so in segments. So
1:35 it might run up, pause, run up again, drop a little bit, and then run up again. All of these are individual legs. Leg one, pause, leg two, pull back, leg three. But this is an entire run to the upside. But every run to the upside is really comprised what I would call different legs or segments. And you have to be able to read the segments and know where you are in the dynamic run to the upside because statistically speaking, runs that lead to major tops, they happen over a 3 to five leg run. And a trader who does not understand that tops
2:22 come between three and five legs, they often get caught at the top buying leg four or buying into a leg five. So if a stock runs up over several legs here and a trader is going to buy this leg when it is leg one, leg two, leg three, leg four, not knowing that there's a lot smaller upside from here than there is downside to go because you're already buying into a very mature multi-legg run to the upside. The best odds for maximum profitability, guys, is when you are buying leg into a leg one or leg two
3:12 move to the upside. You're riding leg three, you ride leg three, you start taking profits in leg four and leg five. These are your profit legs. But if you don't know how to read a market's legs, how do you know where you are in that market's dynamic runup? We buy legs one and two. We ride leg three. We take profits on legs four and five. Look at my face here. Three to five legs up. We buy leg one. We buy legs twos. You got to know how to read what's leg one, what's leg two. You ride leg three. Relax. Don't tinker. Don't touch leg
3:57 three. You take profits on leg four, leg five. Leg four and five are not entry legs. They're profit taking legs. Characteristic number two, near vertical acceleration toward the end. So if you've got this multileg runup, one, two, three. If this leg is the most vertical of all the other legs, here's leg one. Here's leg two. Here's leg three and leg four winds up being the most vertical. That's high odds that that's the final leg. If the most recent runup after a pause, after a rest, because pauses and rests, they separate
4:42 the legs, right? This one is the most vertical. That's the one you That's the one that's going to be the top most of the time. The most vertical leg is mostly the top. I'm going to repeat that again. The most vertical leg of them all is usually the top one. You've got the top. So, three to five leg run up near vertical acceleration. That's usually your final leg. If I were to isolate the runup in leg four, this runup is made up of multiple bars. So that for that fourth leg could look something like this. Boom. Boom. Boom. And boom. So I'm
5:28 saying that could be that leg right there. Often times the final bar of this multiple bar leg runup is the biggest one of them all. When you've got that scenario, you've got vertical runup and the last bar of the vertical runup is the biggest bar of the entire runup. You've got your top, baby. You've got your top. You're at or near it. We call this an exhaustion elephant bar. It's exhaustive in nature. The bulls are shooting all the bullets they have at the market and they they've just emptied the clip. They've emptied the gun. There's no more bullets left. There's no more buying power left. They put it all
6:13 in that last bar. So that's the third characteristic. Remember, we got three to five legs up. You're likely near a top near. If the last leg is near vertical acceleration, you're you're very likely near the top. And if the final bar of that nearvertical acceleration is the biggest bar of that last leg, you're almost certain that that you're at or near the top. And the last characteristic is what I call the three-finger spread. I have spoken about this before or what I call dual space. Here's what's important to understand with these four characteristics. You don't need them all. You can really just have one of them. Often times they are stacked. You may not get all four. There are times you'll get all four, but you
6:59 may not get all four. You only need one. But often times you'll get two or three of these stacked at the same time. I have rarely in my whole career seen a major top in any stock, any market, any index, it doesn't matter, that did not have at least two of these. I can probably count on one hand in 44 years. These four characteristics usually come in pairs. You usually get two, sometimes three, and every now and then you'll get all four of these and you're like, whoa, all four? You better watch out. Below here is the three to five leg plus vertical blowoff image. I'm showing you
7:46 two of the four. Remember, characteristic number one is the three to five legs. Now, legs are usually fluid runs that are interrupted by a pause of some type. Sometimes that pause can just be sideways movement and boom, you're off to the next leg. Sometimes that pause can be a mild pullback and then boom, you're off to the next leg. Sometimes that pause can be very brief, just in a little stutter, a little flickering, which I demonstrate with a circle, and boom, you're off to another leg. There are separators. These are separators between legs. You see, this is a
8:33 separator between legs. This pullback is a separator between legs. There really pauses on the way to the upside. If you know how to read the pauses, then you automatically can see that there's leg one, pause, leg two, another pause, leg three, another brief pause, and you're into leg four. So, you're already in the zone of three to five, which is characteristic number one. This means that you're in a mature up move. It's not fresh. It's not new. In addition to you being in the range of three to five legs to the upside, you've got the second quality which is ver the last leg
9:20 is the most vertical one. So this was a nice angle to the upside. Two was a nice angle to the upside. Three was a nice but four I tried to show you is more vertical. That increases the odds that you are at or near the top. If the last leg is more vertical than all the other legs, jump the odds that you're at or near the top very very in a very big way. Right? So these are two the three to five leg runup plus vertical blowoff move. The third characteristic is that the last out of this last runup, the most recent bar is the biggest bar of the entire run. So, not only is leg four
10:08 the most vertical, inside of that vertical runup, the most recent bar is the biggest one of all. Now guys, when you get the last bar of the vertical last leg, if that's not only the biggest bar of the last leg, but it's the biggest bar that ever occurred during the whole runup. OMG, you're talking about the mega top of all mega tops. You got the most vertical leg of of them all inside of the vertical leg.
10:55 You've got the last bar is the biggest bar of that leg. But you look and see it's not only the last biggest bar of that leg, it's the biggest bar of the whole freaking runup. Do you know how many traders are trapped and piled into that bar? And that creates a topheavy market. You understand? You understand what a topheavy market is? That most people are committed at the top, which means that it's they're vulnerable to a move to the downside and will start bailing ship at a heartbeat. It's powerful when you you have this deeper reading ability, this deeper ability to almost see inside of the market and to know what's going on to give you that
11:41 that refined feel. With these characteristics, I know when most traders are are trapped at the top. These are the characteristics that let me know that and I know they're susceptible to move to the downside. Now, it's taking your analytical skills to a very, very high level. There are not many people walking around in the markets today that have this ability to read like this. So, we've got the three to five legs. Characteristic number one. Characteristic number two. All right. The last leg is the most vertical. That's characteristic number two. Character number three. The last bar in that leg is the biggest bar. That's characteristic number three. And characteristic number four is the three-finger spread or what I call often
12:28 call sometimes dual space. So what is this? This involves the 20 period moving average and and the 200 period moving average of your item. Now, when your stock leaves the moving average in the dust, so when it starts to just skyrocket away from the nearest one of these two, you create what I call the three-finger spread. Your stock is way above the 20 period moving average. your 20 period moving average is separated and well above the 200 creating dual space between the three items. This space tells you there's a lot of room to fall.
13:16 And guys, the reason why I call it the three-finger spread because I tell traders, look, just spread these three fingers out as wide as possible. Your stock, your 20, your 200. When you've got that widespread, that stock or whatever you're looking at is very vulnerable. It's on thin ice up there and any crack will cause an avalanche of traders to just leave the stock, accelerating the move to the downside. Now, there's reasons why this makes the stock vulnerable. I want you to think about how many people are holding profits. Think about this, traders. Let's let's remember you're not trading stocks, you're trading people. So stocks
14:03 don't move unless people act. It's really the actions of the people that are moving the stock. Right? So in essence, it's a psychological game. It's playing the mindset of your players. Now, if a stock has had three, four, five legs up, there's a lot of people holding profits. If you get way above those moving average, there's a lot of people who's got hefty unrealized gains, that last big bar exploded their profitability. And now their profits are so fat, so big that they want to protect them. So any amount of red freaks them out. Uh-oh.
14:50 Wait a minute. I'm getting out. I'm getting out. I'm cutting half of my position. I'm And it causes an avalanche. Somebody yells fire in the theater and all the traders start rushing to the exit sign, the exit sign trying to get out of the theater before it completely burns up their profits. So when you can technically read this point where you know the stock is on thin ice now it's very susceptible to profit taking one little spook one little scare one solid red bar is going to send everybody from up here in Pluto with the three-finger spread it's going to send everybody
15:36 running for the exit signs. Some of you understand the psychological part of this picture and why it typically leads to violent drops to the downside. When you understand it from the people side, it's better. You don't have to understand it from well, you know, the company's products are not that good anymore. That that that's why it's going to go down. What um the PE ratio is too high. Isn't that why it's going to come down? No. If you read it from the people's side, do you understand? Look at this four-legg runup and the violence of the last leg, they're holding huge profits here. They're going to be taking those profits soon. And any scare is going to send this stock reeling. That's
16:22 the proper view. Not the PE ratio, Oliver. It's crazy. Unreal. The PE ratio. How to survive chaotic pullbacks. I'm first teaching you how to identify high odds market tops before they actually drop. How do I know if from that top this is just another pullback that will lead to a continuation or is it the actual final one drop? What I'm taking you to the next step now. How to identify a pullback versus a collapse from a top. A
17:12 collapse from a top is not a pullback. A pullback is buyable. A collapse from the top is not viable. So, you need to know the difference and how to read the difference. That's what we're going to go over next. not only how to survive chaotic pullbacks, but I want you to know how to profit from them as well. In order to do this, I'm going to have to teach you my personal basic but very powerful trading division. And I use this concept. I call it 1/2 and thirds. So, what I'm diagramming here is a strong runup in the stock. Now, that's not one bar. That's a multiple bar run to the upside in your stock or your underlying item, right? And I want you to note that okay, it tops and it starts to pull back. Now what you need to do is
17:59 you need to divide the runup in half. So from start to finish, where did this runup start from? Started here. Where did it peak from? Temporarily at least it peaked there. Now divided in half. Just draw a line straight in the middle just like I did here. You got to split that entire runup. Find the halfway mark. Guys, I don't want you going out to your your local convenience store and getting rulers and, you know, right angles and geometric tools. Oliver, is this is this halfway? Like, it's it's a general thing. You don't have to be very very precise. Just cut the thing in half like you would a banana. Boom. Okay, that's the halfway mark. You're not measuring it and trying to get it so perfect. Okay. What we're also going to
18:46 do is cut it in thirds. Now, what this is going to do is give this entire runup four zones. Now, I'm going to show you the four zones. I know you see them, but zone the top third zone, you've got this next zone, you've got this next zone, and you've got the bottom zone. So, coming on the way down, you got zone one, you got zone two, you got zone three, and you've got zone four. You've got so you have to be able to know how to zone out your run-ups and your rundowns. Everything is applicable in reverse, but we're talking about the run-ups. Now, here's the key. When your stock stays in the top third, you've got
19:34 80% odds of a new high. So, we're dropping like this. You're dropping, but you turn. Boom. Without violate, severely violating that top third. That's 80% odds you're going higher. And you're going higher by a decent amount. Not just a peekab-boo high. You're going to shoot way past that high. So, let's get these odds straight. The pullback stays in the top third of the entire last runup. You're going higher, buddy. Now, I call this the color a color change, right? Right. I've gone over this many times in my videos. This is a color change. Red, red, red, and then all of a sudden, boom, green reverses everything. Boom.
20:22 Right there. That's your color change. We're looking for a color change in the top third to get that 80% odds we're going to new highs by a decent amount. If your color change happens in the top half, your odds drop to 65%. Still good odds. But you go from 80% to 65% that you're going to move to a new high. Still better than flipping a coin. Still profitable. Guys, remember what 65% means? It means that 6.5 times out of every 10 you win. Which means that in order to get 6.5, sometimes you get to a new high nine times out of every 10. Sometimes you get
21:08 to a new high eight times out of every 10, seven time, sometimes four times, sometimes five times. But it averages 6.5 times out of every 10, you're going to a new high. As long as you get that color change, remember what a color change is, guys. Red, red, red, red. Then green reverses the red. Boom. That's your color change. This is your color change. Green takes out red. So if you get this in the top half, you're dealing with 65% odds of a new high. If you get this in the top third, you're dealing with 80% odds that you're that you're moving to a significant new high. How many people, guys know these odds, know these stats? How many people have this so precise
21:56 this way? Very few. Most people are out there guessing, rolling dice, rolling bones, calling up the psychic hotline, checking up on other losers in Facebook chat rooms and stuff like that. Not you. You're playing by the numbers. You're playing by specific precise concepts and strategies. If your pullback falls to within the the second third zone, remember these zones, your odds drop to 35% of a new high. So now we're going into the other wave. It's better not to bank on a new high if your pullback is this deep into the last runup. See, this is your last runup. This deep into the last runup, the bounce is probably not going to make the
22:42 new high. That's what the odds suggest. And if you drop to the last part, remember these four parts, right? Your odds of 15% that you bounce all the way back to a new high. That's almost saying it ain't happening, bro. Do you have these odds? Talk to me. I need somebody to talk to me. You have these odds. 80% top third. 65% pull back to the half around halfway or less. 35% you break the half. 15%. You break the bottom third. Tell me you've got this. Nice. I can feel your intelligence rising rapidly. I can feel it.
23:31 I can feel it going higher and higher and higher. Your understanding. Wait till we look at examples here. It's coming. I'm going to show you. I told you I'm going to blow your mind with this. All right, the pullback versus the collapse. If you just get this down right now, what I'm about to cover for you, if you can just get this, this is going to take you to a different stratosphere, just this one thing, because most most trouble most trouble in the market, not knowing if this pullback is a buy or should I run for the hills. I'm telling you like 70% of
24:16 all problems, all lost money in investment world, in the the the the swing trading world, in the day trading world, is not knowing how to read the difference, not knowing whether this is a gift, this drop, is it a gift or should I be running for the hills or should I be betting the other way? If you can just get this, you're going to go to a completely different galaxy in your trading. Promise you. Probably the most important thing I'm going to explain to you here today. Let's go. Pullbacks versus collapses. The healthy pullback, the gift, the one that you should be thinking about buying. Here are the characteristics. Number one, first of all, I want you to know we're talking about after a nice strong runup
25:03 in your stock or your underlying item. Okay? a nice strong runup. Remember, you're supposed to always cut it in half and/3. Don't forget that everything is going to come from you knowing the area of the half and/3, knowing the four zones. Your pullback into these zones, if it is more of a drift, it's healthy. So, look what I'm saying. A 45 degree angle drift. Now, the way I explain it to my trading kids is this. I draw a little mountain, and I draw a little hang glider here. He's going to He wants to hang gllide off this mountain into
25:49 the meadow. But he wants to he wants to jump off the mountain and glide down the the mountain, you see, gracefully, smoothly. But, you see, he doesn't want to trip and fall. straight down. Your pullbacks that are healthy, they drift down the mountain. They don't starkly trip and fall straight down from the mountaintop. There's a difference between a drift and a trip or a collapse. If this drift remains anywhere above the halfway mark, you're good. So, what are you buying here or there? You're buying the color
26:36 change. You're buying the first time a red bar gets taken out by a green bar. Boom. Right there. There's your buy. Right above the high. Boom. That's what you want to see here or there. But only if you have the 45 or so degree angle drift. The color changes don't count if it's a collapse. Now, the last thing I want to point out to you, there's usually no violent elongated bars in your drop, especially the first one. Let's say you have this runup and you get something like this. Boom. That is too violent of a first bar drop. Usually, your color changes change here
27:25 that might happen will fail. It'll trick you into it. Why? Because this is too violent. It's too powerful. It had too much velocity. I don't want to see that in a pullback. To me, that's a collapse. That's not gracefully coming off this mountaintop. So, no violence to speak of and no breaking the half and 45° angle drift, no vertical drops. And that's when you know that this pullback is a gift. It is not a reason to be concerned. It is not a reason to run for the hills. It's not a reason to be nervous. It's a reason to add. The $64,000 question on Wall Street
28:11 is always, is this the top? Is this pullback mean that we've topped or is this a buying opportunity? That's it. Every financial show on CNBC, Bloomberg, every It's the same question. Are we near the top? Have we topped out? Is this pullback just healthy? Is it normal? Is it a gift? Is it a buying opportunity? They have entire financial shows around this one question. And I'm giving you the keys to being an expert on those shows. Being an expert in your play, how to identify collapses that you should be concerned about versus gifts that you should be trying to find more capital to put into the play. Now, the collapse, elongated vertical drop. This
28:57 is not a a hang glider gracefully coming off the mountaintop. Nope. That's tripping off the mountaintop. Something something wrong happened there. He didn't gracefully come down. He tripped and fell. Even if, guys, you get the color change here. Don't fall for it. Do not fall for it. Do not fall for it. The drop was too vertical. It was too elongated, too violent, too much sudden, powerful, abrupt momentum to the downside. What you must understand is that pullbacks are just pit stops. They are rests. Your
29:43 your athlete can't run without having some type of rest between races. Each leg is a race. And so it pulls back to rest to get rejuvenated, refreshed. In NASCAR, they don't keep running around and never have a pit stop. Get a pit stop. It's for a couple seconds, of course, but it's still a pit stop. It's still a rest. It's still a refresher and then it right back on the racetrack. These pit stops, these rests are healthy. They allow your stock to refuel and go higher, but there are some drops that are not rests. They're warning shots. They're signs you better
30:29 get the heck out of dodge. They're signs of dumping. They're signs of institutions leaving the stock right now. So understanding this difference and knowing how to play them both just takes you to a completely different level in your knowledge, in your level of sophistication, in your entire market play. Let's talk about my famous crash play and I think after this we start looking at some examples. It involves a violent bar crash, elongated, powerful, bigger than normal. What does that mean? I can't give you a specific number as terms of size. All I can just say is look to the left and if this bar is bigger by orders of magnitude than all
31:14 of your recent bars to the left of it. Here are your recent bars to the left. Now look at the size of this one versus the average size of these. That's a crash bar. The crash bars are elongated, powerful, violent. They have a velocity that is through the roof. These crash bars, they can come from a top. So you can get something like this. Let me show you. You can get something like this. And boom. Now here's your crash bar. Boom. Right? So you get a crash bar from the top. You can actually get a crash bar from a gap. So let's say your stock was trading here yesterday and this morning the stock let's say it ended here yesterday and the following morning
32:00 your stock opens here on a gap and crashes right into support but it's still a crash bar. You can get a crash bar from the 200. So, there are a variety of scenarios where this violent bar crash play can materialize and they're all profitable. All of them. Some people will say, "Well, Oliver, if it crashes to the 200, isn't that in the buy area?" No, not if it's a crash bar. The crash bar cracks the 200 significance. Sort of like this was ice. So, the 200 was ice, right? Was a frozen lake. But this crashed so hard into the frozen lake that it cracked the ice and
32:47 now any bounce is a sucker's play. Boom. Hi traders. Colombian coffee. The best. The best. Listen, I have something that I want to speak to you about. Come with me, traders. My traders, my Bitcoiners, my team has recently brought something to my attention that actually blew me away. My team told me, hey, please say so. My team told me that a very small percentage of you who come to my YouTube channels every single day
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34:20 the thing that we are all striving for every single day. Now subscribing to the channels is absolutely free to you. It cost you nothing, but at the same time, it's very valuable to us people, traders. It's valuable because it helps the algorithm help my powerful content and education get out there to more people who truly have a passion for this wonderful activity we call trading. And all you have to do is click subscribe. It would mean the world to me. It would also mean the world to me if you even went the extra mile by clicking the bell in the upper right hand corner to ensure that you never miss a single piece of
35:06 content. Do this for me. Traders, do this. It would mean the world for me. In the meantime, trade well and I will see you in the next video. Boom. Boom. Boom. Ciao for now, traders. Love you to death. So, what do I mean? Remember I told you that there are legs to a run, right? So, that's a leg. But, and if it starts doing this, remember what you're supposed to do with your leg? You're supposed to cut it in half in thirds. If your item has run up and it stays in the top third, remember what the odds are? 80% you're going higher. Remember that? That's one of the slides in the presentation. If you go down here,
35:53 you're 65% going to a new high. Remember those odds. Bitcoin does a lot of one-thirding. It does halves, too, but it does a lot of one-irding in the bull bull run. So, let me show you. Let's look at the one/irds, all the one/irds. This is just from April. So, we run up and then it one/irds on you, right? So, that's leg one right there. Then you run up and you one/3. it just doesn't come back to the halfway mark often and you run up again and you one/ird it. It does a lot of one-thirding. So now it gets into this just this pretty predictable trading range here. Then right when it has this 20 MA halt play here, it starts one-thirding again.
36:40 Run up. Now it's oneirding again. You see? And see how you can read the legs. What's the odds of a new high? Tell me. What's the odds that we go now into the 120s toward the 130s? So, I wanted to show you the one-/3 concept on Apple here, guys. Take a look. Take a look at the left hand side of the chart. I want you to grab the beginning of the move. I want you to grab the top of the move. Now, sometimes it's very subjective, guys, reading the different legs. You know, it it can be subjective. I I get it. You get good at it, though. You get good at it. All right. So, you're really concentrating more on either flutter fluttering around, doing nothing is a
37:27 separator. Pulling back is a separator. So, that's a separator. Fluttering around in a sloppy way is a is a separator. Even a brief little one or two red bar thing here like that is a separator. It It takes a while, but you start to get it starts to get clear. What are separators? Boom. Separator. Boom. Separator. Boom. So, you've got multiple legs here on the runup. 1 2 3 4. You're mature. All right. We don't have the characteristic of the fourth leg being vertical. We don't have that. Remember, you don't need all of them, but we do
38:14 have the three to four legs up. We've got the three finger spread, and we have boom. I'm taking that as a bar that's elongated and powerful enough to where if I were to split this in half in thirds, you see how it bounces up right there and then collapses again. Now, my traders know I would be shorting up here. But what I really want to also show you is I'm showing you how to do it with a bar, a single bar, where you take a single bar that's powerful and you split it in half in thirds. You know that the bounce is a sucker play. So, so the the people who think that you're
38:59 bouncing back from here and buying that, they get suckered in. But also, I want you to be able to do this on a full run. You see that's a full run. Now I want you to look at this like one move and I want you to split this two half and thirds so that your macro sucker play can be played. So this is the micro sucker play. Drop sucker play drop. But this one is the macro drop half and thirds. sucker play drop. Do you understand the micro and the macro? Let me know if you understand. Micro is the one bar attempt to move up and
39:49 boom. That's the micro. The macro is the full move drop. You look at the full move as as like it's one bar. Then you split that in half in thirds so that the multiple bar sucker play bounce boom. You know how to profit from that too. So my traders know to grab the micro and the macro one. I want to make sure you understand this. I just want to see your comments. This do you do you understand the difference between the macro and the micro? Let's continue. Let's continue looking at these examples here. So guys, where is you got your micro bounce here into the collapse bar. You've got your
40:35 macro bounce here. Remember, you're waiting for a color change. Red eliminates green eliminates this green one right there. Look at this violent bar. Half half. You kind of come right up to the third sucker play. Boom. It's crazy. I do a lot of these um crash plays, guys. A lot of them. Now, I want you to take a look at Tesla. A lot of my traders had this play. I want you to look at this is the 25th. All right? This was the 24th. This is the start of the 25th. Now, I want you to look at the pullback here. Now, I told you that one of the keys to mastery is knowing is the pullback in this play
41:23 viable? Is it a gift to to add or initiate a play or get more or is it a problematic drop? And I'm willing I'm going to tell you that. Remember the characteristics. If it's straight down like that, it's not. If it's a drift and it stays in the upper half, preferably the upper third, you're good. Now, some people say, "Well, Oliver, in this play, this drop, it's a 45 degree angle, but it's deep in the runup." No, it's not because I teach my traders, you must fill in the gap. When your stock gaps, I want you to fill in the gap and make that gap part of the move. You see, if the market were not closed, it would not
42:10 have gapped. It would have traded there. So it's only gapping because the antiquated equity market is still closed. It's not 24 hours. So all of the builtup demand over the over the night just gets immediately priced in at the open. But if the market was open, it would have traded there. So I want you to fill it in as if it's part of the move. right from yesterday's close. Fill it in as if it traded there. Now take this whole move and split it in half in thirds. Voila. Color change, baby. But you got that. Fill in your gaps,
42:57 guys. You got it. You got it. Fill in those gaps and then do your division. This is going to work like freaking magic for you. I promise you the light with which you see everything now is going to be brighter with these concepts. You must keep coming back to this presentation as well so that you don't lose it. But I'm telling you guys, take you to a brand new galaxy. Now find the crash bar. What are you supposed to do with a crash bar? Divide it in half and third. Half and third. Now I want you to see the bounce. Look at the bounce. the next bar into the crash bar. So, we bounce up because guys, remember this is not there. None of this is there
43:44 yet. So, what's happening here, guys, is that you've got the first bar is a crash bar. Now, the next bar is moving up into my zones. So, I got zone the first zone is achieved. The second zone is achieved. Now, I'm shorting there. I'm more advanced. So, I'm just going to short in those zones. I'm not waiting for anything. So, I'm short short. I'm coming in here. Boom. Boom. I'm shorting because what's the odds of it going all the way? 15%. I'm going to be right shorting in those zones 85% of the time. I'll have some stopouts every now and then, but not very often.
44:31 Now, what you can do is you're supposed to wait for the green to disappear and then strike. So, when does green disappear? It disappears. Now, watch. Boom. Uh-oh. Most of the green is gone. Boom. All of the green is gone. Well, I did the wrong thing here. All of the green is gone right there. I don't know if you can see that. It was green first, but right here, I'm going to draw this line here. This was green. We were green first. Green, green, green, green, green. And then the green disappeared. Boom. A lot of my traders strike right there. Bam. My green disappeared. Stop above the high. And the freaking rest is
45:16 history for me. This was like a $9,000 play. So, crash play, bounce, drop. Some traders did another color. Some traders of mine did another color change here. Some of my traders said, "Well, Oliver, this is a crash bar, too." We got two backto back crash bars. And look at the bounce. Sucker bounce. And boom. Backto back crash bars. Powerful. How do you know that this is likely the bottom? Oh, that should be simple. your multiple legs down. I know this is from yesterday. One, two, three. Three finger spread.
46:02 The move did start the day before. 1 2 3. Remember, it's three to five legs. So, we've got two of the four criteria telling us this is likely the bottom, at least for now. Remember, it works this the other way as well. Same thing, guys. Remember what I told you what to do with the gap. Fill the gap in, guys. Always fill your gaps in. All right? Fill them in as if it didn't gap there that it traded there. Fill the gap in. That's your full move. I want you to look at the pauses, guys. Even this is a pause. It's a hidden pause. My traders know this is a hidden pause cuz you fell back so hard.
46:47 That's still considered red. So it doesn't matter if you got that or not. But there's you all you know is that there are multiple legs up, right? You got multiple legs up to the upside. Three to five legs up with your your separators. Do you have the three finger spread? Yes. Look at all that space between the three items. tippy top of your stop 2200. Three-finger spread. You're wide apart. That's why I call it the three-finger spread. What are you supposed to do when you have a full move and it starts to drop? What do you do? Go all the way, fill in the gap, you split it in half in thirds. If you try to profit on the downside on the first
47:33 color change here, that's fine. But remember how many levels I told you to go for? Go for two levels. So level one, level two inside of this. You understand? That's how we come up with targets. We go for level one and level two. We don't count the top one. The top one is the entry level. And then you go for one level down, two levels down. And this trading by the numbers this way guys really makes your approach very systematic, far more precise. But if you wanted to short here, remember you're shorting on from this three-finger spread point. If you want to short, we don't get a violent bar up here, but we do get a color change where you can give
48:19 it a shot. When does red truly take out a green bar and right in this area? Anywhere there is is is fine. Anywhere here is fine. Two levels down. Boom. Boom. Don't forget to div do your trading division on everything, guys. Everything big. Do the trading division. Look at Palunteer on the 25th. Now look at the gap. See the gap? What are you supposed to do with that? Fill it in. Fill in your gaps, guys. Let's act like they really traded there. Now look at that big giant runup. Split it in half in thirds and voila. Boom. 80%
49:05 chance of a new high. The pullback stayed basically in the top third. This is going to have you seeing so many things much clearer. My traders know this as a clearing collapse play, right? So, what is clearing? Let's say your stock is doing this. It's kind of in this range here and then all of a sudden a red bar just clears everything. Boom. It just breaks through everything. That's clearing. I want you to take a look at this. Look at the clearing. You see it? Then boom. Solid red just clears everything to the downside. Sucker bounce. You do get to the top third, but a sucker bounce here. You get the sucker bounce into the
49:52 collapse. Color change right here. Boom. And traders can just keep doing the color changes if they're near something. Color change here. Boom. Color change. Boom. It just keeps going and going and going going. This crash play and the sucker bounce is a huge money maker for us. All right. Coinbase. Remember I told you you can crash into support, too. Look at your support from the day before, but you gap and you crap out and collapse right into support and you get that miniature sucker play bounce right here. Bounce. That's the micro version. And you drop to new lows. Now, these don't look like big drops, but these are
50:38 big drops. That's like $5 drop right there. even on a macro level. Remember I told you take your your full moves down and also do your division. So here's the full move down. I'm drawing sloppy here, but you get the point. And even it couldn't even break any decent amount to the upside after a collapse like that. You have to remember guys, there are people who bought here not knowing how to trade and play. And these people are left holding the bag and they're not happy. They're sad and like they're stuck up here sad. So they're instantly a loser. So any
51:23 bounce they're like I got part of my profits back and they just sell into the bounce to get at least some of their profits back. Boom. That's why this these crash plays work. You're getting a lot of pressure from people that are hurt from above and the bounce is a gift for them to just get out. So, they're applying a lot of get out pressure on the stock. That's why there's 15% odds of coming back. It's all about trading people, guys. All about trading people. This was another play, guys. I'll be honest with you. I got a tiny bit nervous with this this one. I think this is the last one to show you. I got a tiny bit nervous with this, guys. Just a tiny bit. Because remember, when I get these hard drops like this, I split in
52:09 half and thirds and I'm already going to be shorting in these zones. Now, you won't you're going to wait for the color change, but I don't wait for the color change. So, this bounces and I start getting short short more and my stop is here. So, I'm like, but now my orders are there in advance. I I start to say like, wow, this is a strong bounce. It's trying to get into that upper portion. Then the collapse came. Love that sound. And then we took this color change, my traders can tell you. So this was more like the macro one. Drop, drop, boom, profits. Then bounce. This is a sucker play, too. Why is this a sucker play? Because remember, guys, don't forget the macro
52:55 move down is the whole thing. And when you know how to divide, this is sucker two. Boom. This is the closest thing to kind of taking candy from a baby eyes in the market. The the the bounces into crash drops. It's powerful. It's consistent. It's freaking highly profitable. Look at the crash playing hood. You gapped. You crashed into support. Now look at that 200 there. It it tried to hold on but the crash was so strong that the 200 is weakened but look more importantly is look at the sucker bounce into the
53:41 crash. You see the sucker bounce and the rest is history. It took a while though that 200 tried to hold on and eventually gave through because the ice was cracked by this. The ice was cracked and each subsequent tap on the 200 just weakened it more. Boom. It just finally gave through. The ice finally gave through and it all started from this sledgehammer coming into the ice. All right, guys. I told you we don't trade Bitcoin, but if I did, I would use the hourly chart. And you see all the concepts here. Leg up, stay in the top third. We're going higher. Leg up. Stay in the top third. We're going higher.
54:29 Leg up. Stay in the top third. We're going higher. You see? Boom. One 2 3 4. You're pretty wide here. You need to rest. But now look, the macro move as well needs to be split. And we stay in the top third. Do the macro rest. We're going higher. Now we get the full three-finger spread and that's when you have to sell off. You didn't really quite get it here as dramatic as you would like. That's still more like parallel railroad tracks, but when you start to go vertical, you see you started to go
55:14 vertical here and into a three-finger spread. You just got to come down and rest. You have to. And that's exactly what happened. That these three concepts I shared with you today, they're going to pay dividends to you forever. They don't stop working. They're going to pay dividends forever for the rest of your living days as a market player. I have been using these for for for three plus decades. They are just as reliable today as back in the 1990s, as back in the early 2000s. You don't have to be overly
56:02 complex to really play the market successfully. In fact, the simpler your approach, the more powerful it is. Complexity weakens the power. I shared nothing that a 12year-old can't identify and know. Anyone can do this. I know there's a high failure rate, but it's a high failure rate because of lack of knowledge, lack of understanding, lack of guidance, lack of the proper mentorship. I'm going to be that for you. And also lack of the proper amount of money. That's a big one. And so I try to help traders know the right thing. I try to transfer all of my knowledge to the traders and also give them the proper amount of capital to do it with and give them the constant dayto-day
56:49 training every single day and have them grow every single day and knowledge, awareness, understanding, and have the right amount of capital at their disposal to take advantage of them so they're not risking their own family's money. No one on Wall Street does that. No one who gets hired out of school to go work for Goldman Sachs or JP Morgan or whatever on the trading desk, they're not trading their family's money. And this is a huge advantage they have. They're also under guidance. No one's saying, "Oh, here's $50 million. Go knock yourself out." They got guidance. They've got a head trader overlooking them. They're being taught. They're not trading their own capital. Do you realize that you are better when it's not your money? Everyone is better when
57:35 it's not their capital because you're held to a higher standard. You're more stupid with your money. You're more careless with your money. But if you know I'm watching, if you know Goldman Sachs is watching your performance, you're going to be on point. This is why billionaires form hedge funds because they need the money. No, because they're even held to a higher standard. These billionaire hedge fund managers are held to a higher standard because other people's money is mixed in with their money. They're better. It's one of the secrets on Wall Street, guys.
