0:00 Welcome to the cricket betting podcast. I am Ed Hawkins. This is the podcast which tells you exactly what happens in the biggest cricket matches in the world. We are brought to you by 7bet.co.uk, a fresh sports betting brand that offers such features as early payout, bet builder, betting insights, a boost, and more. Go to sevenbet.co.uk and experience worldclass betting for yourself. talking about worldclass betting. We've got some uh right here. And I don't use that tagline lightly. We do tell you exactly what happens in the biggest of games. We absolutely fried the book. He's in the first ashes test on this podcast and across our VIP tips
0:47 channel on the Telegram. Uh don't miss out on getting subbed up in those comments below. Our VIP channel is plus 38 points, 9% ROI and I make it 20 of our last 21 bets just five losers. Uh I want to come to Paul who's been in absolute sensational form. How you doing Paul? >> Good. Very good. It's a very good week. Um very glad to be back on the test cricket trail to be honest with you. I think we've said it before that's where our real best stuff lies. Yeah, there's such terrific value in in play and we're >> finding inplay picks, aren't we on that VIP channel. We are up in small hours for this Ash's test. So, uh don't worry
1:33 about that. Richard M sportinglife.com 14 to1 winner on this podcast last time we were here. Hello Richard. >> Hello Ed. Yeah, great week. Great week. Couple of near misses as well. It could have could have been better. We were hoping for Jamie Smith in the most falls market, but um no went just as predicted really. Um and yeah, looking at the way this series has gone, so many ups and downs already for punters like us, I I think there's lots to look forward to. >> Yeah. Now, the really good news about that VIP channel that I mentioned is that new users will get 50% off their first cycle. That means if they choose a weekly sub, 50% off the first week. If you choose monthly, 50% off your first
2:19 month. So that in the comments below, you can get subbed up there. And if you use the promo code ashes 25, you'll get that discount. Really, what are you doing if you're not getting involved? As I said, 38 points up 9% ROI on VIP. Uh Richard Man is plus 0.012. 012 I think on his best bets. Paul, what are you up on your best bets on the pod? >> 36.7. >> 36.7. So, look, there are profits here on the cricket betting podcast as well. The best bets come at the end of the show. Don't miss them. You got to stick around because they are also got a nice big fat plus in front of them. We are
3:04 discussing the ashes asking where England go from here and more importantly where punters go from here considering prohibitive odds now on Australia across the board. Um but our best bets likely to come from two crackers India versus South Africa first ODI um and New Zealand versus West Indies the first test match. Got team news, pitch reports, player win rates, trades, strategies, and obviously match odds looks as well. All the usual fair. Let's check in on those Ashes series markets. Australia into 10 to three on with 10 bet for the series. They lead 1 nil. Of course, England 11-2. AK bets 14's the draw with
3:50 Bet Fred. Australia to win 3-2 is now 5 to1 generally 2-2 draw 14 to1 AK bets is that the best England can hope for and 5-nil Australia is now 5 to1 AK bets but as short as 11 to four in places uh Paul you were keen on England preeries where are you now >> well look I'm not a big fan of overreacting right and England have surprised us in the past But all that optimism just drained away, didn't it? In no time at all. I mean, the it was the batting really that got me. The batting was cuz that, you know, I expected we struck against their bowlers, their good bowlers, and I
4:37 expected we'd bowl, sorry, I expected they would struck against our bowlers. I really thought our batter would hold up, but it just looked like so many other England sides and generally other sides in Australia, they just like looked like they completely bottled it, you know, under that pressure in the atmosphere. They just looked completely out of their depth and that was their best chance for me. Perf was always their best chance to sort of reset the series in their in their fashion. But no, now I think that they're probably going to just get overwhelmed. I'm surprised Paul's um ditched England so quickly, Rich. I mean, I'm not surprised England played like that at all. I know, but I'm not saying Paul um didn't think they had that in the bag. Of course, he knows that they did it in
5:23 the last Ashes series, didn't they? In two tests. They did it >> against India at the Oval um the previous test they played. They'll do it again in this series, Rich, won't they? this attacking mindset and we were just talking about it off air, weren't we, Richard? That um if Paul is right, is this basically England having their own sort of crisis with pressure and using the Bazall approach as an excuse not to do hard work. And you know, athletes in all sports can >> um find excuses why they don't perform. And it is a very easy get out for
6:10 brook root pop to say well this is just the way we play if you're finding it a struggle but it is the way England play sometimes it comes off I mean I still think it will come off at some point in this series but of course they should have won that first test because all they had to do was work hard for half an hour after lunch. What do you think Rich? Yeah, I mean two really worrying sequences for me. First innings when Jamie Smith was going really well. Uh Stokes got out, the tail came in, you immediately saw Smith Keni's approach went all too aggressive and to me that signaled that he had very little faith in the tail and the way Casp batted, hit on the helmet, then pulled out to deep square leg. Massive outfield at Perth as we well know. Fielders all around. He
6:56 just had to duck under them, sway out of the way, take a few blows, bat for his teammate. He didn't want to do that. M would first ball run down the wicket. Big cross body shot top edge. To me, that just signaled a bit of a weak tail actually. And these guys can bat as well. That's not a over my dead body attitude like you would see from the Australians. That was a we're not really bothered here from seven down. That was really concerning. And then in the second innings, as you said, all about working hard. But the old tried and tested rule in Perth is you don't drive on the up, particularly earlier in your innings. You've got to wait and wait, long half volleys, play off the back foot because there's so much seam movement and bounce. Pop straight after lunch. He was on 30, so cut him some slack driving on the up. Crawley out driving on the up. Brooke feet nowhere
7:44 driving on the up. And even Joe Root as well. What are these guys thinking? If I know that and pretty much everyone else you listen to, Mikey was talking about in the buildup to the test match. Why don't England's analyst and England's batsmen know that? And that that's what concerns me. It's not about talent. It's not about best 11s, fitness, anything else. It's about the mental approach. Why aren't they taking responsibility? And to be honest, why isn't the coaching team and the analysts getting into them and saying, "This is what you do and this is what you don't need to do at specific rounds." There's a soft underbelly to this side and that's what concerns me. >> Yeah. Well, it's it's a refusal basically to work hard for your runs. If England had worked hard for 30 minutes after lunch on that day and I think Steve Finn on uh commentary uh at the
8:30 break said next half an hour crucial then um England would have won that test. And it's also just a bit strange how Stokes sort of reinvents the history of of a game where he's saying that the only batters to score well were those who really attacked. Well, Smith, Atkinson, Car in terms of the England players basically had no choice to attack and they were able to, you know, send a few to the boundary. Ollie Ollie Pop was England's best player and he just came out and played like a top a proper test match number three. He played brilliantly Pope. Um he was by far and away England's best player. So
9:15 I'm not sure where Stocks is getting that from. Um actually Darren Leman on commentary before the headings said Ollie Pope has been head and shoulders the best batsman on either side in this game. Um and he wasn't ramping or swatting across the line. He played really well in both innings. Uh yeah, I think we can I think we can definitely say even after the first test there's a clear difference between these two teams and it's not trying to get inside the dressing rooms or the collective mindsets of the two teams. Australia are prepared to work hard. England are not and probably going to be the significant factor in who wins the series from here. Paul, but I mean it's not bad news, is
10:01 it? Uh, in terms of unders, we was been saying in our preview shows unders is going to be big extreme unders. Do we keep going with that particular bassing? >> Well, and Australia, I think, um, the lines are too high as we showed. It started way above what we were saying was the average par line at Perth. Um, same thing Brisbane the average par line is around 300, but that's day matches. This is a night match, so expect part well below that. But I I think Australia, that's England's one hope, but Australia's batting is still massively problematic. Take that Travis headed out of it when England were demoralized and they looked they did look extremely weak as they have
10:47 throughout and they do have the bowls to hurt them, but whether England can make their own runs, I don't know. Um, I expect that still we're still going to see par going off around 275, 300, 325 even. And that's an unders definitely. He certainly be looking at unders play England and if they're batting under lights um with a relatively new ball timing crucial on this pink ball test but that is for the preview show on the ultimate test guide uh to match number two ultimate betting guide to test number two that comes on Monday. Uh Rich um I mean Australia have actually solved problems by accident haven't they? Head opening for Kawaja.
11:34 Kawaja big problem coming into the series. Presumably Head retains that spot. Kawaja goes out of the side. Now they've got English in the squad who they can bring into the middle order and play that head role. He comes in off the back of a ton. Cummings is not back for this second test though, but Scott Bowen has found some form. Dogit looked capable of certainly getting some shape and could be dangerous with a pink ball out front on action. I mean just everything going right for Australia. >> Yeah, I mean by accident they could have stumbled upon a really good formula. I actually think if Kawaja's fit he'll play an open and from an England point of view and a purist point of view because I want to see a competitive series. I hope they go that way because
12:20 I think Kawaja is a big problem for Australia now against England's extreme pace. Um but if he isn't fit, I actually think that would help Australia get head up there. And like you say, English um or Webster or they could look further a field going into the series. Someone like Mcweeny could come back in in the middle order. Um I hope Kawagley plays personally because does I think he opens it up for England a little bit. Um and look, England, Paul's right, they've got the attack to hurt Australia. I actually think going to Brisbane's perfect for England. Day night, it's a little bit funky. It's a bit different. Sometimes you need to time declarations. See balling with a new ball under lights. You might only have a couple of sec a couple of sessions batting in the daylight when conditions are generally a lot better for batting. But that might suit England. They might say, "Right, let's try and get 300 in two sessions
13:07 here and then declare." That's the sort of thing that this England team have always been quite good at. Um, and look, you mentioned it off air. Uh, Ed, but Stu said today about day night cricket being a bit of a lottery. I'm not sure how he gets to that given that every time England play a day nighter against Australia, they've been hammered. It can't be that much of a lottery, but but it is it is different. It is funky. It might just suit the blend. Um and look, they they 3.2 on the bare exchange at the moment. I mean, god, they're in front for a long time in Perth. It is tempting. It is tempting. >> Uh yeah, well, Australia 4 to7 generally for the second test. Um, as I said, full preview and ultimate guide to the best plays on this p podcast recording Monday
13:54 night. Uh, England 9 to4 ladbrooks, you mentioned bet for exchange prices, Richard draw 12s, hills ball sports, you know, irrelevant zero draws in 24, I think, dayight games. Uh, anyway, we will tell you exactly what to hap, what to expect in terms of when wickets fall in that day. We've got an inplay guide for that on that podcast which comes on Monday. Little taster for you. Stark 50% win rate in day night. First of top bowler for Australia get none of four star sports. I don't think that'll be around um after the weekend. Anything else to add before we do move on to some games and find some best bets. Paul and then Rich. I just think I don't I hate to be someone who tips up silly odds on
14:39 chances because obviously I'm not going to do that. But 12 to1 the draw is too short. It's not happening. Um you've got to look at the series score and the four or five result options. There's no way there's going to be two draws in this series. Probably won't be one. I would personally opt for 4-1 Australia right now. 5.2 two on the exchange just to make sure you keep the England win on side as well. >> Rich, >> well just I want to flag up the brilliant positions and post I mean Stark player of the series top Australia bowler Starks we put him up at 12 but he's now 5-2 for overall player of the series and to be honest given his pink ball record given that Australia ahead of the game given that Cummings isn't back this week I don't think that's an
15:26 awful price to be honest about about Stark. Um, Labane's 9-2 top Australia series batsman. Travis headed's got a really good run on him and look if it's a low scorec scoring series, Head might be away and gone, but Steve Smith got nothing last week. So, I think you'd have probably taken that actually if you're a Labane batter. You'd rather a head be head excuse the pun be ahead of you than Steve Smith. So, I'm not giving up on Labashane. >> All righty. 0% margin feature at seven bet sports book. The 0% margin feature at seven bet is done designed to offer betting odds that do not include the typical margin added by the bookmaker. Check out more of their features on 7bet.co.uk features. Let's get a game on. It's India versus South Africa. First ODI.
16:14 It's uh Sunday 0800 Ranchi. TNT Sports is the TV channel if you want to be watching that. Uh the win market India uh well 4 to1 11 bet MGM Virgin bet South Africa 12 to5 with 365 I'll give you some possible lineups uh Jaw Roit Kohi Shreas Rahul Pant Jaja Washington Kep Harit and Arshep South Africa Deck opening the bassing with either Marram or Buma uh then we've got Dorsia at four Brits brevis Bosch Yansen, Maharaj, Burger and then Giddi or Subrian. Uh the latter being a
17:00 spinner depending on what this pitch is going to do and all rounder as well. Sriraan so he add a little bit of batting depth. Injured won 22 of their last 26 at home in this format. South Africa have five wins in their last 11 away from home. Two-1 defeat in Pakistan last time but not at full strength. Paul, we got to be a bit careful about um succumbing to the noise about India because of that underperforming test team. The ODI lot do not lose very often, do they? >> No. No, they don't. And you I mean I think this is probably the World Cup final if you like of ODI sides. I do think India are definitely the best and I think South Africa are probably second best at the moment.
17:46 India have played a lot of cricket different formats and been in and out to say the least poor in the tests. To me the bigger picture is South Africa. I keep saying it saying it for a couple of years now and it is broadly coming off. They are that is a potentially a superb cricketing outfit for the next few years. They've got so much backup. The squad is so big. I think that they've had bottle issues in the past, let them down in major events. They've got the last couple they've got to the late stages. Since then, they've become the world test champions. I think they've got a decent record against India in white ball in recent years, especially including over there. So, I think they're good value. I think 3.5 is way too big on a side that with their
18:34 recent form. >> Richard views on South Africa. They don't have Rabbard of course, but it doesn't really seem to matter uh with this South Africa team. >> No light team there, but I am a big burger fan and I'm with Paul. I think they're a really good developing side. That world championship final winner has clearly done wonders for them, hasn't it? They just look rock solid. Uh riding on a crest of a way brevis coming back brilliant. I'm not reading too much into Pakistan. Conditions are quite extreme in that series. do think conditions are key here because I think South Africa just want a flatter pitch nullify India's spin and their own batting will be absolutely fine and and they'll definitely give India run for them run for the money at 3.5 I think if it was turned out to be a raging turner which I don't actually expect here um then
19:21 obviously India with their spinners although they didn't show a lot batting against spin in that test series so and with and with Paul I think 3.5 is massive >> yes what will the pitch who not a huge amount to go on unfortunately which is something we never like as cricket betters. Ranchi the venia only two ODI in the last five years. Australia's 313 uh beat India's 281 in 2022. Uh and then South Africa couldn't defend 278 against India lost by seven wickets same year. Uh Paul have you found any angles and your stats work on the ground? Well, there is only a very limited sample. So you can't make a strong statistical argument. But my view anyway
20:10 is that 50 over cricket in almost any Indian ground. Par is above 300, well above 300s. My limited memory of Ranchy and looking at it is it was a big runs place. It's above average for runs and sixes. you think of the World Cup here, you know, par was around 320, 330. I think we'll see that again. I think that this is going to be a very high scoring game and that again suits South Africa. >> Okie do. Um Rich, who wins the match? >> Well, I I like South Africa. I think this is a really good option to just do the do do the trade really. 3.5 lay back at 1.8. I hope South Africa just get ahead at least. Um I think that's fair
20:56 enough. Just get your stake out. I know we did something similar on the VIP um recently, didn't we? Just very simple with with the West Indies. He actually didn't win that game, but it was I think they were 4.3, weren't they Paul? And we just put in a place an order to lay back at 1.8. Really simple stuff. We got ahead of the game. Job done really. >> Uh Paul, any other angles? Well, again, uh, look, waiting lines, we've seen total runs or total sixes, but I think this is a place where you get plenty of sixes. South Africa very strong in that department in recent years. Uh, I think you're probably looking at 15 plus sixes. >> All right. Uh, we've got player win rates coming up, but just checking that we haven't got any more nuggets uh, from you, Richard. Anything more to add?
21:43 >> Yeah, no, I have actually. So Gwell for Gil and I think Gwell's got to be a seller. Big seller at 30 30.5 with seven bet his innings runs. Jansen so good for the left hand. Got one out three out of four times in that recent test series. Jansen's average against left-handers in ODI cricket is something I've talked about before is only 12. Now his average against rightanders is only 18. So it's pretty good but I clearly favors a leftand and I suspect Yansom will open the ball in with Burger. Andre Burger, I'm another left eye. I'm a big fan. So, his average against right-handers in ODI cricket 33.60, but 14.77 against the lefties. So, two brilliant bowlers against left-handers. So, for me, that makes Jwell a sell at 30.5,
22:29 which I thought was quite a high line. Anyway, >> uh great. Anything anything to add, Paul? >> Yeah. Um, I'm just going to explain the run strategy, the usual ODI run strategy again, uh, because I think it's a really good opportunity. I think the World Cup here was excellent for doing this. So, we were saying that the pile was above 300. So, I'm looking to find at the start of the game 30 or 40 run middle, for example, backing over 310 at evens laying 350 at 3:1. That's the sort of bet I was having a lot during the World Cup. So that's 3 to one on that 40 run middle. Very very high chance you're going to land around there. And then in running again looking
23:14 around where the average is because par's pretty solid in 50 over cricket. Try and build a middle around that area by betting odds against. So, for instance, if the par is 330, I'd want to back 350 or over, maybe at 2:1, and then I'd look to lay that back at 370 for a shorter odd, say, even money to get the 350 to 370 on on on um in the bank. Hopefully, we'll do a bit of this on the VIP during this match and it'll be easier to show. >> Yeah, get subbed up on that VIP channel in the comments below. Um, let's look at player win rates. I've got one, two, three, four of them uh to pick out for you. We've already mentioned how much we like a burger. Uh come to me in a
24:00 minute. Row hit seven wins from last 14 two years. Uh form guide even money shots won um so consistently 7 to2 with sky bet power bet fair sports but Britska for South Africa three wins from nine six to one hills. Burger Paul has mentioned in very consistent on top bowler burgers five wins from 12 7 to2 hills Maharaj also into the mix four wins from 1372 Sky Bet power and bet fair sports book um Richard Richard you're on you put yourself on mute because of your cough but there I do apologize I'm I'm I'm nailing the
24:46 Jakeman's here. Yes. So I started off looking at big prices top batsman market initially India and then South Africa. Corbyn Bosch 25 to1 with seven bet. But then the more I look at Bosch and I do think South Africa will go well. I think he's actually probably a better bet in the player performance market. So so I'm going to mention him here. So last five ODI Corbin Bosch made up at zero bad start but 51 87 70 and 52. So far out of the last five, he's easily surpassed his his line for this match which is 38.5 patty power bet fair and sky bet. So I think my strategy will probably be Corby decent bet player performance and then maybe a tiny bit on that 25 28 to1 top South Africa batsman. He's a he's a
25:32 really dangerous dynamic all around cricket. >> Paul what you got? Ashep Singh top India bowler had a great series against South Africa away last time and I think if you look through his overall career he's fairly profitable generally in white ball but if you take Bumra and Varon Chakraati out of the side then he's massively profitable and they're not in this um and just on the player performance depends who plays but I was looking at Rickleton 29.5 and Mark Room 33.5 both of them been very solid top. I don't know if Rick will play should do in my book, but you'd get you every chance some points as a wicket keeper there if he plays. And Mark, every chance you might take a wicket because
26:18 he I expect he'll bowl a few overs. >> Lovely stuff. Which of those make it into the best bets at the end of the show. Stick around the VIP channel. You can sub up to below in the comments. Use that promo code ashes 25 for 50% off. Reminder, we're 9% ROI. Also, don't forget to check out cricstats.ai. That's the best betting tool you can find anywhere to make sensible and rational statistically based stats bets. We certainly use it to help find our winners. So, get signed up to crick stats as well. Our final game is New Zealand versus West Indie. That's a Monday
27:04 start day with 2200 start time news and twos on with triple 8. The draw is 5-2. Lads, Coral, Sky Bet, Wendy's 12, Zena Bet, Victor Betweather forecast is um looking okay to me with ACU weather met office um have some um well one I think poor weather forecast, but that's the only one. So that draw um strangely short possible 11s for you. Kiwis Laam Young Williamson Raindra Mitchell Blendel Graceful Satner Fogs Henry Duffy Wendy Chambble Chander King Aanaz Hope Hodgej
27:50 Chase, Greavves, Waran, Seals, and then Kamar Roach um or and St. Phillip. New Zealand snapped a four-game losing streak versus England in Hamilton in December. They are a 6-5 record last three years at home. West Indies have won three from 15 away from home and 13 of those 11 defeats they've suffered absolute hammerings. Um Paul thoughts on the West Indies at chunky odds. >> Well yeah I think without saying anything positive about them that's a value bet. I think the nature of this match there is a bit of a rain threat. There's a lot of patchy rain around. I
28:36 don't think that would be enough to get a draw by any stretch of the imagination because things happen quickly there. But um it does mean that it's probably there's every chance this will be a fairly lowcoring match. It'll come down to a chase and you know if you can get 12 to1 14 to1 West that's not a bad position. So, I'm thinking of doing that as a back to lay doing them whatever the starting odds are. Hoping it might even drift a bit more cuz it might be bit rain around the first morning. Uh stay back one point at 12 or 14s. And I think I would just try and double my money at say five, laying back at five, leaving a bit of extra profit if they do win. >> Rich, are you encouraged by West Indies winning in Pakistan that lot not that
29:21 long ago? I mean, they're well beaten by Australia as well. um in the autumn, but you know, they were just some competitive streaks you as I was not say as encouraged by as Paul, but there is something there for them. >> Yeah, I think so. I think competitive against Australia is is is a series I'd home in on and looking at last week that form's looking better all the time. There were periods in that series where they were on top of Australia. he just couldn't cope with Australia's first choice, may I may I say as well, first choice pace attack there in in terrible batting conditions. Um, and even you go back last the summer before last when they came to England. They had moments where they they put England under
30:07 pressure. I think Hodish coming back in. He's a a brilliant decision. They've got the ball into New Zealand. I don't think they'll win. I I don't think they'll win, but I definitely definitely think they can be competitive. Paul strategy that he's put forward there. That looks pretty sound to me. They've had a warm-up game as well. West Indies is also always worth mentioning because they're so rare. Haggley Ovals have venue. Seven tests last five years. Five of those won by the team. Batting second, zero draws. Your first innings runs per um wicket averages 32.4, 40.7 in the second, 26.9 in the third, 33.2 in the fourth. Australia chase 279 with three wickets to spare in 2024. for an England chase 104 in 12 overs in
30:54 November. Um West Indies by the way just for uh in play betters pens and papers at the ready the average runs per wicket in the first match innings versus the established world order at test matches um eg not bang or zim is 228. We're always looking to short that West Indies uh runs line particularly when there's a 4050 run partnership in play. Uh any ground spots, Paul? >> Well, I think the overheads are really going to be critical. I think when batting is when conditions are good for batting, they're going to score very quickly. Last four tests here, minimum runs is,70.
31:39 Compare that to the number of single Australia, it's way higher. Um, one really notable angle here is Matt Henry's record, 35 wickets in his last five tests here. So, there's certainly some potential I would have thought for um overcast conditions, New Zealand bowling, heavy extreme unders on West Indies. He's hoping Henry just runs through them all. >> Yeah, we're going to talk about Matt Henry on player win rates in a bit. Um, Rich, anything else? Yeah. Well, it's something I always talk about test cricket in New Zealand runs third and fourth innings because and I can't see the picture right now, but quite often you get really green looking pictures early in not just here but across New
32:25 Zealand early in test matches and then the sun comes through and that the grass come dries away and conditions get better for batting. It was high scoring last year, but you know, pretty good third and fourth innings. But the 2024 test here against Australia, 372 scored in the third innings. Then Australia chased down 281 for seven, and they'd been in big trouble in that innings. Kerry and Mitch Marsh got them home. And then 2023 test against Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka made 302 in the third innings. That was way above park as I remember it well. And then New Zealand down 285 uh for eight and to win the match. Uh, so I definitely think especially if we get low first inning scores like Paul said, green grass, Matt Henry, I think you'll see a knock-on effect with the runs lines and below third and fourth innings and I think that will be the time to play overs.
33:13 >> Great stuff. Let's look at some of those player win rates and we'll combine them with um some statistics on um venue form. Williamson 582 runs in four matches at Haggley Oval. Daryl Mitchell's also got a nice record at this ground. Uh he's got 650s or more in seven games. Um I mentioned Matt Henry and so did Paul. 36 wickets in six matches at the Haggley Oval strike rate of 39. He's got a 72% win rate on top pee-wee first innings bowler in your last 11. Um, I'm going to get you some
34:00 odds on Henry in a second. I'm just going to check on those. Uh, Paul, can I come to you for players? Players, I'm presume you're just going to talk about Matt Henry again. >> Yeah, 5-2 top first in his bowler, 15-2 man of the match. 15-2 man of the match. Looks really solid to me. Um, and I'm very interested to see what his player performance line is if it comes out, if anyone publishes that. Maybe some total wickets. Uh on the West Indies side, I'm a little bit disappointed with the price to be honest. I was hoping we might get some decent prices about Jaden Seals. To me, he's far and away their best pace bowler at the moment. He's improved a bit and conditions should be pretty suitable here. >> Thank you very much. Uh I'll give you a
34:45 win rate on Jaden Seals in a second. Uh Kane Williamson 36% win rate on top Kiwi bat from a reasonably good study sample three Sky Bet power bet fair sports book the Matt Henry price for you for top home bowler in that first innings you're getting five-2 as Paul said that Sky bet um bet fair sports book as well on that you might get five to two with them let's go to Richard who I suspect Spect is going to talk about Kim Hodgej who's one win in 11 on top Wendy's bat. Is he more of a milestone wager rich perhap? >> Both I think first innings I'd maybe avoid the milestones if conditions
35:30 potentially more tricky but I definitely think that he's their best player for these conditions and you just look through his record for context he made 120 against England at Trenidge particularly wasn't bad to be honest 55 at age in that series. He made 71 in a day night at Brisbane. When the ball hooped around, it was that Shama Joseph test. When the ball seams and swings, H generally shows himself to be the West Indies best batsman. He plays the ball really late. Got good defense. So, I'm pretty keen on here. He made 50 odd out in the warm-up game, by the way, although a few of them made runs. Um, so I I do like him. I can't believe he was dropped, but um he he was dropped having not made runs in conditions that are different to these ones. Um, I could get with Henry all day long. What I would say is not everyone's still prices test
36:17 match up. That's why we've delayed the pod actually because waiting for M prices, but might be worth if we can near the time Matt Henry just five wickets in the first innings. That'll be a big advice. I'd definitely look at that. Uh, and I quite like Tom Blund. Um, again, there's not enough prices out yet. He's around the 7 to1 mat, but I'm going to delay sort of putting him up properly until we get his price. But I think West Indies could take early wickets. I agree with Paul. I think Seals is outstanding. Roach will ball well at those lefthanders. Um, and I think Blundle at number six, number seven. He's he's always underrated Tom Blund. So, I'll probably go with him. There's some sevens knocking about, but I'm going to put him up, but wait to put his price up in the Telegram channel because I expect we might get 10 to one when everyone's up. Feels top West Indies. B, as Paul mentioned, very, very
37:04 little to beat here surely. Um, Kamar Roach getting on a bit. Seals has a 30% win rate last two years. 5 to2 Sky Bet Patty Power Bet Fair Sports Book. Um, thank you very much for those. We got our best bets coming up. Just time to tell you about a seven bet offer for podcast listeners. Use the code WFB10. Bet£10, get a£10 free bet. Minimum10 stake. Minimum odds even money. Maximum winnings is 100 quid. Five day expiry. Bonus T's and C's apply. There we go. It is best bets time. Both Richard and Paul have five units to spend. Let's go to Richard man first for his best bets
37:50 following that 14's winner last time. >> Right. Okay. Yeah. Not as big this week, I'm afraid. But we'll kick off 1.5 points Jwell runs under 30.5 at 5 to six. That's with seven bet. uh two points Corbyn Bosch player performance over 38.5 Patty Power Bet Fair and Sky Bet that's five to six and then over in the test match uh 0.75 point Kavim Hod top West Indies first innings bat versus New Zealand at 5 to one seven better stand out there and then finish off 0.75 point Tom Blundell top first in his New Zealand batsman I'll update his price in the telegram not enough out and five units to spend for Paul,
38:35 please. >> Okay, so I have 1.5 points South Africa to beat India at 3.5. I have one point back to lay West Indies at whatever the starting price is on bet fair, presumably be about 14 and I'll place an order to lay two points, double the stake at 5.0. Um and in the New Zealand match I'll have 1.5 points Matt Henry top first innings bowler for New Zealand at 5-2 and one point Matt Henry man of the match at 15-2. >> Thank you very much. This has been the cricket betting podcast with me Ed Hawkins Paulie and Richard man. Don't forget to sub up to that VIP channel which is returning profits of 9% ROI and
39:24 use the promo code ashes 25 to get 50% off your subscription. We are recording again on Monday night to bring you the ultimate betting guide to the second Ashes test. We'll see you then.
